Falls Town FC NTX
ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU18/19 · 22 teams · Falls Town FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 03:20 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.0 against · 2.05 expected points)
| Season so far | Falls Town FC NTX | Sting Royal NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 19th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-3 | 0-2-4 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W W | L D L D L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Sting WTX NTX | — |
| Worst loss | 2–5 at FC Dallas Youth NTX | 1–5 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.20 | -0.83 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.15 | +0.74 |
Common opponents: Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen — we 3–3; they 1–5.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Sting Royal NTX average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 1 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs SOLAR NTX Hedges.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 61% / draw 21% / loss 18%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sting Royal NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Falls Town FC NTX – Sting Royal NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.82 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Win 1.82 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Draw 1.64 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 10th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.55 PPG |
10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 14%
- 8th 21%
- 9th 23%
- 10th 15%
- 11th 9%
- 12th 5%
- 13th 2%
- 14th <1%
- 15th <1%
- 16th <1%
- 17th
- 18th
- 19th
- 20th
- 21st
- 22nd
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.13 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR RED NTX | 2.63 (+0.93) | 1st (2.53) | 23 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 2.50 (+0.80) | 3rd (2.31) | 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 2.29 (+0.59) | 5th (2.00) | 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 4 | SOLAR NTX Naizer | 2.25 (+0.55) | 2nd (2.35) | 17 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen | 2.22 (+0.52) | 4th (2.02) | 17 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 2.14 (+0.44) | 6th (1.99) | 16 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 7 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 2.00 (+0.30) | 7th (1.86) | 13 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
| 8 | Dallas Texans NTX | 2.00 (+0.30) | 8th (1.85) | 13 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection |
How the results connect
14 chains · 12 teams
Paths of results that link Falls Town FC NTX to Sting Royal NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.86 · 22nd hardest of 22
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 03:20 PM |
Sting Royal NTX 19th · 0-2-4 · GD -9 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–0 | 2.05 | 1.73 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 07:00 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 15th · 3-1-4 · GD -11 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.81 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 05:10 PM |
NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 22nd · 0-0-8 · GD -48 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
3–0 | 2.84 | 1.82 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 01:30 PM |
SOLAR RED NTX 1st · 7-0-1 · GD +23 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 03:20 PM |
DKSC WHITE NTX 12th · 4-0-4 · GD -5 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.57 | 1.73 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR RED NTX | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 6 | +23 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWL | -0.09 | -0.57 | 98% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 11 | +20 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.36 | -0.02 | 84% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Thu Nov 5 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 16 | 2.29 | WLWWW | -0.37 | -0.15 | 28% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Oct 31 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting WTX NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SOLAR NTX Naizer | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | +22 | 18 | 2.25 | LWWWW | -0.11 | -0.59 | 93% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 20 | 2.22 | WWWDW | -0.42 | +0.57 | 38% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Apr 4 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Apr 11 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 15 | 2.14 | WWLLW | +0.46 | +0.10 | 27% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 14 | 2.00 | WWDDW | -1.08 | +0.31 | 16% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR NTX Hernandez · Sat Nov 7 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Dallas Texans NTX | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWWL | -0.41 | -0.19 | 13% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Oct 25 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Falls Town FC NTX | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 17 | 1.70 | WWLDW | +0.15 | -0.86 | 1% | 8.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sun Apr 4 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 14 | 1.56 | LWLDD | -0.75 | +0.20 | 1% | 10.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting WTX NTX · Sun Apr 4 at DKSC NTX · Thu Apr 8 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | DKSC NTX Quintana | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWLL | +0.07 | -0.28 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Apr 10 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 | 1.50 | WWLWW | +0.13 | +0.30 | 0% | 13.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR NTX Naizer · Sun Nov 8 at DKSC NTX Quintana See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | SOLAR NTX Hedges | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | 1.43 | WLWWD | +0.56 | +0.09 | 0% | 12.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC NTX Quintana See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Sting Black NTX | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 11 | 1.38 | LWLWD | -0.73 | +0.27 | 0% | 12.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Thu Nov 5 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Sting WTX NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 | 1.25 | LWLLW | +0.14 | +0.12 | 0% | 15.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Falls Town FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR RED NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | SOLAR NTX Hernandez | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 | 1.13 | LWLWL | +0.45 | +0.25 | 0% | 14.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | DKSC NTX | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 7 | 0.88 | LLWLL | -0.27 | -0.15 | 0% | 17.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX Hernandez · Sun Nov 8 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 6 | 0.86 | WLLLL | +0.29 | -0.04 | 0% | 16.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR NTX Naizer See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | Sting Royal NTX | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 | 0.33 | LDLDL | +0.74 | -0.16 | 0% | 18.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Falls Town FC NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 20 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 1 | 0.14 | DLLLL | +0.76 | +0.23 | 0% | 20.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting WTX NTX · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 21 | Sting WTX NTX | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 1 | 0.13 | LLDLL | +0.78 | +0.08 | 0% | 20.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna · Sun Oct 25 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 22 | NTX Celtic FC Green NTX | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 48 | -48 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.12 | +0.46 | 0% | 21.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Dallas Texans NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.16 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.