Sting Black NTX
ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU18/19 · 22 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.0 against · 1.31 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Black NTX | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-3 | 5-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 2.29 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W L | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX | 4–0 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX |
| Worst loss | 2–5 vs SOLAR NTX Hernandez | 2–3 at DKSC WHITE NTX |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.34 | +0.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.74 | -0.37 |
Common opponents: SOLAR BLUE NTX — we 1–2; they 2–1. DKSC WHITE NTX — we 4–1; they 2–3. Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen — we 1–3; they 2–2. NTX Celtic FC Green NTX — we 7–0; they 4–0. Fever United FC NTX — we 3–3; they 1–0.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX concede only 1.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 37%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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What a win does
SOLAR NTX Hedges sit 13th on 1.43 PPG; we are on 1.38.A point moves us above SOLAR NTX Hedges on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Black NTX – FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.33 PPG |
14th— holds | 13th▲ up 1 | 15th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.56 PPG |
11th▲ up 3 | 12th▲ up 2 | 13th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
14th— holds | 13th▲ up 1 | 15th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.22 PPG |
15th▼ down 1 | 14th— holds | 16th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 12th if every rival drops points, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 3%
- 9th 6%
- 10th 12%
- 11th 14%
- 12th 15%
- 13th 14%
- 14th 13%
- 15th 9%
- 16th 5%
- 17th 3%
- 18th 2%
- 19th <1%
- 20th <1%
- 21st
- 22nd
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.13 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR RED NTX | 2.63 (+1.25) | 1st (2.54) | 29 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 2.40 (+1.02) | 3rd (2.15) | 25 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 2.29 (+0.91) | 5th (2.00) | 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 4 | SOLAR NTX Naizer | 2.25 (+0.87) | 2nd (2.36) | 23 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen | 2.22 (+0.84) | 4th (2.02) | 23 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 2.14 (+0.76) | 6th (1.99) | 22 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 7 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 2.00 (+0.62) | 7th (1.88) | 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 8 | Dallas Texans NTX | 2.00 (+0.62) | 8th (1.85) | 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 9 | Falls Town FC NTX | 1.70 (+0.32) | 9th (1.73) | 15 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 1.56 (+0.18) | 10th (1.56) | 13 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 11 | DKSC NTX Quintana | 1.50 (+0.12) | 13th (1.35) | A point next game |
| 12 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 1.50 (+0.12) | 14th (1.32) | A point next game |
| 13 | SOLAR NTX Hedges | 1.43 (+0.05) | 11th (1.43) | A point next game |
How the results connect
23 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Black NTX to FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.27 · 4th hardest of 22
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +7 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Thu Nov 5 08:15 PM |
NTX Celtic FC NTX 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.03 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:40 AM |
Sting WTX NTX 21st · 0-1-7 · GD -18 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–1 | 2.28 | 1.42 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 11:40 AM |
SOLAR NTX Hedges 13th · 3-1-3 · GD -1 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.34 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Thu Apr 8 06:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth NTX 6th · 5-0-2 · GD +7 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.90 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 09:50 AM |
DKSC NTX 17th · 2-1-4 · GD -4 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
3–1 | 2.06 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 03:20 PM |
SOLAR WHITE NTX 7th · 4-2-1 · GD +10 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 1.39 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR RED NTX | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 6 | +23 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWL | -0.09 | -0.57 | 99% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | -0.18 | -0.07 | 63% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Thu Nov 5 at Sting Black NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 16 | 2.29 | WLWWW | -0.37 | -0.15 | 32% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Oct 31 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting WTX NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SOLAR NTX Naizer | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | +22 | 18 | 2.25 | LWWWW | -0.10 | -0.59 | 95% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 20 | 2.22 | WWWDW | -0.43 | +0.57 | 43% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Apr 4 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Apr 11 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 15 | 2.14 | WWLLW | +0.46 | +0.10 | 32% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 14 | 2.00 | WWDDW | -0.99 | +0.24 | 19% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR NTX Hernandez · Sat Nov 7 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Dallas Texans NTX | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWWL | -0.41 | -0.19 | 14% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Oct 25 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Falls Town FC NTX | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 17 | 1.70 | WWLDW | +0.16 | -0.86 | 2% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sun Apr 4 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 14 | 1.56 | LWLDD | -0.75 | +0.19 | 1% | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting WTX NTX · Sun Apr 4 at DKSC NTX · Thu Apr 8 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | DKSC NTX Quintana | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWLL | +0.07 | -0.28 | 0% | 13.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Apr 10 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 | 1.50 | WWLWW | +0.06 | +0.30 | 0% | 13.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR NTX Naizer · Sun Nov 8 at DKSC NTX Quintana See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | SOLAR NTX Hedges | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | 1.43 | WLWWD | +0.64 | +0.02 | 0% | 12.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC NTX Quintana See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Sting Black NTX | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 11 | 1.38 | LWLWD | -0.74 | +0.27 | 0% | 12.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Thu Nov 5 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Sting WTX NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 | 1.25 | LWLLW | +0.14 | +0.12 | 0% | 16.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Falls Town FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR RED NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | SOLAR NTX Hernandez | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 | 1.13 | LWLWL | +0.46 | +0.24 | 0% | 14.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | DKSC NTX | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 7 | 1.00 | WLLWL | -0.66 | +0.05 | 0% | 16.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX Hernandez See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 6 | 0.86 | WLLLL | +0.29 | -0.04 | 0% | 16.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR NTX Naizer See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | Sting Royal NTX | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 | 0.33 | LDLDL | +0.75 | -0.17 | 0% | 18.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Falls Town FC NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 20 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 1 | 0.14 | DLLLL | +0.76 | +0.23 | 0% | 20.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting WTX NTX · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 21 | Sting WTX NTX | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 1 | 0.13 | LLDLL | +0.79 | +0.08 | 0% | 20.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna · Sun Oct 25 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 22 | NTX Celtic FC Green NTX | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 48 | -48 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.19 | +0.46 | 0% | 21.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Dallas Texans NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.13 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.