TableChase Clubs

FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Frontier BU11 · 11 teams · FC Tulsa Academy (all teams)

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6th
3-1-2 record · 6 played
1.67 points per game
+0 goal diff · 11–11
WLWDLlast 5
4% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.1
+0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II
6th · 1.67 PPG
vs
FC Tulsa Academy Pre
1st · 3.00 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 1.0 for, 4.6 against · 0.15 expected points)

Season so farFC Tulsa Academy Pre- IIFC Tulsa Academy Pre
Position6th1st
Record (W-D-L)3-1-27-0-0
Points per game1.673.00
Goals for / game1.88.6
Goals against / game1.80.3
Clean sheets05
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L D W L WW W W W W
Biggest win2–1 vs Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II14–0 vs West Side Alliance Pre
Worst loss0–2 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.05+5.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.09+0.17

Common opponents: Arkansas Rising Pre — we 2–1; they 9–0. Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre — we 3–4; they 5–0. Tulsa SC Frontier Pre — we 2–1; they 6–1. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre — we 2–2; they 11–0. OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White — we 0–2; they 9–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Tulsa Academy Pre score 8.6/game — well above the league's 3.5.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    FC Tulsa Academy Pre concede only 0.3/game with 5 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 3%; a draw (5%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Tulsa Academy Pre have won 7 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre sit 5th on 1.73 PPG; we are on 1.67.

    A point moves us above Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Tulsa Academy Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II – FC Tulsa Academy Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.43 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1
Win
1.86 PPG		 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1
Draw
1.57 PPG		 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1
Loss
1.43 PPG		 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
4% top 4
96% below the top 4
6.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 13%
  6. 6th 54%
  7. 7th 26%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 3.00 (+1.33) 1st (2.91) 50 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 2.50 (+0.83) 2nd (2.44) 40 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
3 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 2.22 (+0.55) 4th (1.92) 35 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 1.88 (+0.21) 3rd (1.95) 28 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 1.73 (+0.06) 5th (1.72) A point next game

How the results connect

40 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II to FC Tulsa Academy Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
39 favour them
-8.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 1–6 3–4 0–5 2–1 0–9 2–2 0–11 0–2 0–9 6–0 5–2 6–1 2–1 6–0 3–0 4–3 3–2 FC Tulsa Academy Pr… 6th Tulsa SC Frontier P… 9th Broken Arrow Soccer… 5th Arkansas Rising Pre 8th OK Energy FC Fronti… 3rd OK Energy FC Fronti… 4th Arkansas Comets FC … 7th FC Tulsa Academy Pre 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.09 · 6th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 27
11:30 AM
no score posted		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +58		 Away
Keas Soccer Complex 		●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–5 0.08 1.44 Upside
Sat Oct 24
TBD		 FC Tulsa Academy Pre
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +58		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–4 0.15 1.28 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:30 PM		 West Side Alliance Pre
10th · 2-0-7 · GD -33		 Away
RiverCity Parks		 ●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 3–1 2.21 1.38 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM		 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre
5th · 6-1-4 · GD +12		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.23 1.37 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM		 West Side Alliance Pre
10th · 2-0-7 · GD -33		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 3–1 2.45 1.46 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM		 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White
4th · 5-0-3 · GD +16		 Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.74 1.40 Upside
Sat Nov 14
05:00 PM		 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre
3rd · 6-2-1 · GD +9		 Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 2–2 0.97 1.37 Upside
Sun Nov 15
02:00 PM		 Tulsa SC Frontier Pre
9th · 3-0-8 · GD -15		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 2–1 1.97 1.41 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II
7th · 5-1-5 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–2 1.38 1.41 Upside
Sat Nov 21
10:00 AM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I
2nd · 8-1-1 · GD +45		 Away far trip
Brunner & Lay Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.35 1.35 Upside
Sun Nov 22
10:30 AM		 Arkansas Rising Pre
8th · 3-0-7 · GD -14		 Away far trip
Burns Park 		●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–2 1.57 1.36 Swing game
Sun Dec 13
10:00 AM		 Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
11th · 0-0-10 · GD -73		 Away far trip
Oklahoma Celtic		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 4–0 2.80 1.44 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
02:00 PM		 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I
2nd · 8-1-1 · GD +45		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.55 1.39 Upside
Sat Mar 6
02:00 PM		 Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White
11th · 0-0-10 · GD -73		 Home
Scheels Sports Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 4–0 2.89 1.47 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Tulsa Academy Pre 7700 602+58 213.00 WWWWW +0.17 -0.85 100% 1.0
2 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- I 10811 6621+45 252.50 WDWWW -0.39 -0.15 100% 2.0
3 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre 9621 3526+9 202.22 WDDLW +0.05 -0.09 78% 3.9
4 OK Energy FC Frontier Pre- White 8503 3620+16 151.88 LWWLW +0.40 -0.38 86% 3.6
5 Broken Arrow Soccer Club Pre 11614 4028+12 191.73 WLDWW +0.06 +0.05 32% 4.8
6 FC Tulsa Academy Pre- II 6312 1111+0 101.67 WLWDL +0.09 +0.09 4% 6.1
7 Arkansas Comets FC Pre- II 11515 3944-5 161.45 LDLWW -0.44 +0.79 0% 6.7
8 Arkansas Rising Pre 10307 3549-14 90.90 WWLLL +0.24 +0.11 0% 8.2
9 Tulsa SC Frontier Pre 11308 2641-15 90.82 LLLLL -0.27 +0.83 0% 8.8
10 West Side Alliance Pre 9207 1548-33 60.67 LLLWW -0.55 +0.95 0% 9.9
11 Oklahoma Celtic Pre- White 100010 477-73 00.00 LLLLL -0.32 +1.58 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.52 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.