FC Dallas Youth NTX
ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU18/19 · 22 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:20 PM
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.5 for, 1.2 against · 2.48 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Dallas Youth NTX | DKSC NTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 17th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 2-1-5 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L W W | L L W L L |
| Biggest win | 5–2 vs Falls Town FC NTX | 6–0 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at SOLAR RED NTX | 1–8 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.85 | -1.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.46 | -0.27 |
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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What a win does
Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen sit 5th on 2.22 PPG; we are on 2.14.A point moves us above Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the DKSC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth NTX – DKSC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.25 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 2 | 6th— holds |
| Win 2.25 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 2 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 6th— holds | 8th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.88 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 9th▼ down 3 | 9th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 3%
- 3rd 8%
- 4th 16%
- 5th 18%
- 6th 17%
- 7th 14%
- 8th 9%
- 9th 7%
- 10th 5%
- 11th 2%
- 12th <1%
- 13th <1%
- 14th <1%
- 15th <1%
- 16th
- 17th
- 18th
- 19th
- 20th
- 21st
- 22nd
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR RED NTX | 2.63 (+0.49) | 1st (2.53) | 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 2 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 2.50 (+0.36) | 3rd (2.31) | 23 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 2.29 (+0.15) | 5th (2.00) | 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 4 | SOLAR NTX Naizer | 2.25 (+0.11) | 2nd (2.35) | Win next game |
| 5 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen | 2.22 (+0.08) | 4th (2.02) | A point next game |
How the results connect
12 chains · 15 teams
Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth NTX to DKSC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.10 · 10th hardest of 22
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jan 1 TBD no score posted |
SOLAR NTX Hedges 13th · 3-1-3 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 2.12 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 03:20 PM |
DKSC NTX 17th · 2-1-5 · GD -11 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.48 | 2.16 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 11:40 AM |
SOLAR WHITE NTX 7th · 4-2-1 · GD +10 |
Away Railroad Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.18 | 2.07 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 11:40 AM |
SOLAR NTX Hernandez 16th · 3-0-5 · GD -2 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 2.06 | Swing game |
| Thu Apr 8 06:30 PM |
Sting Black NTX 14th · 3-2-3 · GD +7 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 2.05 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 08:00 AM |
NTX Celtic FC NTX 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +20 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
2–3 | 0.90 | 1.96 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 01:30 PM |
Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 20th · 0-1-6 · GD -24 |
Away Dallas Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.58 | 2.00 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 09:50 AM |
Fever United FC NTX 10th · 4-2-3 · GD +12 |
Home Dallas Soccer Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.75 | 1.99 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR RED NTX | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 6 | +23 | 21 | 2.63 | WWWWL | -0.09 | -0.57 | 98% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | NTX Celtic FC NTX | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 11 | +20 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.36 | -0.02 | 84% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Thu Nov 5 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 16 | 2.29 | WLWWW | -0.37 | -0.15 | 28% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Oct 31 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting WTX NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SOLAR NTX Naizer | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | +22 | 18 | 2.25 | LWWWW | -0.11 | -0.59 | 93% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sun Apr 4 vs Dallas Texans NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 20 | 2.22 | WWWDW | -0.42 | +0.57 | 38% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR RED NTX · Sun Apr 4 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Apr 11 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dallas Youth NTX | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 15 | 2.14 | WWLLW | +0.46 | +0.10 | 27% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR WHITE NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR WHITE NTX | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 14 | 2.00 | WWDDW | -1.08 | +0.31 | 16% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR NTX Hernandez · Sat Nov 7 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Dallas Texans NTX | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWWL | -0.41 | -0.19 | 13% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Oct 25 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Falls Town FC NTX | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 17 | 1.70 | WWLDW | +0.15 | -0.86 | 1% | 8.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sun Apr 4 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Fever United FC NTX | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 14 | 1.56 | LWLDD | -0.75 | +0.20 | 1% | 10.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting WTX NTX · Sun Apr 4 at DKSC NTX · Thu Apr 8 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | DKSC NTX Quintana | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWLL | +0.07 | -0.28 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Apr 10 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | DKSC WHITE NTX | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 | 1.50 | WWLWW | +0.13 | +0.30 | 0% | 13.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 1 at SOLAR NTX Naizer · Sun Nov 8 at DKSC NTX Quintana See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | SOLAR NTX Hedges | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | 1.43 | WLWWD | +0.56 | +0.09 | 0% | 12.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC NTX Quintana See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Sting Black NTX | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 11 | 1.38 | LWLWD | -0.73 | +0.27 | 0% | 12.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Thu Nov 5 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Sting WTX NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | FC Dallas Youth Red NTX | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 | 1.25 | LWLLW | +0.14 | +0.12 | 0% | 15.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 1 vs Falls Town FC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR RED NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | SOLAR NTX Hernandez | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 | 1.13 | LWLWL | +0.45 | +0.25 | 0% | 14.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | DKSC NTX | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 7 | 0.88 | LLWLL | -0.27 | -0.15 | 0% | 17.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR NTX Hernandez · Sun Nov 8 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | SOLAR BLUE NTX | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 6 | 0.86 | WLLLL | +0.29 | -0.04 | 0% | 16.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR NTX Naizer See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | Sting Royal NTX | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 | 0.33 | LDLDL | +0.74 | -0.16 | 0% | 18.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans NTX · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Falls Town FC NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 20 | Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 1 | 0.14 | DLLLL | +0.76 | +0.23 | 0% | 20.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting WTX NTX · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR NTX Hedges · Sun Nov 8 vs DKSC NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 21 | Sting WTX NTX | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 1 | 0.13 | LLDLL | +0.78 | +0.08 | 0% | 20.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna · Sun Oct 25 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 22 | NTX Celtic FC Green NTX | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 48 | -48 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.12 | +0.46 | 0% | 21.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Royal NTX · Sun Nov 8 at Dallas Texans NTX See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.16 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.