TableChase Clubs

Solano Surf

ECNL Regional League Boys · NorCal BU16 · 24 teams · Solano Surf (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 56 minutes ago. Next available update in 04:00.
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23rd
0-0-7 record · 7 played
0.00 points per game
-23 goal diff · 1–24
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 22.4
+0.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:35 PM

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Solano Surf
23rd · 0.00 PPG
at
Legends FC
22nd · 0.14 PPG

Andrew Hill High School, Turf ↗ · turf far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 1.7 against · 0.87 expected points)

Season so farSolano SurfLegends FC
Position23rd22nd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-70-1-6
Points per game0.000.14
Goals for / game0.10.4
Goals against / game3.43.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless64
Form (recent first)L L L L LL D L L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–7 at Union FC0–4 vs South Valley United Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.18-1.46
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.47+0.88

Common opponents: Sheriffs FC — we 1–2; they 1–2. FC Fresno Academy — we 0–3; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Legends FC average 0.4 goals/game (league avg 1.9); blanked in 4 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Legends FC concede 3.0/game; worst result 0–4 vs South Valley United Soccer Club.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 6 time(s): 0–4 at SF United FC, 0–2 vs Walnut Creek Surf, 0–1 at Stanford Strikers, 0–7 at Union FC, 0–5 vs Reno APEX Soccer Club, 0–3 at FC Fresno Academy.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:35 PM at Andrew Hill High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Legends FC sit 22nd on 0.14 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Legends FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Solano Surf – Legends FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
23rd— holds 23rd— holds 24th▼ down 1
Win
0.38 PPG
22nd▲ up 1 22nd▲ up 1 22nd▲ up 1
Draw
0.13 PPG
23rd— holds 23rd— holds 24th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
23rd— holds 23rd— holds 24th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 23rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 24th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
22.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th 2%
  20. 20th 7%
  21. 21st 11%
  22. 22nd 20%
  23. 23rd 50%
  24. 24th 10%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 1.69 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Reno APEX Soccer Club 2.43 (+2.43) 1st (2.21) 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Walnut Creek Surf 2.43 (+2.43) 3rd (2.17) 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Albany Berkeley Soccer Club 2.29 (+2.29) 4th (2.11) 37 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Central Valley Premier FC -RL 2.29 (+2.29) 9th (1.73) 37 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Clovis Crossfire 2.14 (+2.14) 2nd (2.18) 35 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Stockton TLJ FC 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (2.03) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 South Valley United Soccer Club 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.92) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Diablo Valley Futbol Club 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.92) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Cent. California Soccer Alliance 1.86 (+1.86) 8th (1.88) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 Sheriffs FC 1.86 (+1.86) 13th (1.53) 30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
11 SF United FC 1.57 (+1.57) 10th (1.64) 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
12 FC Fresno Academy 1.57 (+1.57) 11th (1.57) 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
13 Vacaville United Soccer Club 1.57 (+1.57) 15th (1.49) 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
14 East Bay United 1.29 (+1.29) 14th (1.50) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
15 Union FC 1.14 (+1.14) 12th (1.53) 19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
16 Turlock Academica Jrs 1.14 (+1.14) 16th (1.37) 19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
17 San Ramon FC -RL 1.14 (+1.14) 17th (1.20) 19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
18 Dnamo FC Delta 0.86 (+0.86) 18th (1.06) 14 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
19 East County Revolution FC 0.71 (+0.71) 21st (0.56) 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection
20 Stanford Strikers 0.57 (+0.57) 20th (0.57) 10 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
21 Livermore Fusion SCECNL RL 0.43 (+0.43) 19th (0.66) 7 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
22 Legends FC 0.14 (+0.14) 22nd (0.51) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Solano Surf to Legends FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
4 even
4 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 2–1 0–3 4–0 0–1 0–0 0–4 0–0 4–0 1–1 1–3 4–0 0–2 2–2 4–1 2–2 0–5 4–0 0–7 1–1 0–2 1–1 1–6 Solano Surf 23rd Sheriffs FC 10th FC Fresno Academy 12th Stanford Strikers 20th SF United FC 11th Walnut Creek Surf 2nd Reno APEX Soccer Cl… 1st Union FC 15th Clovis Crossfire 5th South Valley United… 7th Central Valley Prem… 4th Diablo Valley Futbo… 8th Legends FC 22nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 15 Aug 22 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.52 · 23rd hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:35 PM
Legends FC
22nd · 0-1-6 · GD -18
Away far trip
Andrew Hill High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.87 0.11 Upside
Sat Oct 31
10:30 AM
East County Revolution FC
19th · 1-2-4 · GD -27
Away
Sunset Sports Complex (SSC)
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.97 0.20 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:55 PM
South Valley United Soccer Club
7th · 4-2-1 · GD +8
Home
Fairfield High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.18 0.20 Upside
Sat Mar 13
02:00 PM
South Valley Chivas
24th · 0-0-7 · GD -45
Home
Octo Inn Soccer Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.97 0.36 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
02:00 PM
Diablo Valley Futbol Club
8th · 4-2-1 · GD +7
Home
Octo Inn Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.24 0.35 Upside
Sat Apr 10
10:00 AM
Stockton TLJ FC
6th · 4-2-1 · GD +15
Away far trip
Stockton Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.07 0.33 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Dnamo FC Delta
18th · 2-0-5 · GD -8
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.38 0.33 Upside
Sun Apr 25
02:00 PM
Albany Berkeley Soccer Club
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +12
Home
Octo Inn Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.16 0.32 Upside
Sat May 1
02:00 PM
Turlock Academica Jrs
16th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Home
Octo Inn Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.42 0.33 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Reno APEX Soccer Club 7520 195+14 172.43 WDWWW -0.12 -0.13 75% 3.2
2 Walnut Creek Surf 7520 198+11 172.43 WWDWW +0.06 -0.10 65% 3.9
3 Albany Berkeley Soccer Club 7511 175+12 162.29 WWWWW -0.30 -0.20 56% 4.4
4 Central Valley Premier FC -RL 7511 1911+8 162.29 WLWWW -0.22 +0.53 6% 9.7
5 Clovis Crossfire 7430 252+23 152.14 WWWDW -0.83 +0.44 74% 3.3
6 Stockton TLJ FC 7421 216+15 142.00 WWWDL -0.21 -0.13 46% 5.1
7 South Valley United Soccer Club 7421 168+8 142.00 LWDDW +0.66 -0.44 23% 6.8
8 Diablo Valley Futbol Club 7421 158+7 142.00 WDLDW +0.05 -0.57 24% 6.8
9 Cent. California Soccer Alliance 7340 246+18 131.86 DDDWW -0.76 +0.47 23% 7.1
10 Sheriffs FC 7412 117+4 131.86 LWWWL -0.61 +0.58 1% 12.6
11 SF United FC 7322 136+7 111.57 WLLDW +0.18 +0.22 3% 10.8
12 FC Fresno Academy 7322 1410+4 111.57 DLDWW -0.10 -0.11 1% 11.9
13 Vacaville United Soccer Club 7322 1210+2 111.57 DLDWL +0.31 +0.18 1% 13.0
14 East Bay United 7304 2614+12 91.29 LWWLW -0.55 +0.22 1% 12.4
15 Union FC 7223 169+7 81.14 DWWLL -0.30 -0.20 1% 12.2
16 Turlock Academica Jrs 7223 1212+0 81.14 LDLDL +0.16 -0.52 0% 14.4
17 San Ramon FC -RL 7223 1113-2 81.14 LDWDW -0.54 -0.13 0% 16.2
18 Dnamo FC Delta 7205 1018-8 60.86 WWLLL +0.66 -0.05 0% 17.4
19 East County Revolution FC 7124 734-27 50.71 LDLDL +0.17 +0.30 0% 20.8
20 Stanford Strikers 7115 317-14 40.57 WLLLL +0.20 +0.30 0% 20.6
21 Livermore Fusion SCECNL RL 7106 621-15 30.43 LLLLL +0.17 -0.26 0% 19.9
22 Legends FC 7016 321-18 10.14 LLLDL +0.88 -0.21 0% 21.1
23 Solano Surf 7007 124-23 00.00 LLLLL +0.47 -0.52 0% 22.4
24 South Valley Chivas 7007 247-45 00.00 LLLLL +0.52 +0.30 0% 23.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.87 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.