Result · Sunday, Oct 11, 11:00 AM
San Diego Surf 1–2 Phoenix Rising FC
University City High School · Upper Turf ↗ · turf · 92122
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 25% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 55% home, 21% draw, 25% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | San Diego Surf | Phoenix Rising FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-2 | 2-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L L W | L D W L W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at Blues | 3–0 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs Sporting California USA | 0–2 vs Arizona Arsenal |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.33 | -0.18 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.02 | +0.03 |
Already met this season: Oct 11 1–2 (home for San Diego Surf)
Common opponents: Legends FC - Del Mar — San Diego Surf 2–1; Phoenix Rising FC 1–3.
What's at stake
| San Diego Surf | Phoenix Rising FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 10th |
| Games left | 10 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 28% | 1% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.9 | 10.4 |
How the results connect
9 chains
6 favour San Diego Surf, 3 favour Phoenix Rising FC; average margin +1.6 goals toward San Diego Surf.
- -1San Diego Surf lost to Phoenix Rising FC 1–2
- +3San Diego Surf beat Legends FC - Del Mar 2–1 → Legends FC - Del Mar beat Phoenix Rising FC 3–1
- +1San Diego Surf beat Blues 3–1 → Blues lost to Legends FC 0–3 → Legends FC beat Phoenix Rising FC 2–0
- +1San Diego Surf beat Eagles SC 2–1 → Eagles SC drew with LAFC 1–1 → LAFC drew with Phoenix Rising FC 3–3
- -1San Diego Surf lost to Sporting California USA 2–3 → Sporting California USA lost to Legends FC 2–4 → Legends FC beat Phoenix Rising FC 2–0
- -2San Diego Surf beat Legends FC - Del Mar 2–1 → Legends FC - Del Mar drew with Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL 2–2 → Utah Royals FC-AZ -RL lost to Phoenix Rising FC 0–3
Full picture: San Diego Surf · Phoenix Rising FC · Southwest GU14 standings