TableChase Clubs

DKSC WHITE NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU18/19 · 22 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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12th
4-0-4 record · 8 played
1.50 points per game
-5 goal diff · 14–19
WWLWWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.5
+0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM

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DKSC WHITE NTX
12th · 1.50 PPG
vs
Dallas Texans NTX
8th · 2.00 PPG

Railroad Park , Field 8 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.4 against · 0.96 expected points)

Season so farDKSC WHITE NTXDallas Texans NTX
Position12th8th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-44-0-2
Points per game1.502.00
Goals for / game1.82.5
Goals against / game2.41.3
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)W W L W WL W W W L
Biggest win4–0 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX6–1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna
Worst loss0–6 at SOLAR RED NTX0–1 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.40+0.67
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.06-0.41

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at SOLAR WHITE NTX, 0–6 at SOLAR RED NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 25%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    DKSC NTX Quintana sit 11th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above DKSC NTX Quintana on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC WHITE NTX – Dallas Texans NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.33 PPG
14th▼ down 2 14th▼ down 2 15th▼ down 3
Win
1.67 PPG
10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1
Draw
1.44 PPG
12th— holds 13th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 2
Loss
1.33 PPG
14th▼ down 2 14th▼ down 2 15th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 9%
  12. 12th 14%
  13. 13th 14%
  14. 14th 14%
  15. 15th 13%
  16. 16th 11%
  17. 17th 7%
  18. 18th 5%
  19. 19th 1%
  20. 20th <1%
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.20 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SOLAR RED NTX 2.63 (+1.13) 1st (2.54) 28 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.40 (+0.90) 3rd (2.15) 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
3 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.29 (+0.79) 5th (2.00) 23 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
4 SOLAR NTX Naizer 2.25 (+0.75) 2nd (2.36) 22 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen 2.22 (+0.72) 4th (2.02) 22 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.14 (+0.64) 6th (1.99) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 7th (1.88) 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
8 Dallas Texans NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 8th (1.85) 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
9 Falls Town FC NTX 1.70 (+0.20) 9th (1.73) 14 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
10 Fever United FC NTX 1.56 (+0.06) 10th (1.56) A point next game
11 DKSC NTX Quintana 1.50 (+0.00) 13th (1.35) A point next game

How the results connect

12 chains · 14 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC WHITE NTX to Dallas Texans NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
9 favour them
-2.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 3–3 2–3 0–6 4–1 1–0 4–2 1–6 4–1 0–1 2–1 3–2 2–1 0–2 0–0 2–3 3–0 3–1 1–4 7–4 5–0 3–1 0–2 2–5 DKSC WHITE NTX 12th Fever United FC NTX 10th SOLAR RED NTX 1st SOLAR BLUE NTX 18th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 3rd SOLAR WHITE NTX 7th Sting Black NTX 14th SOLAR NTX Hedges 13th FC Dallas Youth NTX 6th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 20th Falls Town FC NTX 9th Sting WTX NTX 21st SOLAR NTX Hernandez 16th Dallas Texans NTX 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 11th 22nd Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.30 · 3rd hardest of 22

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM
Dallas Texans NTX
8th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Railroad Park
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.96 1.44 Upside
Sun Nov 1
05:10 PM
SOLAR NTX Naizer
4th · 6-0-2 · GD +22
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.29 1.32 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM
DKSC NTX Quintana
11th · 3-0-3 · GD -4
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.35 1.33 Upside
Sun Apr 4
05:10 PM
Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen
5th · 6-2-1 · GD +20
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–3 0.68 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 11
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
15th · 3-1-4 · GD -11
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.79 1.31 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
01:30 PM
Sting Royal NTX
19th · 0-2-4 · GD -9
Away
Railroad Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.55 1.33 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
03:20 PM
Falls Town FC NTX
9th · 5-2-3 · GD +2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.19 1.32 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SOLAR RED NTX 8701 296+23 212.63 WWWWL -0.09 -0.57 99% 1.5
2 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5401 2310+13 122.40 WWWWL -0.18 -0.07 63% 4.2
3 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7511 147+7 162.29 WLWWW -0.37 -0.15 34% 5.7
4 SOLAR NTX Naizer 8602 308+22 182.25 LWWWW -0.10 -0.59 93% 2.4
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX Bertlesen 9621 3717+20 202.22 WWWDW -0.43 +0.57 45% 5.1
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX 7502 169+7 152.14 WWLLW +0.46 +0.10 30% 5.9
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 7421 144+10 142.00 WWDDW -0.99 +0.24 19% 6.9
8 Dallas Texans NTX 6402 158+7 122.00 LWWWL -0.41 -0.19 15% 7.2
9 Falls Town FC NTX 10523 1715+2 171.70 WWLDW +0.16 -0.86 1% 8.7
10 Fever United FC NTX 9423 2816+12 141.56 LWLDD -0.75 +0.19 1% 10.2
11 DKSC NTX Quintana 6303 59-4 91.50 WLWLL +0.07 -0.28 0% 13.3
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 8404 1419-5 121.50 WWLWW +0.06 +0.30 0% 13.5
13 SOLAR NTX Hedges 7313 1516-1 101.43 WLWWD +0.64 +0.02 1% 12.1
14 Sting Black NTX 8323 2518+7 111.38 LWLWD -0.74 +0.27 0% 12.3
15 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8314 1829-11 101.25 LWLLW +0.14 +0.12 0% 15.9
16 SOLAR NTX Hernandez 8305 1315-2 91.13 LWLWL +0.46 +0.24 0% 14.7
17 DKSC NTX 7214 1317-4 71.00 WLLWL -0.66 +0.05 0% 16.0
18 SOLAR BLUE NTX 7205 1216-4 60.86 WLLLL +0.29 -0.04 0% 16.2
19 Sting Royal NTX 6024 514-9 20.33 LDLDL +0.75 -0.17 0% 18.4
20 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 7016 832-24 10.14 DLLLL +0.76 +0.23 0% 20.5
21 Sting WTX NTX 8017 422-18 10.13 LLDLL +0.79 +0.08 0% 20.4
22 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 8008 048-48 00.00 LLLLL +0.19 +0.46 0% 21.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.13 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.