Dnamo FC Delta
ECNL Regional League Boys · NorCal BU16 · 24 teams · Dnamo FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:10 PM
Crocker Amazon soccer fields, Field 3 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.5 against · 0.60 expected points)
| Season so far | Dnamo FC Delta | Albany Berkeley Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 18th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-5 | 5-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.86 | 2.29 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at Turlock Academica Jrs | 4–0 at East County Revolution FC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Cent. California Soccer Alliance | 0–2 at Stockton TLJ FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.53 | +1.12 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.66 | -0.30 |
Common opponents: Cent. California Soccer Alliance — we 1–4; they 1–1.
Game plan
-
Hard to break down
Albany Berkeley Soccer Club concede only 0.7/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Vacaville United Soccer Club.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 14%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Albany Berkeley Soccer Club have won 5 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Albany Berkeley Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dnamo FC Delta – Albany Berkeley Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.75 PPG |
18th— holds | 18th— holds | 20th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.13 PPG |
18th— holds | 17th▲ up 1 | 18th— holds |
| Draw 0.88 PPG |
18th— holds | 18th— holds | 19th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.75 PPG |
18th— holds | 18th— holds | 20th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 18th even if every rival loses, and as low as 20th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th <1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th 1%
- 13th 1%
- 14th 2%
- 15th 5%
- 16th 9%
- 17th 21%
- 18th 47%
- 19th 10%
- 20th 3%
- 21st 1%
- 22nd <1%
- 23rd
- 24th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.06 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reno APEX Soccer Club | 2.43 (+1.57) | 1st (2.21) | 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Walnut Creek Surf | 2.43 (+1.57) | 3rd (2.17) | 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Albany Berkeley Soccer Club | 2.29 (+1.43) | 4th (2.11) | 31 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Central Valley Premier FC -RL | 2.29 (+1.43) | 9th (1.73) | 31 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 5 | Clovis Crossfire | 2.14 (+1.28) | 2nd (2.18) | 29 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Stockton TLJ FC | 2.00 (+1.14) | 5th (2.03) | 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 7 | South Valley United Soccer Club | 2.00 (+1.14) | 6th (1.92) | 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 8 | Diablo Valley Futbol Club | 2.00 (+1.14) | 7th (1.92) | 26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 9 | Cent. California Soccer Alliance | 1.86 (+1.00) | 8th (1.88) | 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 10 | Sheriffs FC | 1.86 (+1.00) | 13th (1.53) | 24 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 11 | SF United FC | 1.57 (+0.71) | 10th (1.64) | 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 12 | FC Fresno Academy | 1.57 (+0.71) | 11th (1.57) | 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 13 | Vacaville United Soccer Club | 1.57 (+0.71) | 15th (1.49) | 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 14 | East Bay United | 1.29 (+0.43) | 14th (1.50) | 15 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 15 | Union FC | 1.14 (+0.28) | 12th (1.53) | 13 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 16 | Turlock Academica Jrs | 1.14 (+0.28) | 16th (1.37) | 13 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 17 | San Ramon FC -RL | 1.14 (+0.28) | 17th (1.20) | 13 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
How the results connect
15 chains · 15 teams
Paths of results that link Dnamo FC Delta to Albany Berkeley Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.05 · 11th hardest of 24
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 05:10 PM |
Albany Berkeley Soccer Club 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +12 |
Home Crocker Amazon soccer fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.60 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 11:55 AM |
Stanford Strikers 20th · 1-1-5 · GD -14 |
Home Margaret Hayward |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–0 | 2.13 | 0.97 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 12:25 PM |
Union FC 15th · 2-2-3 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Larchmont Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.64 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 PM |
San Ramon FC -RL 17th · 2-2-3 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
San Ramon Sports Park - Tiffany Roberts |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.14 | 0.96 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 11:30 AM |
Reno APEX Soccer Club 1st · 5-2-0 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
Lyman Gilmore 11v11 |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–3 | 0.35 | 0.91 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Diablo Valley Futbol Club 8th · 4-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.85 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Solano Surf 23rd · 0-0-7 · GD -23 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.49 | 1.01 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Walnut Creek Surf 2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.65 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Livermore Fusion SCECNL RL 21st · 1-0-6 · GD -15 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–1 | 2.09 | 1.06 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reno APEX Soccer Club | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 5 | +14 | 17 | 2.43 | WDWWW | -0.12 | -0.13 | 78% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs East County Revolution FC · Sat Oct 31 at Clovis Crossfire · Sat Nov 7 vs Vacaville United Soccer Club See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Walnut Creek Surf | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 17 | 2.43 | WWDWW | +0.06 | -0.10 | 65% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Stockton TLJ FC · Sat Oct 31 at Turlock Academica Jrs · Sat Nov 7 vs San Ramon FC -RL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Albany Berkeley Soccer Club | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 16 | 2.29 | WWWWW | -0.30 | -0.20 | 55% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dnamo FC Delta · Sat Oct 31 vs Vacaville United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 vs Sheriffs FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Central Valley Premier FC -RL | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 16 | 2.29 | WLWWW | -0.22 | +0.53 | 7% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Diablo Valley Futbol Club · Sat Oct 31 at South Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at South Valley Chivas See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Clovis Crossfire | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 2 | +23 | 15 | 2.14 | WWWDW | -0.83 | +0.44 | 74% | 3.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Livermore Fusion SCECNL RL · Sat Oct 31 vs Reno APEX Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 vs Stockton TLJ FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Stockton TLJ FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 14 | 2.00 | WWWDL | -0.21 | -0.13 | 45% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Walnut Creek Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Diablo Valley Futbol Club · Sat Nov 7 at Clovis Crossfire See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | South Valley United Soccer Club | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 14 | 2.00 | LWDDW | +0.66 | -0.44 | 23% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at South Valley Chivas · Sat Oct 31 vs Central Valley Premier FC -RL · Sat Nov 7 at Solano Surf See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Diablo Valley Futbol Club | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 14 | 2.00 | WDLDW | +0.05 | -0.57 | 23% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Central Valley Premier FC -RL · Sat Oct 31 at Stockton TLJ FC · Sat Nov 7 at FC Fresno Academy See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Cent. California Soccer Alliance | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 13 | 1.86 | DDDWW | -0.76 | +0.47 | 23% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at San Ramon FC -RL · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC · Sat Nov 7 vs Turlock Academica Jrs See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Sheriffs FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 13 | 1.86 | LWWWL | -0.61 | +0.58 | 1% | 12.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Union FC · Sat Oct 31 vs San Ramon FC -RL · Sat Nov 7 at Albany Berkeley Soccer Club See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | SF United FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 11 | 1.57 | WLLDW | +0.18 | +0.22 | 3% | 10.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Turlock Academica Jrs · Sat Oct 31 vs Union FC · Sat Nov 7 vs Stanford Strikers See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Fresno Academy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 11 | 1.57 | DLDWW | -0.10 | -0.11 | 1% | 11.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Stanford Strikers · Sat Oct 31 at South Valley Chivas · Sat Nov 7 vs Diablo Valley Futbol Club See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Vacaville United Soccer Club | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 11 | 1.57 | DLDWL | +0.31 | +0.18 | 0% | 13.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs East Bay United · Sat Oct 31 at Albany Berkeley Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at Reno APEX Soccer Club See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | East Bay United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 9 | 1.29 | LWWLW | -0.55 | +0.22 | 1% | 12.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Vacaville United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Livermore Fusion SCECNL RL · Sat Nov 7 at Legends FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Union FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 8 | 1.14 | DWWLL | -0.30 | -0.20 | 1% | 12.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sheriffs FC · Sat Oct 31 at SF United FC · Sat Nov 7 vs Dnamo FC Delta See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Turlock Academica Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | +0 | 8 | 1.14 | LDLDL | +0.16 | -0.52 | 0% | 14.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SF United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Walnut Creek Surf · Sat Nov 7 at Cent. California Soccer Alliance See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | San Ramon FC -RL | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 | 1.14 | LDWDW | -0.54 | -0.13 | 0% | 16.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Cent. California Soccer Alliance · Sat Oct 31 at Sheriffs FC · Sat Nov 7 at Walnut Creek Surf See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | Dnamo FC Delta | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 | 0.86 | WWLLL | +0.66 | -0.05 | 0% | 17.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Albany Berkeley Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 vs Stanford Strikers · Sat Nov 7 at Union FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | East County Revolution FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 5 | 0.71 | LDLDL | +0.17 | +0.30 | 0% | 20.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Reno APEX Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 vs Solano Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Livermore Fusion SCECNL RL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 20 | Stanford Strikers | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 | 0.57 | WLLLL | +0.20 | +0.30 | 0% | 20.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Fresno Academy · Sat Oct 31 at Dnamo FC Delta · Sat Nov 7 at SF United FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 21 | Livermore Fusion SCECNL RL | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 3 | 0.43 | LLLLL | +0.17 | -0.26 | 0% | 19.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Clovis Crossfire · Sat Oct 31 vs East Bay United · Sat Nov 7 at East County Revolution FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 22 | Legends FC | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 21 | -18 | 1 | 0.14 | LLLDL | +0.88 | -0.21 | 0% | 21.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Solano Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Cent. California Soccer Alliance · Sat Nov 7 vs East Bay United See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 23 | Solano Surf | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 24 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.47 | -0.52 | 0% | 22.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sat Oct 31 at East County Revolution FC · Sat Nov 7 vs South Valley United Soccer Club See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 24 | South Valley Chivas | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 47 | -45 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.52 | +0.30 | 0% | 23.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs South Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Fresno Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs Central Valley Premier FC -RL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.87 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.