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SLAMMERS FC

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU14 · 17 teams · Slammers FC (all teams)

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5th
3-2-0 record · 5 played
2.20 points per game
+8 goal diff · 13–5
WDWWDlast 5
60% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.1
-0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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SLAMMERS FC
5th · 2.20 PPG
at
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 3.00 PPG

Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco), Field 22 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.2 against · 0.38 expected points)

Season so farSLAMMERS FCSlammers FC HB Koge
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)3-2-04-0-0
Points per game2.203.00
Goals for / game2.66.0
Goals against / game1.00.0
Clean sheets34
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D W W D WW W W W
Biggest win3–0 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ7–0 at Pateadores Soccer Club
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.90+3.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.19-0.93

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Slammers FC HB Koge score 6.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Slammers FC HB Koge concede only 0.0/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 9%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Slammers FC HB Koge have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco).

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Legends FC sit 4th on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.20.

    A point moves us above Legends FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Slammers FC HB Koge game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SLAMMERS FC – Slammers FC HB Koge) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.83 PPG
6th▼ down 1 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Win
2.33 PPG
4th▲ up 1 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.83 PPG
6th▼ down 1 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
60% top 4
40% below the top 4
4.1 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 13%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 26%
  5. 5th 27%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+0.80) 1st (2.74) 37 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 Blues 3.00 (+0.80) 4th (2.03) 37 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
3 Beach Futbol Club 2.50 (+0.30) 2nd (2.17) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
4 Legends FC 2.25 (+0.05) 3rd (2.15) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link SLAMMERS FC to Slammers FC HB Koge through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
4 favour them
-4.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 1–0 0–5 3–3 3–1 2–0 2–2 0–6 2–2 0–2 SLAMMERS FC 5th LV Heat Surf 14th Beach Futbol Club 3rd Arizona Arsenal 9th Legends FC Del Mar 16th LA Breakers FC 15th Rebels SC 8th Slammers FC HB Koge 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 9th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Away far trip
Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco)
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.38 1.90 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
15th · 1-0-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.15 1.93 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
10:00 AM
Eagles SC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
Saddleback College · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.37 1.99 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-1-3 · GD -14
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–0 2.57 2.05 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
LAFC
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.17 2.06 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
2–1 2.39 2.09 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +1
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.73 2.06 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Rebels SC
8th · 1-1-1 · GD -4
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.10 2.06 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
Blues
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.26 2.01 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Legends FC
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Home
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.22 1.95 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -7
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.50 1.99 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 240+24 123.00 WWWW -0.93 +0.05 100% 1.1
2 Blues 2200 40+4 63.00 WW -0.08 -0.05 62% 4.1
3 Beach Futbol Club 4310 145+9 102.50 WWWD +0.10 -0.03 85% 3.2
4 Legends FC 4301 132+11 92.25 WLWW -0.66 +0.08 82% 3.3
5 SLAMMERS FC 5320 135+8 112.20 WDWWD -0.19 +0.01 60% 4.1
6 San Diego Surf 2110 32+1 42.00 WD -1.06 +0.14 6% 7.8
7 LAFC 4202 910-1 61.50 LLWW -0.14 +0.04 3% 7.9
8 Rebels SC 3111 48-4 41.33 WLD +0.72 -0.13 1% 10.2
9 Arizona Arsenal 4112 77+0 41.00 LLDW +0.06 -0.06 3% 8.0
10 Phoenix Rising FC 3102 47-3 31.00 WLL -0.50 +0.16 0% 12.3
11 Eagles SC 3102 59-4 31.00 LLW +0.10 +0.01 0% 10.8
12 Pateadores Soccer Club 3102 411-7 31.00 LWL +0.57 -0.08 0% 12.2
13 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5113 710-3 40.80 LLDWL -0.18 +0.20 0% 11.8
14 LV Heat Surf 5113 311-8 40.80 WLDLL +0.14 +0.03 0% 13.9
15 LA Breakers FC 4103 410-6 30.75 LLWL +0.72 -0.16 0% 11.9
16 Legends FC Del Mar 3012 29-7 10.33 LDL +0.17 +0.04 0% 14.7
17 Sporting California USA 4013 115-14 10.25 LLDL +1.33 -0.46 0% 15.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.89 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.