TableChase Clubs

Beach Futbol Club

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU14 · 17 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 53 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
3rd
3-1-0 record · 4 played
2.50 points per game
+9 goal diff · 14–5
WWWDlast 4
85% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.2
+0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Beach Futbol Club
3rd · 2.50 PPG
vs
Legends FC Del Mar
16th · 0.33 PPG

El Camino College, Athletic Field ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.9 for, 1.0 against · 2.69 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol ClubLegends FC Del Mar
Position3rd16th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-00-1-2
Points per game2.500.33
Goals for / game3.50.7
Goals against / game1.33.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)D W W WL D L
Biggest win5–1 vs LAFC—
Worst loss—0–5 vs Arizona Arsenal
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.27-1.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.10+0.17

Common opponents: Arizona Arsenal — we 3–0; they 0–5. SLAMMERS FC — we 3–3; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Legends FC Del Mar average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 1.9); blanked in 2 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Legends FC Del Mar concede 3.0/game; worst result 0–5 vs Arizona Arsenal.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 87% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club – Legends FC Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.60 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.60 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.20 PPG
4th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 3
Loss
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
85% top 4
15% below the top 4
3.2 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 35%
  3. 3rd 27%
  4. 4th 22%
  5. 5th 11%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.74) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
2 Blues 3.00 (+0.50) 4th (2.03) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection

How the results connect

5 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club to Legends FC Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+4.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–3 2–2 3–0 5–0 0–2 2–2 2–0 Beach Futbol Club 3rd SLAMMERS FC 5th Arizona Arsenal 9th Rebels SC 8th Legends FC Del Mar 16th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.03 · 11th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
11:00 AM
no score posted
Legends FC
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Home
El Camino College
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–2 1.33 2.27 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
16th · 0-1-2 · GD -7
Home
El Camino College
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–1 2.69 2.34 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
02:15 PM
Blues
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Away far trip
OC Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.36 2.20 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
Rebels SC
8th · 1-1-1 · GD -4
Home
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.48 2.23 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Eagles SC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.52 2.26 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +1
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.88 2.23 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 2.25 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.39 2.10 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -7
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 2.13 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD
LV Heat Surf
14th · 1-1-3 · GD -8
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.46 2.15 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ
13th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.41 2.17 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ
13th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.18 2.17 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 240+24 123.00 WWWW -0.93 +0.05 100% 1.1
2 Blues 2200 40+4 63.00 WW -0.08 -0.05 64% 4.0
3 Beach Futbol Club 4310 145+9 102.50 WWWD +0.10 -0.03 85% 3.2
4 Legends FC 4301 132+11 92.25 WLWW -0.66 +0.08 81% 3.3
5 SLAMMERS FC 5320 135+8 112.20 WDWWD -0.19 +0.01 57% 4.2
6 San Diego Surf 2110 32+1 42.00 WD -1.06 +0.14 4% 7.9
7 LAFC 4202 910-1 61.50 LLWW -0.14 +0.04 3% 7.9
8 Rebels SC 3111 48-4 41.33 WLD +0.72 -0.13 1% 10.4
9 Arizona Arsenal 4112 77+0 41.00 LLDW +0.06 -0.06 3% 8.0
10 Phoenix Rising FC 3102 47-3 31.00 WLL -0.50 +0.16 0% 12.2
11 Eagles SC 3102 59-4 31.00 LLW +0.10 +0.01 0% 10.9
12 Pateadores Soccer Club 3102 411-7 31.00 LWL +0.57 -0.08 0% 12.1
13 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5113 710-3 40.80 LLDWL -0.18 +0.20 0% 11.7
14 LV Heat Surf 5113 311-8 40.80 WLDLL +0.14 +0.03 0% 13.9
15 LA Breakers FC 4103 410-6 30.75 LLWL +0.72 -0.16 0% 12.0
16 Legends FC Del Mar 3012 29-7 10.33 LDL +0.17 +0.04 0% 14.7
17 Sporting California USA 4013 115-14 10.25 LLDL +1.33 -0.46 0% 15.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.89 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.