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East Meadow Soccer Club Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · East Meadow Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 43 minutes ago.
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3rd
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+4 goal diff · 14–10
WWLWLlast 5
44% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9
-0.18 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM

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East Meadow Soccer Club Pre
3rd · 1.80 PPG
at
SUSA FC Pre- l
4th · 1.80 PPG

The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex, field 4B ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.5 against · 1.17 expected points)

Season so farEast Meadow Soccer Club PreSUSA FC Pre- l
Position3rd4th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-23-0-2
Points per game1.801.80
Goals for / game2.82.6
Goals against / game2.01.8
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W L W WL W L W W
Biggest win3–0 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I4–0 vs Connecticut FC Pre l
Worst loss3–5 vs SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY1–3 vs FSA FC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.35+0.45
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.18-0.01

Common opponents: Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue — we 2–0; they 5–3. SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY — we 3–5; they 2–1. Connecticut FC Pre l — we 4–1; they 4–0. FSA FC Pre — we 2–4; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 33%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC Pre- l game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (East Meadow Soccer Club Pre – SUSA FC Pre- l) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.67 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 5
Win
2.00 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 5
Loss
1.50 PPG
6th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 4 10th▼ down 7

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
44% top 4
56% below the top 4
4.9 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 10%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 17%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FSA FC Pre 3.00 (+1.20) 1st (2.55) 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Scorpions SC PRE 2.33 (+0.53) 2nd (1.89) 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection

How the results connect

15 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link East Meadow Soccer Club Pre to SUSA FC Pre- l through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
2 even
9 favour them
-0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 3–1 2–0 3–5 4–1 0–4 3–5 1–2 5–1 1–4 0–0 2–1 3–0 2–2 4–2 5–1 1–8 East Meadow Soccer … 3rd FSA FC Pre 1st Oakwood Soccer Club… 9th Connecticut FC Pre l 10th SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 6th AC Connecticut Pre-… 7th Select Pre- Blue 5th SUSA FC Pre- l 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
SUSA FC Pre- l
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.17 1.70 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
East Coast Surf Pre
11th · 0-0-2 · GD -2
Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.91 1.73 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Manhattan SC Pre- Red
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Away far trip
College of Mt. St. Vincent
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.80 1.74 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
TBD
Select Pre- Blue
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.17 1.67 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:30 AM
FC Stars Pre- Blue
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.67 1.67 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
01:45 PM
Scorpions SC PRE
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +6
Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 0.99 1.61 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD
AC Connecticut Pre- I
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -1
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.57 1.61 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
08:00 AM
SUSA FC Pre- l
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.48 1.60 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
08:00 AM
Scorpions SC PRE
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +6
Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.30 1.58 Upside
Sun Apr 4
08:00 AM
FC Stars Pre- Blue
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 2.00 1.60 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
08:30 AM
FSA FC Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.57 1.54 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Connecticut FC Pre l
10th · 0-1-5 · GD -21
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 1.59 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +2
Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.30 1.58 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
East Coast Surf Pre
11th · 0-0-2 · GD -2
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.65 1.58 Swing game
Sun May 2
08:00 AM
Manhattan SC Pre- Red
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 1.61 Swing game
Sun May 16
08:00 AM
Select Pre- Blue
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.51 1.60 Swing game
Sun May 23
TBD
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue
9th · 0-1-3 · GD -6
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.80 1.61 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FSA FC Pre 6600 269+17 183.00 WWWWW +0.06 -0.29 100% 1.0
2 Scorpions SC PRE 3210 104+6 72.33 WWD -0.79 +0.03 83% 3.1
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 5302 1410+4 91.80 WWLWL -0.18 -0.01 44% 4.9
4 SUSA FC Pre- l 5302 139+4 91.80 WWLWL -0.01 -0.07 62% 4.2
5 Select Pre- Blue 6312 2014+6 101.67 WWLDW -0.06 -0.06 55% 4.4
6 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 8413 1715+2 131.63 LWWLD +0.13 -0.13 42% 5.0
7 AC Connecticut Pre- I 5212 89-1 71.40 WLWLD -0.50 +0.14 5% 7.7
8 Manhattan SC Pre- Red 5122 915-6 51.00 LLDWD +0.12 +0.01 1% 9.1
9 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 4013 612-6 10.25 LLDL +0.53 -0.07 1% 9.8
10 Connecticut FC Pre l 6015 627-21 10.17 LLLLD +0.33 +0.11 0% 11.9
11 East Coast Surf Pre 2002 02-2 00.00 LL -0.01 +0.01 1% 8.9
12 FC Stars Pre- Blue 1001 25-3 00.00 L +1.89 -0.07 5% 8.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.