Pipeline SC
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · Pipeline SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM
Notre Dame Prepatory School, Field 1 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.3 for, 0.9 against · 2.59 expected points)
| Season so far | Pipeline SC | PDA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-2 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W W | L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs PSA Monmouth | — |
| Worst loss | 3–5 vs Maryland United FC | 0–6 vs World Class FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.60 | -1.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.47 | +0.33 |
Common opponents: PSA Monmouth — we 3–0; they 0–1. STA — we 3–4; they 0–3.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
PDA average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 3 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
PDA concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–6 vs World Class FC.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 83% chance; likely score 3–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
PDA have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PDA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pipeline SC – PDA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–0 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 23%
- 4th 26%
- 5th 24%
- 6th 18%
- 7th 6%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
- 14th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC | 3.00 (+1.20) | 1st (2.80) | 69 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | STA | 2.71 (+0.91) | 2nd (2.44) | 62 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection |
| 3 | Delaware FC | 2.17 (+0.37) | 4th (1.86) | 48 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
How the results connect
4 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Pipeline SC to PDA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.25 · 11th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:00 PM |
PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–0 | 2.59 | 1.93 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3 |
Away Downingtown East High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.66 | 1.89 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 10:00 AM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 1.90 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Home Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–1 | 1.51 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Home Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.41 | 1.91 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 PM |
World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–2 | 1.67 | 1.89 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 6 02:00 PM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15 |
Home Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–1 | 2.63 | 1.95 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 12 10:00 AM |
Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Maryland Soccerplex |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.18 | 1.89 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 19 10:00 AM |
PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
PDA Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
2–1 | 2.41 | 1.93 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
STA 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.83 | 1.86 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
SJEB FC 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–1 | 2.24 | 1.88 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–1 | 2.29 | 1.90 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Maryland United FC 1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.27 | 1.81 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.94 | 1.82 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–0 | 2.64 | 1.86 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 01:00 PM |
Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.21 | 1.83 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.14 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.20 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.43 | 1.88 | Bank it |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 1.87 | Swing game |
| Sat Jun 5 TBD |
World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.35 | 1.85 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Maryland United FC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 7 | +38 | 24 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.30 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | STA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 19 | 2.71 | DWWWW | -0.43 | -0.15 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Delaware FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWWW | -0.44 | -0.08 | 53% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pipeline SC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | +0.47 | -0.25 | 50% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO · Sat Oct 31 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Potomac Soccer Association | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.56 | -0.33 | 65% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | World Class FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.34 | -0.15 | 29% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sun Oct 4 vs Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC DELCO | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 | 1.43 | DWLWL | +0.49 | -0.27 | 3% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | 1.00 | DWLLD | +0.27 | -0.12 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SJEB FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | +0.22 | -0.10 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Baltimore Celtic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLLD | +0.36 | -0.10 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | PSA Monmouth | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.42 | +0.10 | 0% | 11.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 1 | 0.25 | LDLL | +1.32 | -0.19 | 0% | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | PDA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.33 | -0.02 | 0% | 12.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Match Fit Surf | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.44 | -0.06 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 at Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.