TableChase Clubs

Nido Dallas NTX Blue

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU17 · 20 teams · Club America Nido Dallas (all teams)

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10th
4-1-4 record · 9 played
1.44 points per game
+3 goal diff · 13–10
LWDWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.7
+1.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:20 PM

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Nido Dallas NTX Blue
10th · 1.44 PPG
vs
Dallas Texans NTX
9th · 1.50 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 for, 1.4 against · 1.45 expected points)

Season so farNido Dallas NTX BlueDallas Texans NTX
Position10th9th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-44-0-4
Points per game1.441.50
Goals for / game1.42.5
Goals against / game1.11.6
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless32
Form (recent first)L W D W LW L W L L
Biggest win5–0 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Black8–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Red
Worst loss0–3 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX1–3 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.34+0.56
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.08+0.41

Common opponents: SOLAR NTX — we 3–0; they 3–0. NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 0–2; they 2–1. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 1–0; they 0–1. FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 0–3; they 1–3. DKSC NTX — we 0–1; they 0–2. Kernow Storm FC NTX Black — we 5–0; they 4–2. FC Dallas Youth Red NTX — we 2–1; they 2–4.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at NTX Celtic FC NTX, 0–3 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX, 0–1 vs DKSC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans NTX sit 9th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.44.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nido Dallas NTX Blue – Dallas Texans NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.40 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Win
1.60 PPG
9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1
Draw
1.40 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Loss
1.30 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 12%
  9. 9th 29%
  10. 10th 30%
  11. 11th 15%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 2%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.07 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 DKSC NTX 3.00 (+1.56) 1st (2.75) 32 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 3.00 (+1.56) 2nd (2.55) 32 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 2.78 (+1.34) 4th (2.44) 29 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.67 (+1.23) 3rd (2.47) 28 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.63 (+1.19) 5th (2.39) 27 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.22 (+0.78) 7th (1.88) 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.13 (+0.69) 6th (2.03) 19 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
8 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.75 (+0.31) 8th (1.77) 14 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
9 Dallas Texans NTX 1.50 (+0.06) 9th (1.55) A point next game

How the results connect

24 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Nido Dallas NTX Blue to Dallas Texans NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
4 even
9 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–3 0–1 2–0 0–3 3–1 1–0 1–0 2–1 4–2 5–0 2–4 0–2 1–2 1–2 2–2 1–1 3–0 1–3 3–0 10–0 0–8 Nido Dallas NTX Blue 10th SOLAR NTX 20th DKSC NTX 1st FC Dallas Youth Blu… 5th SOLAR WHITE NTX 8th FC Dallas Youth Red… 4th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 19th NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th SOLAR BLUE NTX 3rd Sting Black NTX 13th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 18th Dallas Texans NTX 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 20th Jan 1 Aug 30 Sep 13 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 13th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:20 PM
Dallas Texans NTX
9th · 4-0-4 · GD +7
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.45 1.44 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM
Nido Dallas NTX
15th · 2-1-5 · GD -19
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.38 1.53 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
07:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
12th · 2-4-3 · GD -12
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–1 1.86 1.56 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
03:20 PM
FRISCO FUSION NTX
16th · 2-0-6 · GD -26
Away
Railroad Park
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.43 1.62 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
11:40 AM
Kernow Storm FC NTX
6th · 6-2-1 · GD +20
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.23 1.60 Upside
Sun Apr 25
08:00 AM
DKSC WHITE NTX
2nd · 7-0-0 · GD +28
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.46 1.52 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 DKSC NTX 6600 421+41 183.00 WWWWW -1.15 -0.08 99% 1.5
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 7700 302+28 213.00 WWWWW -0.92 +0.48 87% 2.8
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 9810 368+28 252.78 WWDWW -0.94 +0.63 67% 3.7
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 9801 346+28 242.67 WWWLW -0.35 +0.10 78% 3.4
5 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8701 347+27 212.63 WWLWW -0.88 +0.15 63% 4.0
6 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9621 3010+20 202.22 LDDWW -1.56 +0.86 1% 7.2
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8521 236+17 172.13 WWDWL -0.76 -0.22 5% 6.3
8 SOLAR WHITE NTX 8422 199+10 141.75 DWDWL -0.34 -0.23 0% 7.9
9 Dallas Texans NTX 8404 2013+7 121.50 LLWLW +0.41 +0.13 0% 9.4
10 Nido Dallas NTX Blue 9414 1310+3 131.44 LWDWL +1.08 -0.13 0% 9.7
11 SOLAR RED NTX 8305 1018-8 91.13 LWWLL +0.97 -0.43 0% 12.4
12 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9243 1325-12 101.11 DLDDL +1.05 +0.14 0% 13.7
13 Sting Black NTX 8224 1014-4 81.00 LDDLW +1.53 -0.63 0% 11.8
14 Sting Brave NTX 8215 1721-4 70.88 LLDWL +1.00 -0.29 0% 12.8
15 Nido Dallas NTX 8215 1332-19 70.88 WLLDL +0.69 +0.61 0% 15.8
16 FRISCO FUSION NTX 8206 733-26 60.75 WLLLL +0.70 +0.80 0% 16.9
17 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 7124 1119-8 50.71 LLLDD +1.13 -0.28 0% 13.9
18 Kernow Storm FC NTX Red 7106 354-51 30.43 LLLLL +2.04 -0.07 0% 18.3
19 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7007 436-32 00.00 LLLLL -0.41 +0.25 0% 18.7
20 SOLAR NTX 150015 045-45 00.00 LLLLL +0.00 — 0% 19.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.