TableChase Clubs

Maryland United FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · Maryland United Football Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 15 minutes ago.
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1st
8-0-0 record · 8 played
3.00 points per game
+38 goal diff · 45–7
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:45 AM

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Maryland United FC
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
PDA
13th · 0.00 PPG

Liberty Sports Park, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 6–0 (expected goals 6.2 for, 0.6 against · 2.96 expected points)

Season so farMaryland United FCPDA
Position1st13th
Record (W-D-L)8-0-00-0-3
Points per game3.000.00
Goals for / game5.60.0
Goals against / game0.93.3
Clean sheets50
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)W W W W WL L L
Biggest win9–0 vs SJEB FC—
Worst loss—0–6 vs World Class FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.34-1.56
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.30+0.33

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    PDA average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 3 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    PDA concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–6 vs World Class FC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 98% chance; likely score 6–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    PDA have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PDA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Maryland United FC – PDA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.78 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.67 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 6–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

95% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 95%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

8 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Maryland United FC to PDA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
1 favour them
+5.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 0–5 3–0 5–3 3–4 7–0 0–5 3–0 1–0 3–0 5–0 1–1 6–0 2–0 5–0 4–1 Maryland United FC 1st Potomac Soccer Asso… 5th Pipeline SC 4th Penn Fusion Soccer … 12th FC DELCO 7th Philadelphia Ukrain… 8th Baltimore Celtic 10th STA 2nd PSA Monmouth 11th PDA 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.37 · 14th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:45 AM
PDA
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Home
Liberty Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.96 3.00 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM
STA
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21
Home
Indian Creek
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–1 2.04 2.90 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
12:00 PM
PSA Monmouth
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away far trip
The Ranney School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
4–0 2.88 2.90 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM
Match Fit Surf
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Away far trip
Monmouth Regional High School
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.94 2.90 Bank it
Sat Nov 28
TBD
World Class FC
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
4–1 2.54 2.87 Bank it
Sat Dec 19
10:00 AM
Delaware FC
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7
Home
Liberty Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
4–1 2.60 2.85 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
TBD
Baltimore Celtic
10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
6–1 2.89 2.86 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
10:00 AM
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–0 2.78 2.85 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.97 2.86 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Pipeline SC
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.64 2.85 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Potomac Soccer Association
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
4–1 2.60 2.83 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Match Fit Surf
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -15
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
6–0 2.97 2.84 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 PM
PDA
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away far trip
PDA Soccer Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.92 2.85 Bank it
Sun May 2
TBD
STA
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–2 1.73 2.79 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
SJEB FC
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.83 2.80 Bank it
Sun May 16
TBD
PSA Monmouth
11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.94 2.80 Bank it
Sun May 23
TBD
World Class FC
6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
4–1 2.72 2.80 Bank it
Sat Jun 5
TBD
FC DELCO
7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–0 2.79 2.80 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Maryland United FC 8800 457+38 243.00 WWWWW -0.30 -0.37 100% 1.1
2 STA 7610 276+21 192.71 DWWWW -0.43 -0.15 100% 2.0
3 Delaware FC 6411 169+7 132.17 DWWWW -0.44 -0.08 49% 4.6
4 Pipeline SC 5302 139+4 91.80 WWWLL +0.47 -0.25 50% 4.6
5 Potomac Soccer Association 5302 139+4 91.80 LLWWW +0.56 -0.33 67% 4.1
6 World Class FC 2101 64+2 31.50 WL +0.34 -0.15 29% 5.3
7 FC DELCO 7313 1114-3 101.43 DWLWL +0.49 -0.27 4% 6.8
8 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 5122 511-6 51.00 DWLLD +0.27 -0.12 0% 9.0
9 SJEB FC 5113 916-7 40.80 DLLLW +0.22 -0.10 0% 8.8
10 Baltimore Celtic 5113 919-10 40.80 WLLLD +0.36 -0.10 0% 9.7
11 PSA Monmouth 5104 212-10 30.60 LLLLW -0.42 +0.10 0% 11.8
12 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4013 318-15 10.25 LDLL +1.32 -0.19 0% 11.9
13 PDA 3003 010-10 00.00 LLL +0.33 -0.02 0% 12.5
14 Match Fit Surf 5005 217-15 00.00 LLLLL +0.44 -0.06 0% 12.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.