Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:45 PM
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center, Field 6 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.3 against · 0.93 expected points)
| Season so far | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | World Class FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-2-2 | 1-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D L L W D | L W |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs PSA Monmouth | 6–0 at PDA |
| Worst loss | 0–6 at Maryland United FC | 0–4 at STA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.66 | +0.43 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.27 | +0.34 |
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
World Class FC score 3.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 at Maryland United FC, 0–2 vs FC DELCO.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 24%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the World Class FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals – World Class FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.83 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 13th▼ down 5 |
| Win 1.33 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 1 | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 11th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.83 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 13th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th
- 5th 1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 8%
- 8th 28%
- 9th 29%
- 10th 21%
- 11th 7%
- 12th 3%
- 13th 1%
- 14th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.62 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.80) | 73 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 68 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | STA | 2.71 (+1.71) | 2nd (2.44) | 66 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection |
| 3 | Delaware FC | 2.17 (+1.17) | 4th (1.86) | 52 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 4 | Pipeline SC | 1.80 (+0.80) | 5th (1.85) | 42 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection |
| 5 | Potomac Soccer Association | 1.80 (+0.80) | 3rd (1.92) | 42 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 6 | World Class FC | 1.50 (+0.50) | 6th (1.73) | 34 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 7 | FC DELCO | 1.43 (+0.43) | 7th (1.49) | 33 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
How the results connect
2 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals to World Class FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.12 · 7th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:45 PM |
World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.93 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 10:00 AM |
Pipeline SC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.85 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.97 | 1.09 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 12:00 PM |
Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 1.06 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 10:00 AM |
PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.74 | 1.13 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 28 11:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Monmouth Regional High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.80 | 1.19 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 TBD |
STA 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.25 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM |
SJEB FC 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.46 | 1.14 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 01:00 PM |
SJEB FC 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Camden Catholic High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.17 | 1.14 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.62 | 1.17 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 10:00 AM |
Maryland United FC 1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.16 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–1 | 0.98 | 1.10 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 12:00 PM |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.62 | 1.13 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.70 | 1.14 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.59 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Pipeline SC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.63 | 1.09 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 12:45 PM |
Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.62 | 1.07 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 12:45 PM |
PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
1–1 | 1.98 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 09:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.04 | 1.14 | Swing game |
| Sat Jun 5 10:00 AM |
STA 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21 |
Home Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–3 | 0.38 | 1.11 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Maryland United FC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 7 | +38 | 24 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.30 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | STA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 19 | 2.71 | DWWWW | -0.43 | -0.15 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Delaware FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWWW | -0.44 | -0.08 | 53% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pipeline SC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | +0.47 | -0.25 | 49% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO · Sat Oct 31 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Potomac Soccer Association | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.56 | -0.33 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | World Class FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.34 | -0.15 | 29% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sun Oct 4 vs Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC DELCO | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 | 1.43 | DWLWL | +0.49 | -0.27 | 4% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | 1.00 | DWLLD | +0.27 | -0.12 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SJEB FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | +0.22 | -0.10 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Baltimore Celtic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLLD | +0.36 | -0.10 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | PSA Monmouth | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.42 | +0.10 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 1 | 0.25 | LDLL | +1.32 | -0.19 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | PDA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.33 | -0.02 | 0% | 12.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Match Fit Surf | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.44 | -0.06 | 0% | 12.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 at Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.