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Utah Royals FC-AZ

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU13 · 17 teams · Utah Royals FC - AZ (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 14 minutes ago.
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13th
1-0-4 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-10 goal diff · 5–15
LLLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.7
+0.58 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Utah Royals FC-AZ
13th · 0.60 PPG
vs
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0.67 PPG

Bell Road Sports Complex, Field 15 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.5 against · 1.26 expected points)

Season so farUtah Royals FC-AZLegends FC Del Mar
Position13th12th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-40-2-1
Points per game0.600.67
Goals for / game1.00.7
Goals against / game3.01.3
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L W L L LD L D
Biggest win3–0 at Phoenix Rising FC—
Worst loss1–10 at San Diego Surf0–2 vs SLAMMERS FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.99-0.42
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.58-0.42

Common opponents: SLAMMERS FC — we 0–2; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Legends FC Del Mar average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 1.4); blanked in 2 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at SLAMMERS FC, 0–1 vs LV Heat Surf.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Legends FC Del Mar sit 12th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A point moves us above Legends FC Del Mar on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Utah Royals FC-AZ – Legends FC Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.67 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 15th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
12th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 2 13th— holds
Draw
0.67 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 15th▼ down 2
Loss
0.50 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 15th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 12th if every rival drops points, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 14%
  12. 12th 15%
  13. 13th 16%
  14. 14th 14%
  15. 15th 13%
  16. 16th 8%
  17. 17th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.29 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+2.40) 1st (2.48) 48 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+2.40) 2nd (2.35) 48 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Legends FC 3.00 (+2.40) 3rd (2.31) 48 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 LAFC 3.00 (+2.40) 4th (2.13) 48 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
5 LV Heat Surf 2.40 (+1.80) 5th (2.01) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6 SLAMMERS FC 2.40 (+1.80) 6th (1.89) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 Blues 1.50 (+0.90) 7th (1.50) 23 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 Rebels SC 1.33 (+0.73) 12th (0.89) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
9 Beach Futbol Club 1.00 (+0.40) 8th (1.34) Win next game
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.00 (+0.40) 9th (1.29) Win next game
11 Eagles SC 1.00 (+0.40) 10th (1.20) Win next game
12 Legends FC Del Mar 0.67 (+0.07) 11th (0.98) A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Utah Royals FC-AZ to Legends FC Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 2–0 3–2 2–2 0–1 2–1 Utah Royals FC-AZ 13th SLAMMERS FC 6th LV Heat Surf 5th Arizona Arsenal 14th Legends FC Del Mar 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.15 · 16th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0-2-1 · GD -2
Home
Bell Road Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.26 0.71 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
15th · 0-1-3 · GD -6
Home
Bell Road Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.40 0.81 Upside
Sat Dec 12
10:00 AM
Arizona Arsenal
14th · 0-1-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
Reach 11 Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.13 0.85 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.15 0.77 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 0.86 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.98 0.87 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Blues
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
20%
0–1 0.83 0.87 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Rebels SC
8th · 1-1-1 · GD -6
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 0.93 Swing game
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
Eagles SC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.96 0.93 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
9th · 1-1-2 · GD +1
Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%
0–1 0.67 0.91 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Legends FC
3rd · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Home
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.34 0.88 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
9th · 1-1-2 · GD +1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.87 0.88 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 2200 161+15 63.00 WW -1.23 +0.01 97% 1.8
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 131+12 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.16 91% 2.6
3 Legends FC 4400 80+8 123.00 WWWW -0.26 -0.00 87% 2.9
4 LAFC 4400 81+7 123.00 WWWW -0.74 +0.18 62% 4.0
5 LV Heat Surf 5401 92+7 122.40 WWWLW -0.31 +0.10 40% 4.7
6 SLAMMERS FC 5401 94+5 122.40 WWWLW -0.22 +0.08 20% 5.5
7 Blues 2101 21+1 31.50 WL -0.16 +0.03 2% 7.7
8 Rebels SC 3111 17-6 41.33 DLW +0.08 +0.07 0% 12.9
9 Beach Futbol Club 4112 43+1 41.00 LDWL -0.01 +0.05 0% 8.9
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 3102 45-1 31.00 LLW +0.12 -0.01 1% 9.2
11 Eagles SC 3102 25-3 31.00 LWL +0.61 -0.10 0% 10.2
12 Legends FC Del Mar 3021 24-2 20.67 DLD -0.42 +0.14 0% 11.9
13 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5104 515-10 30.60 LLLWL +0.58 -0.15 0% 12.7
14 Arizona Arsenal 4013 49-5 10.25 LLLD -0.22 +0.14 0% 13.6
15 LA Breakers FC 4013 39-6 10.25 LDLL +0.60 -0.12 0% 12.8
16 Phoenix Rising FC 3003 010-10 00.00 LLL +0.22 +0.09 0% 16.2
17 Sporting California USA 4004 114-13 00.00 LLLL +1.33 -0.34 0% 15.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.43 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.