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Legends FC Del Mar

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU13 · 17 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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12th
0-2-1 record · 3 played
0.67 points per game
-2 goal diff · 2–4
DLDlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.9
-0.42 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 06:00 PM

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Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0.67 PPG
at
Phoenix Rising FC
16th · 0.00 PPG

Santos Soccer Complex, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.6 for, 0.8 against · 1.94 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC Del MarPhoenix Rising FC
Position12th16th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-10-0-3
Points per game0.670.00
Goals for / game0.70.0
Goals against / game1.33.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)D L DL L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–2 vs SLAMMERS FC0–4 vs LAFC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.42-1.62
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.42+0.22

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Phoenix Rising FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 1.4); blanked in 3 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Phoenix Rising FC concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–4 vs LAFC.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 at Rebels SC, 0–2 vs SLAMMERS FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 56% / draw 25% / loss 19%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Phoenix Rising FC have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 06:00 PM at Santos Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Eagles SC sit 11th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.67.

    A point moves us above Eagles SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Phoenix Rising FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Del Mar – Phoenix Rising FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.25 PPG
9th▲ up 3 7th▲ up 5 11th▲ up 1
Win
1.25 PPG
9th▲ up 3 7th▲ up 5 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.75 PPG
12th— holds 11th▲ up 1 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
14th▼ down 2 14th▼ down 2 15th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 15%
  12. 12th 16%
  13. 13th 14%
  14. 14th 11%
  15. 15th 9%
  16. 16th 5%
  17. 17th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.56 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+2.33) 1st (2.48) 46 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+2.33) 2nd (2.35) 46 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
3 Legends FC 3.00 (+2.33) 3rd (2.31) 46 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 LAFC 3.00 (+2.33) 4th (2.13) 46 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 LV Heat Surf 2.40 (+1.73) 5th (2.01) 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 SLAMMERS FC 2.40 (+1.73) 6th (1.89) 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 Blues 1.50 (+0.83) 7th (1.50) 22 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 Rebels SC 1.33 (+0.66) 12th (0.89) 20 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
9 Beach Futbol Club 1.00 (+0.33) 8th (1.34) A point next game
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.00 (+0.33) 9th (1.29) A point next game
11 Eagles SC 1.00 (+0.33) 10th (1.20) A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Del Mar to Phoenix Rising FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 1–2 3–0 2–0 3–0 Legends FC Del Mar 12th SLAMMERS FC 6th LV Heat Surf 5th Utah Royals FC-AZ 13th Phoenix Rising FC 16th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 4th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
06:00 PM
Phoenix Rising FC
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away far trip
Santos Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–0 1.94 0.98 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Utah Royals FC-AZ
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away far trip
Bell Road Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.49 1.09 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
9th · 1-1-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.91 1.06 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +15
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.16 0.93 Upside
Sat Nov 21
08:00 AM
Pateadores Soccer Club
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.23 0.97 Upside
Sat Mar 20
01:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
15th · 0-1-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
Silverlakes
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.36 1.01 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
LV Heat Surf
5th · 4-0-1 · GD +7
Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%
0–1 0.72 0.98 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
LAFC
4th · 4-0-0 · GD +7
Home
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–1 0.68 0.95 Upside
Sat Apr 24
05:45 PM
Blues
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
25%
0–1 1.06 0.96 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Legends FC
3rd · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–1 0.43 0.92 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
1–0 2.04 1.00 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
Eagles SC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.20 1.01 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.44 0.98 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 2200 161+15 63.00 WW -1.23 +0.01 96% 1.9
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 131+12 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.16 89% 2.6
3 Legends FC 4400 80+8 123.00 WWWW -0.26 -0.00 88% 2.9
4 LAFC 4400 81+7 123.00 WWWW -0.74 +0.18 62% 4.0
5 LV Heat Surf 5401 92+7 122.40 WWWLW -0.31 +0.10 41% 4.8
6 SLAMMERS FC 5401 94+5 122.40 WWWLW -0.22 +0.08 20% 5.5
7 Blues 2101 21+1 31.50 WL -0.16 +0.03 2% 7.9
8 Rebels SC 3111 17-6 41.33 DLW +0.08 +0.07 0% 13.0
9 Beach Futbol Club 4112 43+1 41.00 LDWL -0.01 +0.05 0% 8.7
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 3102 45-1 31.00 LLW +0.12 -0.01 0% 9.2
11 Eagles SC 3102 25-3 31.00 LWL +0.61 -0.10 0% 10.1
12 Legends FC Del Mar 3021 24-2 20.67 DLD -0.42 +0.14 0% 11.9
13 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5104 515-10 30.60 LLLWL +0.58 -0.15 0% 12.9
14 Arizona Arsenal 4013 49-5 10.25 LLLD -0.22 +0.14 0% 13.5
15 LA Breakers FC 4013 39-6 10.25 LDLL +0.60 -0.12 0% 12.7
16 Phoenix Rising FC 3003 010-10 00.00 LLL +0.22 +0.09 0% 16.3
17 Sporting California USA 4004 114-13 00.00 LLLL +1.33 -0.34 0% 15.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.43 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.