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FRISCO FUSION NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU17 · 20 teams · Frisco Fusion (all teams)

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16th
2-0-6 record · 8 played
0.75 points per game
-26 goal diff · 7–33
WLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 16.9
+0.70 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:40 AM

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FRISCO FUSION NTX
16th · 0.75 PPG
at
DKSC NTX
1st · 3.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–8 (expected goals 0.5 for, 8.7 against · 0.00 expected points)

Season so farFRISCO FUSION NTXDKSC NTX
Position16th1st
Record (W-D-L)2-0-66-0-0
Points per game0.753.00
Goals for / game0.97.0
Goals against / game4.10.2
Clean sheets15
Held scoreless50
Form (recent first)L L L L WW W W W W
Biggest win3–0 at SOLAR NTX15–0 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Red
Worst loss0–10 at DKSC WHITE NTX—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.44+4.08
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.70-1.15

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    DKSC NTX score 7.0/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    DKSC NTX concede only 0.2/game with 5 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–4 at SOLAR WHITE NTX, 0–5 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX, 0–6 at NTX Celtic FC NTX, 0–2 vs SOLAR RED NTX, 0–10 at DKSC WHITE NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 0%; a draw (0%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    DKSC NTX have won 6 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:40 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Nido Dallas NTX sit 15th on 0.88 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above Nido Dallas NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the DKSC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FRISCO FUSION NTX – DKSC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.67 PPG		 17th▼ down 1 16th— holds 18th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG		 14th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 2 16th— holds
Draw
0.78 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 17th▼ down 1
Loss
0.67 PPG		 17th▼ down 1 16th— holds 18th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–8 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
16.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th 2%
  16. 16th 16%
  17. 17th 73%
  18. 18th 8%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 DKSC NTX 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.75) 39 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 3.00 (+2.25) 2nd (2.55) 39 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 2.78 (+2.03) 4th (2.44) 36 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.67 (+1.92) 3rd (2.47) 35 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.63 (+1.88) 5th (2.39) 34 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.22 (+1.47) 7th (1.88) 28 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 2.13 (+1.38) 6th (2.03) 26 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.75 (+1.00) 8th (1.77) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
9 Dallas Texans NTX 1.50 (+0.75) 9th (1.55) 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
10 Nido Dallas NTX Blue 1.44 (+0.69) 10th (1.52) 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
11 SOLAR RED NTX 1.13 (+0.38) 12th (1.21) 11 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
12 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.11 (+0.36) 14th (1.07) 11 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
13 Sting Black NTX 1.00 (+0.25) 11th (1.26) Win next game
14 Sting Brave NTX 0.88 (+0.13) 13th (1.12) A point next game
15 Nido Dallas NTX 0.88 (+0.13) 16th (0.76) A point next game

How the results connect

29 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link FRISCO FUSION NTX to DKSC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
29 favour them
-8.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–3 0–1 0–3 0–2 2–5 2–1 2–1 2–4 0–5 3–0 5–1 0–5 0–6 2–0 0–5 3–1 0–4 1–0 7–0 1–9 0–3 FRISCO FUSION NTX 16th SOLAR NTX 20th SOLAR BLUE NTX 3rd Kernow Storm FC NTX… 19th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 5th NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th SOLAR WHITE NTX 8th Nido Dallas NTX Blue 10th Dallas Texans NTX 9th Sting Brave NTX 14th Nido Dallas NTX 15th DKSC NTX 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 10th 20th Jan 1 Aug 30 Sep 13 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.80 · 2nd hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
11:40 AM		 DKSC NTX
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +41		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–8 0.00 0.67 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX
6th · 6-2-1 · GD +20		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 0–4 0.19 0.62 Upside
Sun Nov 8
07:00 PM		 Dallas Texans NTX
9th · 4-0-4 · GD +7		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.30 0.59 Upside
Sun Apr 4
03:20 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX Blue
10th · 4-1-4 · GD +3		 Home
Railroad Park 		●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.42 0.58 Upside
Sun Apr 11
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth White NTX
12th · 2-4-3 · GD -12		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–2 0.60 0.58 Upside
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
4th · 8-0-1 · GD +28		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.07 0.54 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:30 PM		 Nido Dallas NTX
15th · 2-1-5 · GD -19		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.75 0.56 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 DKSC NTX 6600 421+41 183.00 WWWWW -1.15 -0.08 99% 1.5
2 DKSC WHITE NTX 7700 302+28 213.00 WWWWW -0.92 +0.48 87% 2.8
3 SOLAR BLUE NTX 9810 368+28 252.78 WWDWW -0.94 +0.63 67% 3.7
4 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 9801 346+28 242.67 WWWLW -0.35 +0.10 78% 3.4
5 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8701 347+27 212.63 WWLWW -0.88 +0.15 63% 4.0
6 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9621 3010+20 202.22 LDDWW -1.56 +0.86 1% 7.2
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8521 236+17 172.13 WWDWL -0.76 -0.22 5% 6.3
8 SOLAR WHITE NTX 8422 199+10 141.75 DWDWL -0.34 -0.23 0% 7.9
9 Dallas Texans NTX 8404 2013+7 121.50 LLWLW +0.41 +0.13 0% 9.4
10 Nido Dallas NTX Blue 9414 1310+3 131.44 LWDWL +1.08 -0.13 0% 9.7
11 SOLAR RED NTX 8305 1018-8 91.13 LWWLL +0.97 -0.43 0% 12.4
12 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9243 1325-12 101.11 DLDDL +1.05 +0.14 0% 13.7
13 Sting Black NTX 8224 1014-4 81.00 LDDLW +1.53 -0.63 0% 11.8
14 Sting Brave NTX 8215 1721-4 70.88 LLDWL +1.00 -0.29 0% 12.8
15 Nido Dallas NTX 8215 1332-19 70.88 WLLDL +0.69 +0.61 0% 15.8
16 FRISCO FUSION NTX 8206 733-26 60.75 WLLLL +0.70 +0.80 0% 16.9
17 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 7124 1119-8 50.71 LLLDD +1.13 -0.28 0% 13.9
18 Kernow Storm FC NTX Red 7106 354-51 30.43 LLLLL +2.04 -0.07 0% 18.3
19 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7007 436-32 00.00 LLLLL -0.41 +0.25 0% 18.7
20 SOLAR NTX 150015 045-45 00.00 LLLLL +0.00 — 0% 19.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.32 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.