East Meadow Soccer Club Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · East Meadow Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex, field 4B ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.5 against · 1.17 expected points)
| Season so far | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre | SUSA FC Pre- l |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-2 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I | 4–0 vs Connecticut FC Pre l |
| Worst loss | 3–5 vs SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY | 1–3 vs FSA FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.35 | +0.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.18 | -0.01 |
Common opponents: Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue — we 2–0; they 5–3. SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY — we 3–5; they 2–1. Connecticut FC Pre l — we 4–1; they 4–0. FSA FC Pre — we 2–4; they 1–3.
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 33%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC Pre- l game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (East Meadow Soccer Club Pre – SUSA FC Pre- l) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.67 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 5 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 5 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
6th▼ down 3 | 7th▼ down 4 | 10th▼ down 7 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 10%
- 3rd 16%
- 4th 17%
- 5th 19%
- 6th 18%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 5%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FSA FC Pre | 3.00 (+1.20) | 1st (2.55) | 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 2 | Scorpions SC PRE | 2.33 (+0.53) | 2nd (1.89) | 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
How the results connect
15 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link East Meadow Soccer Club Pre to SUSA FC Pre- l through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
SUSA FC Pre- l 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.17 | 1.70 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
East Coast Surf Pre 11th · 0-0-2 · GD -2 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 1.73 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM |
Manhattan SC Pre- Red 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
College of Mt. St. Vincent |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–2 | 1.80 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Select Pre- Blue 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.17 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 09:30 AM |
FC Stars Pre- Blue 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–2 | 1.67 | 1.67 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 01:45 PM |
Scorpions SC PRE 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 0.99 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
AC Connecticut Pre- I 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.57 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 08:00 AM |
SUSA FC Pre- l 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.48 | 1.60 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
Scorpions SC PRE 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +6 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.58 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 08:00 AM |
FC Stars Pre- Blue 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–2 | 2.00 | 1.60 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 08:30 AM |
FSA FC Pre 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.57 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Connecticut FC Pre l 10th · 0-1-5 · GD -21 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.46 | 1.59 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 6th · 4-1-3 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.58 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
East Coast Surf Pre 11th · 0-0-2 · GD -2 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.65 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 08:00 AM |
Manhattan SC Pre- Red 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–1 | 2.11 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 08:00 AM |
Select Pre- Blue 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.51 | 1.60 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 9th · 0-1-3 · GD -6 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.80 | 1.61 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | FSA FC Pre | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 9 | +17 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.06 | -0.29 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Scorpions SC PRE | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7 | 2.33 | WWD | -0.79 | +0.03 | 83% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Select Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 at East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Nov 7 at FSA FC Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.18 | -0.01 | 44% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC Pre- l · Sat Nov 7 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SUSA FC Pre- l | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.01 | -0.07 | 62% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sat Nov 14 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Select Pre- Blue | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 10 | 1.67 | WWLDW | -0.06 | -0.06 | 55% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Scorpions SC PRE · Thu Oct 29 at FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | 1.63 | LWWLD | +0.13 | -0.13 | 42% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Nov 8 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | AC Connecticut Pre- I | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWLD | -0.50 | +0.14 | 5% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Nov 7 vs SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Manhattan SC Pre- Red | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 | 1.00 | LLDWD | +0.12 | +0.01 | 1% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 at East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Connecticut FC Pre l See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 1 | 0.25 | LLDL | +0.53 | -0.07 | 1% | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Connecticut FC Pre l · Sun Nov 1 at AC Connecticut Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Connecticut FC Pre l | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLLD | +0.33 | +0.11 | 0% | 11.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Sun Nov 1 vs East Coast Surf Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | East Coast Surf Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | -0.01 | +0.01 | 1% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC PRE See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Stars Pre- Blue | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.89 | -0.07 | 5% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Coast Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Thu Oct 29 vs Select Pre- Blue See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.