TableChase Clubs

AC Connecticut Pre- I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · AC Connecticut (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
6th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
-1 goal diff · 6–7
WLWLlast 4
7% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.3
-0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:30 AM

Open the match preview →

AC Connecticut Pre- I
6th · 1.50 PPG
at
Connecticut FC Pre l
12th · 0.00 PPG

CFC Park, Field 1 A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.3 against · 2.21 expected points)

Season so farAC Connecticut Pre- IConnecticut FC Pre l
Position6th12th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-20-0-5
Points per game1.500.00
Goals for / game1.50.8
Goals against / game1.85.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L W L WL L L L L
Biggest win4–2 vs Select Pre- Blue—
Worst loss0–3 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre1–8 at Select Pre- Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.20-2.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.10+0.53

Common opponents: East Meadow Soccer Club Pre — we 0–3; they 1–4. Select Pre- Blue — we 4–2; they 1–8.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Connecticut FC Pre l average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 1 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Connecticut FC Pre l concede 5.0/game; worst result 1–8 at Select Pre- Blue.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 68% / draw 16% / loss 16%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Connecticut FC Pre l have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:30 AM at CFC Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY sit 5th on 1.63 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Connecticut FC Pre l game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Connecticut Pre- I – Connecticut FC Pre l) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.80 PPG		 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1 6th— holds
Win
1.80 PPG		 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1 6th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 6th— holds 10th▼ down 4
Loss
1.20 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
7% top 4
93% below the top 4
7.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 9%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 23%
  8. 8th 21%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FSA FC Pre 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.54) 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
2 Scorpions SC PRE 3.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.01) 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
3 SUSA FC Pre- l 2.25 (+0.75) 3rd (1.83) 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 1.80 (+0.30) 4th (1.61) Win next game
5 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 1.63 (+0.13) 5th (1.60) A point next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link AC Connecticut Pre- I to Connecticut FC Pre l through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
+2.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 4–1 4–2 8–1 1–2 1–4 4–1 3–7 3–5 1–0 0–1 0–0 AC Connecticut Pre-… 6th East Meadow Soccer … 4th Select Pre- Blue 7th Manhattan SC Pre- R… 8th East Coast Surf Pre 10th SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 5th Connecticut FC Pre l 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 4th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:30 AM		 Connecticut FC Pre l
12th · 0-0-5 · GD -21		 Away far trip
CFC Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 2–1 2.21 1.64 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM		 FSA FC Pre
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.42 1.44 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue
9th · 0-1-2 · GD -4		 Home
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–1 1.74 1.48 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2		 Home
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.30 1.46 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:45 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- l
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5		 Away far trip
Tony Gazzola Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–2 0.86 1.39 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +6		 Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.70 1.32 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:30 AM		 FC Stars Pre- Blue
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -3		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
37%		 2–2 1.33 1.32 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–2 1.26 1.32 Upside
Sat Mar 13
08:30 AM		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue
9th · 0-1-2 · GD -4		 Away far trip
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 1–1 1.46 1.33 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 East Coast Surf Pre
10th · 0-0-2 · GD -2		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%		 1–1 1.36 1.33 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Manhattan SC Pre- Red
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -6		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–1 1.52 1.34 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 FC Stars Pre- Blue
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -3		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–1 1.63 1.36 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 FSA FC Pre
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.62 1.32 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 Select Pre- Blue
7th · 2-1-2 · GD +5		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.93 1.30 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY
5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.04 1.28 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- l
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–2 1.12 1.27 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Scorpions SC PRE
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +6		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.95 1.26 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Connecticut FC Pre l
12th · 0-0-5 · GD -21		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 3–1 2.43 1.31 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FSA FC Pre 5500 227+15 153.00 WWWWW +0.25 -0.32 100% 1.1
2 Scorpions SC PRE 2200 82+6 63.00 WW -0.95 -0.01 92% 2.6
3 SUSA FC Pre- l 4301 127+5 92.25 WWLW -0.20 -0.04 75% 3.7
4 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 5302 1410+4 91.80 WWLWL -0.20 -0.00 43% 5.0
5 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 8413 1715+2 131.63 LWWLD +0.13 -0.12 38% 5.1
6 AC Connecticut Pre- I 4202 67-1 61.50 WLWL -0.10 +0.02 7% 7.3
7 Select Pre- Blue 5212 1813+5 71.40 LWWLD -0.22 -0.00 36% 5.3
8 Manhattan SC Pre- Red 4112 713-6 41.00 LLDW -0.06 +0.08 1% 9.4
9 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 3012 48-4 10.33 LLD +0.02 +0.04 0% 9.6
10 East Coast Surf Pre 2002 02-2 00.00 LL +0.01 +0.02 1% 8.9
11 FC Stars Pre- Blue 1001 25-3 00.00 L +1.93 -0.07 6% 8.1
12 Connecticut FC Pre l 5005 425-21 00.00 LLLLL +0.53 +0.10 0% 11.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.