TableChase Clubs

Beach Futbol Club Gold

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU14 · 17 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

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5th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+4 goal diff · 11–7
WWLDlast 4
40% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5
+0.20 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:30 PM

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Beach Futbol Club Gold
5th · 1.75 PPG
at
Legends FC - Del Mar
9th · 1.17 PPG

Miramesa High School , Field 1 - Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.8 against · 1.73 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol Club GoldLegends FC - Del Mar
Position5th9th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-12-1-3
Points per game1.751.17
Goals for / game2.81.7
Goals against / game1.81.8
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)D L W WL D W L L
Biggest win6–1 vs LA Breakers4–1 vs Rebels SC
Worst loss0–4 at Legends FC0–3 vs Eagles SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.58-0.18
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.20-0.02

Common opponents: SLAMMERS FC — we 2–2; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at Legends FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 51% / draw 19% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:30 PM at Miramesa High School .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    San Diego Surf sit 4th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A win moves us above San Diego Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC - Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club Gold – Legends FC - Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2
Loss
1.40 PPG
8th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 3 11th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
40% top 4
60% below the top 4
5.5 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 20%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 11%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 5%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.69 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Legends FC 2.67 (+0.92) 1st (2.41) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
2 SLAMMERS FC 2.60 (+0.85) 2nd (2.28) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
3 Slammers FC HB Koge 2.50 (+0.75) 3rd (1.98) 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
4 San Diego Surf 2.00 (+0.25) 6th (1.72) Win next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club Gold to Legends FC - Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 favour them
+1.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–0 0–4 0–0 3–0 3–0 2–1 1–4 3–3 1–3 4–0 2–2 2–0 1–1 Beach Futbol Club G… 5th SLAMMERS FC 2nd Legends FC 1st LAFC 12th Eagles SC 6th Rebels SC 14th Phoenix Rising FC 10th Utah Royals FC-AZ -… 16th Legends FC - Del Mar 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 14th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
03:30 PM
Legends FC - Del Mar
9th · 2-1-3 · GD -1
Away far trip
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.73 1.75 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
Blues
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -2
Home
El Camino College
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.06 1.80 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
05:30 PM
Rebels SC
14th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.94 1.82 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Eagles SC
6th · 2-2-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.15 1.73 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
San Diego Surf
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.68 1.73 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
10th · 2-1-3 · GD -2
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.73 1.73 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.40 1.70 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
LV Heat Surf
13th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.89 1.71 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.36 1.69 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-3 · GD +2
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.62 1.68 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL
16th · 0-1-4 · GD -12
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–0 2.65 1.75 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD
Sporting California USA
15th · 1-0-3 · GD -5
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.24 1.78 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 6510 152+13 162.67 WWWWW -0.07 -0.16 99% 1.5
2 SLAMMERS FC 5410 132+11 132.60 WWWWD -0.19 -0.05 97% 2.1
3 Slammers FC HB Koge 6501 104+6 152.50 LWWWW -0.38 +0.10 70% 3.9
4 San Diego Surf 6402 129+3 122.00 WLLWW -0.02 -0.07 26% 5.9
5 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4211 117+4 71.75 WWLD +0.20 -0.13 40% 5.5
6 Eagles SC 5221 63+3 81.60 DWDLW +0.27 -0.22 39% 5.4
7 Arizona Arsenal 2101 32+1 31.50 WL +0.22 -0.08 17% 7.2
8 Pateadores Soccer Club 5203 64+2 61.20 LLWLW +0.03 -0.08 6% 8.5
9 Legends FC - Del Mar 6213 1011-1 71.17 LLWDL -0.02 -0.03 1% 10.9
10 Phoenix Rising FC 6213 911-2 71.17 WLWDL +0.03 -0.04 1% 10.5
11 Blues 3102 46-2 31.00 WLL +0.42 -0.11 1% 10.8
12 LAFC 5122 710-3 51.00 LWDDL +0.12 -0.07 0% 11.6
13 LV Heat Surf 3102 36-3 31.00 WLL +0.46 -0.10 1% 11.3
14 Rebels SC 4103 47-3 30.75 LLLW -0.37 +0.11 0% 13.3
15 Sporting California USA 4103 611-5 30.75 LLWL +0.56 -0.17 0% 11.9
16 Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL 5014 214-12 10.20 LLLLD -0.02 +0.08 0% 16.3
17 LA Breakers 3003 113-12 00.00 LLL +0.46 -0.00 0% 16.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.57 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.