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FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU17 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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5th
7-0-1 record · 8 played
2.63 points per game
+27 goal diff · 34–7
WWLWWlast 5
64% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0
-0.88 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:20 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
5th · 2.63 PPG
at
Dallas Cosmos SC NTX
17th · 0.71 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 10 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.6 for, 1.2 against · 2.54 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Blue NTXDallas Cosmos SC NTX
Position5th17th
Record (W-D-L)7-0-11-2-4
Points per game2.630.71
Goals for / game4.31.6
Goals against / game0.92.7
Clean sheets51
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W W L W WD D L L L
Biggest win8–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Red3–0 vs SOLAR NTX
Worst loss0–4 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX0–5 vs DKSC WHITE NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.09-0.66
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.88+1.13

Common opponents: Nido Dallas NTX — we 4–0; they 2–2. FC Dallas Youth Red NTX — we 0–4; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 81% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:20 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Cosmos SC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX – Dallas Cosmos SC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.67 PPG		 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
2.67 PPG		 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
2.44 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
2.33 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
64% top 4
37% below the top 4
4.0 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 21%
  4. 4th 30%
  5. 5th 26%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 DKSC NTX 3.00 (+0.37) 1st (2.75) 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 3.00 (+0.37) 2nd (2.55) 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 2.78 (+0.15) 4th (2.44) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.67 (+0.04) 3rd (2.47) 20 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection

How the results connect

30 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX to Dallas Cosmos SC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

23 favour us
3 even
4 favour them
+3.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 2–0 4–0 2–2 8–0 0–10 3–1 0–10 5–0 0–10 5–0 3–0 0–2 2–2 0–6 0–5 3–1 3–0 0–3 2–4 5–2 3–0 2–2 FC Dallas Youth Blu… 5th FC Dallas Youth Red… 4th Nido Dallas NTX 15th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 18th FRISCO FUSION NTX 16th Nido Dallas NTX Blue 10th Dallas Texans NTX 9th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 12th SOLAR BLUE NTX 3rd DKSC WHITE NTX 2nd NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th SOLAR NTX 20th Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 17th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 20th Jan 1 Aug 30 Sep 13 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.15 · 7th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:20 PM		 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX
17th · 1-2-4 · GD -8		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 3–1 2.54 2.62 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:50 AM		 NTX Celtic FC NTX
7th · 5-2-1 · GD +17		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 2–1 1.84 2.54 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
09:50 AM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black
19th · 0-0-7 · GD -32		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 7–0 2.98 2.58 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
11:40 AM		 DKSC NTX
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +41		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.74 2.42 Upside
Sun Apr 18
08:00 AM		 SOLAR RED NTX
11th · 3-0-5 · GD -8		 Away
Railroad Park 		●○○○○ Favorable
80%		 3–1 2.51 2.43 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
01:30 PM		 SOLAR WHITE NTX
8th · 4-2-2 · GD +10		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–1 1.82 2.39 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
08:00 AM		 Sting Brave NTX
14th · 2-1-5 · GD -4		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.40 2.39 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 DKSC NTX 6600 421+41 183.00 WWWWW -1.15 -0.08 99% 1.5
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 7700 302+28 213.00 WWWWW -0.92 +0.48 86% 2.8
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 9810 368+28 252.78 WWDWW -0.94 +0.63 69% 3.6
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 9801 346+28 242.67 WWWLW -0.35 +0.10 78% 3.4
5 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8701 347+27 212.63 WWLWW -0.88 +0.15 64% 4.0
6 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9621 3010+20 202.22 LDDWW -1.56 +0.86 1% 7.3
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8521 236+17 172.13 WWDWL -0.76 -0.22 4% 6.3
8 SOLAR WHITE NTX 8422 199+10 141.75 DWDWL -0.34 -0.23 0% 7.9
9 Dallas Texans NTX 8404 2013+7 121.50 LLWLW +0.41 +0.13 0% 9.5
10 Nido Dallas NTX Blue 9414 1310+3 131.44 LWDWL +1.08 -0.13 0% 9.7
11 SOLAR RED NTX 8305 1018-8 91.13 LWWLL +0.97 -0.43 0% 12.4
12 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9243 1325-12 101.11 DLDDL +1.05 +0.14 0% 13.6
13 Sting Black NTX 8224 1014-4 81.00 LDDLW +1.53 -0.63 0% 11.8
14 Sting Brave NTX 8215 1721-4 70.88 LLDWL +1.00 -0.29 0% 12.8
15 Nido Dallas NTX 8215 1332-19 70.88 WLLDL +0.69 +0.61 0% 15.9
16 FRISCO FUSION NTX 8206 733-26 60.75 WLLLL +0.70 +0.80 0% 16.8
17 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 7124 1119-8 50.71 LLLDD +1.13 -0.28 0% 14.0
18 Kernow Storm FC NTX Red 7106 354-51 30.43 LLLLL +2.04 -0.07 0% 18.4
19 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7007 436-32 00.00 LLLLL -0.41 +0.25 0% 18.7
20 SOLAR NTX 150015 045-45 00.00 LLLLL +0.00 — 0% 19.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.