TableChase Clubs

Pipeline SC

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · Pipeline SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
4th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+4 goal diff · 13–9
WWWLLlast 5
50% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.6
+0.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Pipeline SC
4th · 1.80 PPG
vs
PDA
13th · 0.00 PPG

Notre Dame Prepatory School, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.3 for, 0.9 against · 2.59 expected points)

Season so farPipeline SCPDA
Position4th13th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-20-0-3
Points per game1.800.00
Goals for / game2.60.0
Goals against / game1.83.3
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)L L W W WL L L
Biggest win3–0 vs PSA Monmouth—
Worst loss3–5 vs Maryland United FC0–6 vs World Class FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.60-1.56
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.47+0.33

Common opponents: PSA Monmouth — we 3–0; they 0–1. STA — we 3–4; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    PDA average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 3 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    PDA concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–6 vs World Class FC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 83% chance; likely score 3–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    PDA have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PDA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pipeline SC – PDA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
4th— holds 6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2
Win
2.00 PPG
4th— holds 6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2
Draw
1.67 PPG
5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG
5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–0 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
50% top 4
50% below the top 4
4.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 23%
  4. 4th 26%
  5. 5th 24%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Maryland United FC 3.00 (+1.20) 1st (2.80) 69 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 STA 2.71 (+0.91) 2nd (2.44) 62 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection
3 Delaware FC 2.17 (+0.37) 4th (1.86) 48 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Pipeline SC to PDA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
0 favour them
+4.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–4 3–0 3–0 1–0 2–0 2–5 4–0 6–0 Pipeline SC 4th STA 2nd PSA Monmouth 11th Match Fit Surf 14th World Class FC 6th PDA 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.25 · 11th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
PDA
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Home
Notre Dame Prepatory School
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.59 1.93 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
FC DELCO
7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3
Away
Downingtown East High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.66 1.89 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
10:00 AM
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.95 1.90 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Delaware FC
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7
Home
Notre Dame Prepatory School
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–1 1.51 1.86 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Baltimore Celtic
10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Home
Notre Dame Prepatory School
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.41 1.91 Bank it
Sat Dec 5
12:00 PM
World Class FC
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Home
Notre Dame Prepatory School
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.67 1.89 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
02:00 PM
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Home
Notre Dame Prepatory School
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.63 1.95 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
10:00 AM
Potomac Soccer Association
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Away far trip
Maryland Soccerplex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.18 1.89 Upside
Sat Dec 19
10:00 AM
PDA
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away far trip
PDA Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–1 2.41 1.93 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
TBD
STA
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21
Home
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.83 1.86 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
SJEB FC
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.24 1.88 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
PSA Monmouth
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.29 1.90 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Maryland United FC
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 1.81 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
FC DELCO
7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.94 1.82 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Match Fit Surf
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–0 2.64 1.86 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
01:00 PM
Delaware FC
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7
Away far trip
Smith Estates · turf
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.21 1.83 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD
Baltimore Celtic
10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.14 1.84 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.20 1.86 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.43 1.88 Bank it
Sun May 23
TBD
Potomac Soccer Association
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.49 1.87 Swing game
Sat Jun 5
TBD
World Class FC
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.35 1.85 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Maryland United FC 8800 457+38 243.00 WWWWW -0.30 -0.37 100% 1.1
2 STA 7610 276+21 192.71 DWWWW -0.43 -0.15 100% 2.0
3 Delaware FC 6411 169+7 132.17 DWWWW -0.44 -0.08 53% 4.5
4 Pipeline SC 5302 139+4 91.80 WWWLL +0.47 -0.25 50% 4.6
5 Potomac Soccer Association 5302 139+4 91.80 LLWWW +0.56 -0.33 65% 4.2
6 World Class FC 2101 64+2 31.50 WL +0.34 -0.15 29% 5.3
7 FC DELCO 7313 1114-3 101.43 DWLWL +0.49 -0.27 3% 6.8
8 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 5122 511-6 51.00 DWLLD +0.27 -0.12 0% 9.0
9 SJEB FC 5113 916-7 40.80 DLLLW +0.22 -0.10 0% 8.9
10 Baltimore Celtic 5113 919-10 40.80 WLLLD +0.36 -0.10 0% 9.6
11 PSA Monmouth 5104 212-10 30.60 LLLLW -0.42 +0.10 0% 11.6
12 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4013 318-15 10.25 LDLL +1.32 -0.19 0% 12.0
13 PDA 3003 010-10 00.00 LLL +0.33 -0.02 0% 12.5
14 Match Fit Surf 5005 217-15 00.00 LLLLL +0.44 -0.06 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.