Match Fit Surf

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU13 · 14 teams · Match Fit Surf (all teams)

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14th

0-0-5 record · 5 played

0.00 points per game

-15 goal diff · 2–17

LLLLLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.0

+0.44 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM

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Match Fit Surf
14th · 0.00 PPG

Potomac Soccer Association
5th · 1.80 PPG

Maryland Soccerplex, Field 13 ↗ far trip

5% 9% 86%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.6 against · 0.24 expected points)

Season so far	Match Fit Surf	Potomac Soccer Association
Position	14th	5th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-5	3-0-2
Points per game	0.00	1.80
Goals for / game	0.4	2.6
Goals against / game	3.4	1.8
Clean sheets	0	2
Held scoreless	4	1
Form (recent first)	L L L L L	W W W L L
Biggest win	—	4–0 vs FC DELCO
Worst loss	0–7 at SJEB FC	0–5 at STA
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.72	+0.72
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.44	+0.56

Common opponents: FC DELCO — we 0–2; they 4–0. STA — we 2–5; they 0–5. SJEB FC — we 0–7; they 4–1.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 at FC DELCO, 0–2 vs Pipeline SC, 0–1 at Delaware FC, 0–7 at SJEB FC.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 5%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
Potomac Soccer Association have won 3 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
Away game
Kickoff 12:30 PM at Maryland Soccerplex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
PDA sit 13th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above PDA on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Potomac Soccer Association game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Match Fit Surf – Potomac Soccer Association) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.00 PPG	14th— holds	13th▲ up 1	14th— holds
Win 0.50 PPG	12th▲ up 2	12th▲ up 2	14th— holds
Draw 0.17 PPG	13th▲ up 1	13th▲ up 1	14th— holds
Loss 0.00 PPG	14th— holds	13th▲ up 1	14th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

13.0 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th <1%
9th 1%
10th 3%
11th 9%
12th 16%
13th 28%
14th 43%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Maryland United FC	3.00 (+3.00)	1st (2.80)	78 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 73 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	STA	2.71 (+2.71)	2nd (2.44)	71 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	Delaware FC	2.17 (+2.17)	4th (1.86)	57 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
4	Pipeline SC	1.80 (+1.80)	5th (1.85)	47 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
5	Potomac Soccer Association	1.80 (+1.80)	3rd (1.92)	47 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
6	World Class FC	1.50 (+1.50)	6th (1.73)	39 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
7	FC DELCO	1.43 (+1.43)	7th (1.49)	38 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
8	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals	1.00 (+1.00)	9th (1.11)	26 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
9	SJEB FC	0.80 (+0.80)	8th (1.14)	21 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
10	Baltimore Celtic	0.80 (+0.80)	10th (1.03)	21 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
11	PSA Monmouth	0.60 (+0.60)	11th (0.74)	16 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
12	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy	0.25 (+0.25)	12th (0.71)	A point next game
13	PDA	0.00 (+0.00)	13th (0.62)	Already ahead

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Match Fit Surf to Potomac Soccer Association through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

10 favour them

-3.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.06 · 3rd hardest of 14

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 4 12:00 PM no score posted	World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2	Away far trip Orangetown Soccer Complex	●●●●● Very tough	7%	1–3	0.30	0.05	Upside
Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM	Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4	Away far trip Maryland Soccerplex	●●●●● Very tough	5%	0–3	0.24	0.08	Upside
Sun Oct 25 10:00 AM	PSA Monmouth 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10	Away The Ranney School	●●●●○ Tough	29%	1–1	1.11	0.21	Upside
Sat Nov 7 12:30 PM	PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10	Home Toms River East High School	●●●●○ Tough	40%	1–1	1.44	0.34	Upside
Sat Nov 21 TBD	Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10	Away	●●●●● Very tough	18%	1–2	0.71	0.38	Upside
Sun Nov 22 11:00 AM	Maryland United FC 1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38	Home Monmouth Regional High School	●●●●● Very tough	1%	0–5	0.04	0.35	Upside
Sat Nov 28 11:00 AM	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6	Home Monmouth Regional High School	●●●●● Very tough	25%	1–1	0.97	0.40	Upside
Sat Dec 5 09:00 AM	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15	Away far trip Scott Auto Field	●●●●○ Tough	30%	1–2	1.10	0.46	Upside
Sun Mar 7 08:00 AM	PDA 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -10	Away far trip PDA Soccer Complex	●●●●○ Tough	32%	1–1	1.20	0.51	Upside
Sun Mar 14 TBD	World Class FC 6th · 1-0-1 · GD +2	Home	●●●●● Very tough	11%	1–3	0.45	0.50	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	PSA Monmouth 11th · 1-0-4 · GD -10	Home	●●●●○ Tough	36%	1–1	1.34	0.56	Upside
Sun Apr 11 TBD	STA 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +21	Away	●●●●● Very tough	1%	0–4	0.08	0.53	Upside
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -15	Home	●●●●○ Tough	38%	1–1	1.37	0.58	Upside
Sun Apr 18 10:00 AM	SJEB FC 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -7	Away far trip Tuckahoe Farm	●●●●● Very tough	15%	1–2	0.63	0.58	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Pipeline SC 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4	Away	●●●●● Very tough	6%	0–3	0.27	0.56	Upside
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Maryland United FC 1st · 8-0-0 · GD +38	Away	●●●●● Very tough	0%	0–6	0.02	0.54	Upside
Sun May 2 TBD	FC DELCO 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -3	Home	●●●●● Very tough	17%	1–2	0.71	0.54	Upside
Sun May 9 TBD	Delaware FC 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +7	Home	●●●●● Very tough	9%	0–2	0.41	0.54	Upside
Sat May 15 TBD	Potomac Soccer Association 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4	Home	●●●●● Very tough	8%	1–3	0.38	0.53	Upside
Sun May 16 TBD	Baltimore Celtic 10th · 1-1-3 · GD -10	Home	●●●●○ Tough	26%	1–2	0.97	0.55	Upside
Sun May 23 09:00 AM	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 1-2-2 · GD -6	Away far trip Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center	●●●●● Very tough	18%	1–2	0.75	0.56	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Maryland United FC

+38

3.00

WWWWW

-0.30

-0.37

100%

1.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	5–3
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	7–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	FC DELCO (7th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	6–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	9–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	5–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	PDA (13th)	6–0	98%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	STA (2nd)	3–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	5–0	97%
·	Sat Nov 28	at	World Class FC (6th)	4–1	81%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	4–1	84%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	6–1	96%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	4–0	91%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	7–0	99%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	4–1	85%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	4–1	84%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat May 1	at	PDA (13th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun May 2	at	STA (2nd)	2–2	52%
·	Sun May 9	at	SJEB FC (9th)	5–1	93%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun May 23	vs	World Class FC (6th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	4–0	91%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

STA

+21

2.71

DWWWW

-0.43

-0.15

100%

2.0

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	World Class FC (6th)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	4–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	PDA (13th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	5–0
D	Sat Sep 26	at	FC DELCO (7th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	5–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	5–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	3–0	91%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	4–1	87%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–3	21%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	3–0	85%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	5–0	95%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	PDA (13th)	3–0	90%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	World Class FC (6th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SJEB FC (9th)	3–1	82%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	3–0	87%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	2–2	30%
·	Sun May 9	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	2–1	68%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	5–1	92%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	3–0	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Delaware FC

2.17

DWWWW

-0.44

-0.08

52%

4.5

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	5–2
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	5–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	2–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	2–5

Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	World Class FC (6th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PDA (13th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	STA (2nd)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	2–1	44%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	2–1	46%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC DELCO (7th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun May 2	at	PDA (13th)	2–0	75%
·	Sun May 9	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–0	78%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun May 16	at	STA (2nd)	1–2	16%
·	Sat May 22	vs	World Class FC (6th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun May 23	at	SJEB FC (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–0	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pipeline SC

1.80

WWWLL

+0.47

-0.25

50%

4.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	3–5
L	Sat Oct 17	at	STA (2nd)	3–4
W	Sun Oct 4	at	SJEB FC (9th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO · Sat Oct 31 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	PDA (13th)	3–0	83%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC DELCO (7th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	2–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	World Class FC (6th)	2–2	50%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	3–1	85%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	2–2	33%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	PDA (13th)	2–1	76%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	STA (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	3–0	85%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–2	34%
·	Sun May 2	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun May 16	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	World Class FC (6th)	2–2	39%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Potomac Soccer Association

1.80

LLWWW

+0.56

-0.33

66%

4.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 17	at	SJEB FC (9th)	4–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	3–0
L	Sat Oct 3	at	STA (2nd)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–1	69%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	PDA (13th)	2–1	77%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	World Class FC (6th)	2–2	52%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	STA (2nd)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	3–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–0	80%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC DELCO (7th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	PDA (13th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	70%
·	Sun May 9	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat May 15	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun May 16	at	World Class FC (6th)	2–2	41%
·	Sun May 23	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	2–2	37%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

World Class FC

1.50

+0.34

-0.15

29%

5.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	STA (2nd)	0–4
W	Sun Sep 20	at	PDA (13th)	6–0

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sun Oct 4 vs Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic See all 24 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	SJEB FC (9th)	2–2	57%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	4–1	83%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Nov 28	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	FC DELCO (7th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	PDA (13th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	STA (2nd)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	66%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	3–1	68%
·	Sun May 2	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun May 9	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–0	77%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat May 22	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–2	31%
·	Sun May 23	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	2–2	42%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC DELCO

-3

1.43

DWLWL

+0.49

-0.27

6.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	0–4
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–5
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	6–2
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	STA (2nd)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	PDA (13th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SJEB FC (9th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Nov 28	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	1–1	56%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	World Class FC (6th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	World Class FC (6th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–1	53%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–0	64%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	PDA (13th)	2–0	69%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–2	30%
·	Sun May 2	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun May 9	at	STA (2nd)	1–3	9%
·	Sun May 16	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–4	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals

-6

1.00

DWLLD

+0.27

-0.12

9.0

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	2–2
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–6
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–0
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	World Class FC (6th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PDA (13th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat Nov 28	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	1–1	52%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	STA (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	SJEB FC (9th)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	1–1	45%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC DELCO (7th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	2–1	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	World Class FC (6th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun May 2	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun May 9	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat May 15	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–2	15%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PDA (13th)	1–1	59%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	STA (2nd)	0–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SJEB FC

-7

0.80

DLLLW

+0.22

-0.10

8.9

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	7–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–4
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–9
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	STA (2nd)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	World Class FC (6th)	2–2	26%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	PDA (13th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	2–2	41%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–1	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	3–1	66%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	STA (2nd)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	PDA (13th)	2–1	66%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	World Class FC (6th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun May 2	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–5	3%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	3–2	53%
·	Sun May 16	at	FC DELCO (7th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–2	22%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Baltimore Celtic

-10

0.80

WLLLD

+0.36

-0.10

9.6

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	2–2
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	2–6
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–5
W	Sun Sep 13	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	4–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	World Class FC (6th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	2–2	51%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	STA (2nd)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–3	12%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PDA (13th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	1–6	2%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	FC DELCO (7th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	World Class FC (6th)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	3–1	62%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–3	19%
·	Sun May 9	vs	PDA (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat May 15	at	SJEB FC (9th)	2–3	30%
·	Sun May 16	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun May 23	at	STA (2nd)	1–5	3%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA Monmouth

-10

0.60

LLLLW

-0.42

+0.10

11.7

W	Sun Oct 18	at	PDA (13th)	1–0
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	STA (2nd)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SJEB FC (9th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	World Class FC (6th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Nov 28	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	1–1	21%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	0–2	8%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	PDA (13th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FC DELCO (7th)	0–2	16%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	STA (2nd)	0–3	4%
·	Sun May 2	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun May 9	at	World Class FC (6th)	0–2	10%
·	Sun May 16	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	0–2	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Penn Fusion Soccer Academy

-15

0.25

LDLL

+1.32

-0.19

11.9

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	2–5
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–7
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	STA (2nd)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	2–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	World Class FC (6th)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	PDA (13th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	STA (2nd)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	SJEB FC (9th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	FC DELCO (7th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	1–3	22%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun May 2	vs	World Class FC (6th)	1–3	12%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun May 23	at	PDA (13th)	1–1	37%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA

-10

0.00

LLL

+0.33

-0.02

12.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	STA (2nd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	World Class FC (6th)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–1	26%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–2	10%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	SJEB FC (9th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	1–2	11%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	World Class FC (6th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	STA (2nd)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SJEB FC (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FC DELCO (7th)	0–2	13%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	0–2	10%
·	Sun May 9	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun May 16	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–1	20%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	1–1	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Match Fit Surf

-15

0.00

LLLLL

+0.44

-0.06

13.0

L	Sun Oct 18	at	SJEB FC (9th)	0–7
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Delaware FC (3rd)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Pipeline SC (4th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	STA (2nd)	2–5
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC DELCO (7th)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 4 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 at Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	World Class FC (6th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	PSA Monmouth (11th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PDA (13th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Nov 28	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	PDA (13th)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	World Class FC (6th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PSA Monmouth (11th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	STA (2nd)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (12th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SJEB FC (9th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Pipeline SC (4th)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Maryland United FC (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FC DELCO (7th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Delaware FC (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (5th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Baltimore Celtic (10th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun May 23	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (8th)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.