PDA
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · Players Development Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM
Notre Dame Prepatory School, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.3 against · 0.31 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA | Pipeline SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-3 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L | L L W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 vs PSA Monmouth |
| Worst loss | 0–6 vs World Class FC | 3–5 vs Maryland United FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.56 | +0.60 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.33 | +0.47 |
Common opponents: STA — we 0–3; they 3–4. PSA Monmouth — we 0–1; they 3–0.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–6 vs World Class FC, 0–3 at STA, 0–1 vs PSA Monmouth.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 7%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Notre Dame Prepatory School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy sit 12th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Penn Fusion Soccer Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Pipeline SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA – Pipeline SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
13th— holds | 14th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
11th▲ up 2 | 9th▲ up 4 | 14th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
12th▲ up 1 | 13th— holds | 14th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
13th— holds | 14th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th 2%
- 10th 6%
- 11th 14%
- 12th 20%
- 13th 28%
- 14th 30%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 23 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.80) | 78 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 73 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | STA | 2.71 (+2.71) | 2nd (2.44) | 71 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection |
| 3 | Delaware FC | 2.17 (+2.17) | 4th (1.86) | 57 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection |
| 4 | Pipeline SC | 1.80 (+1.80) | 5th (1.85) | 47 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection |
| 5 | Potomac Soccer Association | 1.80 (+1.80) | 3rd (1.92) | 47 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection |
| 6 | World Class FC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 6th (1.73) | 39 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 7 | FC DELCO | 1.43 (+1.43) | 7th (1.49) | 38 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 1.00 (+1.00) | 9th (1.11) | 26 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 9 | SJEB FC | 0.80 (+0.80) | 8th (1.14) | 21 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 10 | Baltimore Celtic | 0.80 (+0.80) | 10th (1.03) | 21 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 11 | PSA Monmouth | 0.60 (+0.60) | 11th (0.74) | A point next game |
| 12 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 0.25 (+0.25) | 12th (0.71) | A point next game |
How the results connect
4 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link PDA to Pipeline SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.02 · 2nd hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:00 PM |
Pipeline SC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.31 | 0.08 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 10:45 AM |
Maryland United FC 1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38 |
Away far trip
Liberty Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–6 | 0.03 | 0.07 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.77 | 0.18 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 12:30 PM |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Toms River East High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 0.34 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:30 AM |
Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.31 | 0.34 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 10:00 AM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–1 | 1.02 | 0.41 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 12:00 PM |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.16 | 0.54 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 02:45 PM |
Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–2 | 0.42 | 0.53 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 12:00 PM |
SJEB FC 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 19 10:00 AM |
Pipeline SC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–2 | 0.45 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.34 | 0.54 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 08:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.56 | 0.60 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 08:00 AM |
STA 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.16 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.16 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 10:00 AM |
SJEB FC 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.68 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.28 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.57 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 PM |
Maryland United FC 1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.05 | 0.57 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 10:00 AM |
Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.45 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.78 | 0.57 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 12:45 PM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–1 | 0.81 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 10:00 AM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.43 | 0.62 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Maryland United FC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 7 | +38 | 24 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.30 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | STA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 19 | 2.71 | DWWWW | -0.43 | -0.15 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Delaware FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWWW | -0.44 | -0.08 | 52% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pipeline SC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | +0.47 | -0.25 | 50% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO · Sat Oct 31 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Potomac Soccer Association | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.56 | -0.33 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | World Class FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.34 | -0.15 | 29% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sun Oct 4 vs Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC DELCO | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 | 1.43 | DWLWL | +0.49 | -0.27 | 4% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | 1.00 | DWLLD | +0.27 | -0.12 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SJEB FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | +0.22 | -0.10 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Baltimore Celtic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLLD | +0.36 | -0.10 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | PSA Monmouth | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.42 | +0.10 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 1 | 0.25 | LDLL | +1.32 | -0.19 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | PDA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.33 | -0.02 | 0% | 12.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Match Fit Surf | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.44 | -0.06 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 at Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.