TableChase Clubs

FC Tulsa Academy Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Frontier BU11 · 11 teams · FC Tulsa Academy (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 22 minutes ago.
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1st
7-0-0 record · 7 played
3.00 points per game
+58 goal diff · 60–2
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.0
+0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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FC Tulsa Academy Pre
1st · 3.00 PPG
at

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–0 (expected goals 4.6 for, 1.0 against · 2.80 expected points)

Season so farFC Tulsa Academy PreFC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
Position1st6th
Record (W-D-L)7-0-03-1-2
Points per game3.001.67
Goals for / game8.61.8
Goals against / game0.31.8
Clean sheets50
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WL D W L W
Biggest win14–0 vs West Side Alliance Pre2–1 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II
Worst loss—0–2 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+5.60-0.05
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.17+0.09

Common opponents: Arkansas Rising Pre — we 9–0; they 2–1. Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre — we 5–0; they 3–4. Tulsa SC Frontier Pre — we 6–1; they 2–1. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White — we 9–0; they 0–2. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre — we 11–0; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 92% chance; likely score 4–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Tulsa Academy Pre – FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.75 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.63 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

99% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.0 average finish
  1. 1st 99%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

40 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Tulsa Academy Pre to FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

39 favour us
1 favour them
+8.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–1 1–2 5–0 4–3 9–0 1–2 9–0 2–0 11–0 2–2 0–6 2–5 0–6 1–2 1–6 0–3 3–4 2–3 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 1st Tulsa SC Frontier P… 9th Broken Arrow Soccer… 5th Arkansas Rising Pre 8th OK Energy FC Fronti… 4th OK Energy FC Fronti… 3rd Arkansas Comets FC … 7th FC Tulsa Academy Pr… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.85 · 11th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 27
11:30 AM
no score posted
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Home
Keas Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–0 2.89 2.99 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
TBD
FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.80 2.97 Bank it
Fri Oct 30
06:00 PM
Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
5th · 6-1-4 · GD +12
Home
Indian Springs Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.86 2.96 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
10:30 AM
West Side Alliance Pre
10th · 2-0-7 · GD -33
Away
RiverCity Parks
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
9–0 2.99 2.96 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +9
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
5–1 2.80 2.95 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
05:00 PM
OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +16
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
5–1 2.69 2.93 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Tulsa SC Frontier Pre
9th · 3-0-8 · GD -15
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.97 2.93 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
04:00 PM
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II
7th · 5-1-5 · GD -5
Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
7–1 2.93 2.93 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
TBD
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I
2nd · 8-1-1 · GD +45
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
4–2 2.34 2.89 Bank it
Sun Dec 13
02:00 PM
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
11th · 0-0-10 · GD -73
Away far trip
Oklahoma Celtic
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.90 Bank it
Sat Dec 19
11:00 AM
Arkansas Rising Pre
8th · 3-0-7 · GD -14
Away far trip
Burns Park
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
8–1 2.96 2.90 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
11:00 AM
Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II
7th · 5-1-5 · GD -5
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
8–1 2.97 2.90 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
11:00 AM
Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
11th · 0-0-10 · GD -73
Home
Scheels Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.91 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 7700 602+58 213.00 WWWWW +0.17 -0.85 100% 1.0
2 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 10811 6621+45 252.50 WDWWW -0.39 -0.15 100% 2.0
3 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 9621 3526+9 202.22 WDDLW +0.05 -0.09 78% 3.9
4 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 8503 3620+16 151.88 LWWLW +0.40 -0.38 86% 3.6
5 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 11614 4028+12 191.73 WLDWW +0.06 +0.05 31% 4.8
6 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 6312 1111+0 101.67 WLWDL +0.09 +0.09 5% 6.1
7 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II 11515 3944-5 161.45 LDLWW -0.44 +0.79 0% 6.7
8 Arkansas Rising Pre 10307 3549-14 90.90 WWLLL +0.24 +0.11 0% 8.2
9 Tulsa SC Frontier Pre 11308 2641-15 90.82 LLLLL -0.27 +0.83 0% 8.8
10 West Side Alliance Pre 9207 1548-33 60.67 LLLWW -0.55 +0.95 0% 9.9
11 Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White 100010 477-73 00.00 LLLLL -0.32 +1.58 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.52 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.