SJEB FC
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · SJEB FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM
Smith Estates, Turf ↗ · turf far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 for, 3.2 against · 0.60 expected points)
| Season so far | SJEB FC | Delaware FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L D | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Match Fit Surf | 5–1 vs Baltimore Celtic |
| Worst loss | 0–9 at Maryland United FC | 2–5 vs Maryland United FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.69 | +0.63 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.22 | -0.44 |
Common opponents: Penn Fusion Soccer Academy — we 1–1; they 5–2. Maryland United FC — we 0–9; they 2–5. Match Fit Surf — we 7–0; they 1–0.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–9 at Maryland United FC, 0–2 vs Pipeline SC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 15%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Delaware FC have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:30 AM at Smith Estates.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.80.A point moves us above Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Delaware FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SJEB FC – Delaware FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.67 PPG |
10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 5 |
| Win 1.17 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 11th▼ down 2 |
| Draw 0.83 PPG |
9th— holds | 8th▲ up 1 | 13th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 0.67 PPG |
10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 9%
- 8th 32%
- 9th 28%
- 10th 19%
- 11th 7%
- 12th 2%
- 13th <1%
- 14th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC | 3.00 (+2.20) | 1st (2.80) | 74 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 69 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | STA | 2.71 (+1.91) | 2nd (2.44) | 67 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection |
| 3 | Delaware FC | 2.17 (+1.37) | 4th (1.86) | 53 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 4 | Pipeline SC | 1.80 (+1.00) | 5th (1.85) | 43 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 5 | Potomac Soccer Association | 1.80 (+1.00) | 3rd (1.92) | 43 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 6 | World Class FC | 1.50 (+0.70) | 6th (1.73) | 35 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 7 | FC DELCO | 1.43 (+0.63) | 7th (1.49) | 34 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 1.00 (+0.20) | 9th (1.11) | A point next game |
How the results connect
13 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link SJEB FC to Delaware FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.10 · 6th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:30 AM |
Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.60 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 02:00 PM |
STA 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21 |
Away far trip
Central Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–4 | 0.21 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–2 | 0.96 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 10:00 AM |
FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–2 | 1.29 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 0.91 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 6 12:00 PM |
PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.89 | 1.00 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 08:00 AM |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.41 | 1.03 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.33 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 01:00 PM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6 |
Home Camden Catholic High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.62 | 1.09 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 10:00 AM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
3–1 | 2.14 | 1.16 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.56 | 1.13 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Pipeline SC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.61 | 1.10 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 10:00 AM |
STA 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.34 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 10:00 AM |
PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.15 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 10:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.21 | 1.17 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–3 | 0.68 | 1.14 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.75 | 1.17 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Maryland United FC 1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–5 | 0.13 | 1.13 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 10:00 AM |
Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
3–2 | 1.76 | 1.15 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.01 | 1.15 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 02:00 PM |
Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7 |
Home Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.85 | 1.14 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Maryland United FC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 7 | +38 | 24 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.30 | -0.37 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | STA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 19 | 2.71 | DWWWW | -0.43 | -0.15 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Delaware FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 13 | 2.17 | DWWWW | -0.44 | -0.08 | 53% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pipeline SC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | +0.47 | -0.25 | 49% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO · Sat Oct 31 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Potomac Soccer Association | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.56 | -0.33 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | World Class FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.34 | -0.15 | 29% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sun Oct 4 vs Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC DELCO | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 | 1.43 | DWLWL | +0.49 | -0.27 | 4% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | 1.00 | DWLLD | +0.27 | -0.12 | 0% | 9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SJEB FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | +0.22 | -0.10 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Baltimore Celtic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLLD | +0.36 | -0.10 | 0% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | PSA Monmouth | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.42 | +0.10 | 0% | 11.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 1 | 0.25 | LDLL | +1.32 | -0.19 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | PDA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.33 | -0.02 | 0% | 12.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Match Fit Surf | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.44 | -0.06 | 0% | 12.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 at Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.