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Legends FC Del Mar

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU14 · 17 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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16th
0-1-2 record · 3 played
0.33 points per game
-7 goal diff · 2–9
LDLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.7
+0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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Legends FC Del Mar
16th · 0.33 PPG
at
Phoenix Rising FC
10th · 1.00 PPG

Santos Soccer Complex, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.2 against · 0.98 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC Del MarPhoenix Rising FC
Position16th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-21-0-2
Points per game0.331.00
Goals for / game0.71.3
Goals against / game3.02.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L D LL L W
Biggest win—3–0 vs LV Heat Surf
Worst loss0–5 vs Arizona Arsenal0–3 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.14-0.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.17-0.50

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Rebels SC, 0–5 vs Arizona Arsenal.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 26%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at Santos Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LA Breakers FC sit 15th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A point moves us above LA Breakers FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Phoenix Rising FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Del Mar – Phoenix Rising FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.25 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG
11th▲ up 5 11th▲ up 5 14th▲ up 2
Draw
0.50 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Loss
0.25 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 11%
  15. 15th 16%
  16. 16th 24%
  17. 17th 25%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+2.67) 1st (2.74) 47 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Blues 3.00 (+2.67) 4th (2.03) 47 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 Beach Futbol Club 2.50 (+2.17) 2nd (2.17) 39 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 Legends FC 2.25 (+1.92) 3rd (2.15) 35 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
5 SLAMMERS FC 2.20 (+1.87) 5th (1.99) 35 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 San Diego Surf 2.00 (+1.67) 6th (1.46) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
7 LAFC 1.50 (+1.17) 7th (1.43) 23 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 Rebels SC 1.33 (+1.00) 9th (1.19) 21 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
9 Arizona Arsenal 1.00 (+0.67) 8th (1.43) Win next game
10 Phoenix Rising FC 1.00 (+0.67) 14th (0.99) Win next game
11 Eagles SC 1.00 (+0.67) 10th (1.14) Win next game
12 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.00 (+0.67) 13th (1.02) Win next game
13 Utah Royals FC-AZ 0.80 (+0.47) 11th (1.05) A point next game
14 LV Heat Surf 0.80 (+0.47) 15th (0.85) A point next game
15 LA Breakers FC 0.75 (+0.42) 12th (1.02) A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Del Mar to Phoenix Rising FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 3–0 0–3 3–0 3–0 Legends FC Del Mar 16th SLAMMERS FC 5th LV Heat Surf 14th Utah Royals FC-AZ 13th Phoenix Rising FC 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 6th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM
Phoenix Rising FC
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away far trip
Santos Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.98 0.49 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Utah Royals FC-AZ
13th · 1-1-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Bell Road Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.87 0.57 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–3 0.23 0.51 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +1
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.66 0.53 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:30 AM
Pateadores Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -7
Home
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–2 1.33 0.63 Upside
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
15th · 1-0-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
Silverlakes
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.01 0.68 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
LV Heat Surf
14th · 1-1-3 · GD -8
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–1 1.51 0.76 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD
LAFC
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 0.77 Upside
Sat Apr 24
04:00 PM
Blues
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.54 0.75 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Legends FC
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.71 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-1-3 · GD -14
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.83 0.79 Swing game
Sun May 16
04:30 PM
Eagles SC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
Moorpark High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 0.80 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.07 0.75 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 240+24 123.00 WWWW -0.93 +0.05 100% 1.1
2 Blues 2200 40+4 63.00 WW -0.08 -0.05 62% 4.0
3 Beach Futbol Club 4310 145+9 102.50 WWWD +0.10 -0.03 84% 3.2
4 Legends FC 4301 132+11 92.25 WLWW -0.66 +0.08 83% 3.3
5 SLAMMERS FC 5320 135+8 112.20 WDWWD -0.19 +0.01 58% 4.2
6 San Diego Surf 2110 32+1 42.00 WD -1.06 +0.14 5% 7.7
7 LAFC 4202 910-1 61.50 LLWW -0.14 +0.04 2% 8.0
8 Rebels SC 3111 48-4 41.33 WLD +0.72 -0.13 1% 10.3
9 Arizona Arsenal 4112 77+0 41.00 LLDW +0.06 -0.06 3% 7.9
10 Phoenix Rising FC 3102 47-3 31.00 WLL -0.50 +0.16 0% 12.4
11 Eagles SC 3102 59-4 31.00 LLW +0.10 +0.01 0% 10.8
12 Pateadores Soccer Club 3102 411-7 31.00 LWL +0.57 -0.08 0% 12.0
13 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5113 710-3 40.80 LLDWL -0.18 +0.20 0% 11.8
14 LV Heat Surf 5113 311-8 40.80 WLDLL +0.14 +0.03 0% 13.9
15 LA Breakers FC 4103 410-6 30.75 LLWL +0.72 -0.16 0% 12.0
16 Legends FC Del Mar 3012 29-7 10.33 LDL +0.17 +0.04 0% 14.7
17 Sporting California USA 4013 115-14 10.25 LLDL +1.33 -0.46 0% 15.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.89 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.