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FC Dallas Youth White NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU17 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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12th
2-4-3 record · 9 played
1.11 points per game
-12 goal diff · 13–25
DLDDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.6
+1.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 07:00 PM

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FC Dallas Youth White NTX
12th · 1.11 PPG
at
SOLAR BLUE NTX
3rd · 2.78 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 1.0 for, 4.0 against · 0.21 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth White NTXSOLAR BLUE NTX
Position12th3rd
Record (W-D-L)2-4-38-1-0
Points per game1.112.78
Goals for / game1.44.0
Goals against / game2.80.9
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L D D L DW W D W W
Biggest win3–0 at SOLAR NTX10–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Red
Worst loss0–10 at DKSC NTX—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.88+1.95
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.05-0.94

Common opponents: SOLAR NTX — we 3–0; they 3–0. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 1–1; they 2–2. Sting Brave NTX — we 1–1; they 5–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    SOLAR BLUE NTX score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    SOLAR BLUE NTX concede only 0.9/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–10 at DKSC NTX, 0–5 vs DKSC WHITE NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 5%; a draw (7%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 07:00 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    SOLAR RED NTX sit 11th on 1.13 PPG; we are on 1.11.

    A point moves us above SOLAR RED NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR BLUE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth White NTX – SOLAR BLUE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG		 13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 4
Win
1.30 PPG		 11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1
Draw
1.10 PPG		 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 4
Loss
1.00 PPG		 13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 23%
  14. 14th 28%
  15. 15th 20%
  16. 16th 8%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.87 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 DKSC NTX 3.00 (+1.89) 1st (2.75) 35 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 3.00 (+1.89) 2nd (2.55) 35 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 2.78 (+1.67) 4th (2.44) 32 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.67 (+1.56) 3rd (2.47) 31 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.63 (+1.52) 5th (2.39) 30 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.22 (+1.11) 7th (1.88) 24 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.13 (+1.02) 6th (2.03) 22 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.75 (+0.64) 8th (1.77) 17 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
9 Dallas Texans NTX 1.50 (+0.39) 9th (1.55) 13 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
10 Nido Dallas NTX Blue 1.44 (+0.33) 10th (1.52) 12 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
11 SOLAR RED NTX 1.13 (+0.02) 12th (1.21) A point next game

How the results connect

42 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth White NTX to SOLAR BLUE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
6 even
31 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–2 3–0 0–3 1–1 1–5 1–1 3–0 5–3 1–3 3–0 2–2 3–0 3–0 1–1 1–2 2–5 5–0 2–5 3–0 1–2 4–0 FC Dallas Youth Whi… 12th SOLAR WHITE NTX 8th SOLAR NTX 20th Sting Brave NTX 14th Kernow Storm FC NTX 6th NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 5th Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 17th Sting Black NTX 13th FRISCO FUSION NTX 16th Nido Dallas NTX Blue 10th SOLAR BLUE NTX 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 20th Jan 1 Aug 30 Sep 13 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 8th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
07:00 PM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
3rd · 8-1-0 · GD +28		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–4 0.21 1.02 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
4th · 8-0-1 · GD +28		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.28 0.95 Upside
Sun Nov 8
07:00 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX Blue
10th · 4-1-4 · GD +3		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–1 0.91 0.95 Upside
Sun Apr 4
03:20 PM		 Dallas Texans NTX
9th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–2 0.58 0.92 Upside
Sun Apr 11
03:20 PM		 FRISCO FUSION NTX
16th · 2-0-6 · GD -26		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
70%		 2–1 2.25 1.02 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
15th · 2-1-5 · GD -19		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 2–1 1.85 1.07 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 DKSC NTX 6600 421+41 183.00 WWWWW -1.15 -0.08 99% 1.5
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 7700 302+28 213.00 WWWWW -0.92 +0.48 85% 2.8
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 9810 368+28 252.78 WWDWW -0.94 +0.63 69% 3.6
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 9801 346+28 242.67 WWWLW -0.35 +0.10 76% 3.4
5 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8701 347+27 212.63 WWLWW -0.88 +0.15 65% 3.9
6 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9621 3010+20 202.22 LDDWW -1.56 +0.86 1% 7.2
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8521 236+17 172.13 WWDWL -0.76 -0.22 5% 6.3
8 SOLAR WHITE NTX 8422 199+10 141.75 DWDWL -0.34 -0.23 0% 7.8
9 Dallas Texans NTX 8404 2013+7 121.50 LLWLW +0.41 +0.13 0% 9.4
10 Nido Dallas NTX Blue 9414 1310+3 131.44 LWDWL +1.08 -0.13 0% 9.7
11 SOLAR RED NTX 8305 1018-8 91.13 LWWLL +0.97 -0.43 0% 12.3
12 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9243 1325-12 101.11 DLDDL +1.05 +0.14 0% 13.6
13 Sting Black NTX 8224 1014-4 81.00 LDDLW +1.53 -0.63 0% 11.8
14 Sting Brave NTX 8215 1721-4 70.88 LLDWL +1.00 -0.29 0% 12.9
15 Nido Dallas NTX 8215 1332-19 70.88 WLLDL +0.69 +0.61 0% 15.8
16 FRISCO FUSION NTX 8206 733-26 60.75 WLLLL +0.70 +0.80 0% 16.8
17 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 7124 1119-8 50.71 LLLDD +1.13 -0.28 0% 14.0
18 Kernow Storm FC NTX Red 7106 354-51 30.43 LLLLL +2.04 -0.07 0% 18.4
19 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7007 436-32 00.00 LLLLL -0.41 +0.25 0% 18.7
20 SOLAR NTX 150015 045-45 00.00 LLLLL +0.00 — 0% 19.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.