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PDA

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · Players Development Academy (all teams)

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13th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-10 goal diff · 0–10
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.6
+0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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PDA
13th · 0.00 PPG
at
Pipeline SC
4th · 1.80 PPG

Notre Dame Prepatory School, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.3 against · 0.31 expected points)

Season so farPDAPipeline SC
Position13th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-33-0-2
Points per game0.001.80
Goals for / game0.02.6
Goals against / game3.31.8
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)L L LL L W W W
Biggest win—3–0 vs PSA Monmouth
Worst loss0–6 vs World Class FC3–5 vs Maryland United FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.56+0.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.33+0.47

Common opponents: STA — we 0–3; they 3–4. PSA Monmouth — we 0–1; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–6 vs World Class FC, 0–3 at STA, 0–1 vs PSA Monmouth.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Notre Dame Prepatory School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Penn Fusion Soccer Academy sit 12th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Penn Fusion Soccer Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pipeline SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA – Pipeline SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
13th— holds 14th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 1
Win
0.75 PPG
11th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 4 14th▼ down 1
Draw
0.25 PPG
12th▲ up 1 13th— holds 14th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
13th— holds 14th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 14%
  12. 12th 20%
  13. 13th 28%
  14. 14th 30%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 23 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Maryland United FC 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.80) 78 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 73 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 STA 2.71 (+2.71) 2nd (2.44) 71 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection
3 Delaware FC 2.17 (+2.17) 4th (1.86) 57 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
4 Pipeline SC 1.80 (+1.80) 5th (1.85) 47 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
5 Potomac Soccer Association 1.80 (+1.80) 3rd (1.92) 47 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
6 World Class FC 1.50 (+1.50) 6th (1.73) 39 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
7 FC DELCO 1.43 (+1.43) 7th (1.49) 38 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
8 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 1.00 (+1.00) 9th (1.11) 26 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
9 SJEB FC 0.80 (+0.80) 8th (1.14) 21 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
10 Baltimore Celtic 0.80 (+0.80) 10th (1.03) 21 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
11 PSA Monmouth 0.60 (+0.60) 11th (0.74) A point next game
12 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 0.25 (+0.25) 12th (0.71) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link PDA to Pipeline SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
4 favour them
-4.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 4–3 0–1 0–3 5–2 0–2 0–6 0–4 PDA 13th STA 2nd PSA Monmouth 11th World Class FC 6th Match Fit Surf 14th Pipeline SC 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 2nd hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
Pipeline SC
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Away far trip
Notre Dame Prepatory School
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 0.08 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:45 AM
Maryland United FC
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38
Away far trip
Liberty Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.03 0.07 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:00 AM
FC DELCO
7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.77 0.18 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:30 PM
Match Fit Surf
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Away far trip
Toms River East High School
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.31 0.34 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:30 AM
Delaware FC
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7
Away far trip
Smith Estates · turf
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 0.34 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.02 0.41 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:00 PM
Baltimore Celtic
10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.04 0.48 Upside
Sun Nov 22
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 0.54 Upside
Sat Dec 5
02:45 PM
Potomac Soccer Association
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–2 0.42 0.53 Upside
Sun Dec 6
12:00 PM
SJEB FC
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.92 0.56 Upside
Sat Dec 19
10:00 AM
Pipeline SC
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.45 0.55 Upside
Sun Feb 28
TBD
World Class FC
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.34 0.54 Upside
Sun Mar 7
08:00 AM
Match Fit Surf
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.56 0.60 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
08:00 AM
STA
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.16 0.58 Upside
Sat Mar 27
TBD
PSA Monmouth
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.16 0.61 Upside
Sat Apr 17
10:00 AM
SJEB FC
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Potomac Soccer Association
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.60 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
FC DELCO
7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.57 0.59 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 PM
Maryland United FC
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.05 0.57 Upside
Sun May 2
10:00 AM
Delaware FC
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.45 0.56 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
Baltimore Celtic
10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Away
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.78 0.57 Upside
Sun May 16
12:45 PM
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–1 0.81 0.58 Upside
Sun May 23
10:00 AM
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Home
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.43 0.62 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Maryland United FC 8800 457+38 243.00 WWWWW -0.30 -0.37 100% 1.0
2 STA 7610 276+21 192.71 DWWWW -0.43 -0.15 100% 2.0
3 Delaware FC 6411 169+7 132.17 DWWWW -0.44 -0.08 52% 4.5
4 Pipeline SC 5302 139+4 91.80 WWWLL +0.47 -0.25 50% 4.6
5 Potomac Soccer Association 5302 139+4 91.80 LLWWW +0.56 -0.33 66% 4.1
6 World Class FC 2101 64+2 31.50 WL +0.34 -0.15 29% 5.3
7 FC DELCO 7313 1114-3 101.43 DWLWL +0.49 -0.27 4% 6.8
8 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 5122 511-6 51.00 DWLLD +0.27 -0.12 0% 9.0
9 SJEB FC 5113 916-7 40.80 DLLLW +0.22 -0.10 0% 8.9
10 Baltimore Celtic 5113 919-10 40.80 WLLLD +0.36 -0.10 0% 9.6
11 PSA Monmouth 5104 212-10 30.60 LLLLW -0.42 +0.10 0% 11.7
12 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4013 318-15 10.25 LDLL +1.32 -0.19 0% 11.9
13 PDA 3003 010-10 00.00 LLL +0.33 -0.02 0% 12.6
14 Match Fit Surf 5005 217-15 00.00 LLLLL +0.44 -0.06 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.