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Slammers FC HB Koge

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU13 · 17 teams · Slammers FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 49 minutes ago.
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2nd
4-0-0 record · 4 played
3.00 points per game
+12 goal diff · 13–1
WWWWlast 4
90% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.6
-0.81 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM

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Slammers FC HB Koge
2nd · 3.00 PPG
vs
SLAMMERS FC
6th · 2.40 PPG

Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco), Field 20 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.9 for, 0.9 against · 2.06 expected points)

Season so farSlammers FC HB KogeSLAMMERS FC
Position2nd6th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-04-0-1
Points per game3.002.40
Goals for / game3.31.8
Goals against / game0.30.8
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W WW L W W W
Biggest win7–0 at Rebels SC2–0 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ
Worst loss—1–2 at LV Heat Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.48+0.52
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.81-0.22

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 61% / draw 22% / loss 17%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    San Diego Surf sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

    A win moves us above San Diego Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SLAMMERS FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Slammers FC HB Koge – SLAMMERS FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.60 PPG
4th▼ down 2 4th▼ down 2 4th▼ down 2
Loss
2.40 PPG
5th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 4 6th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

25% finish 1st
90% top 4
10% below the top 4
2.6 average finish
  1. 1st 25%
  2. 2nd 29%
  3. 3rd 22%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 6%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+0.00) 1st (2.48) Win next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Slammers FC HB Koge to SLAMMERS FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 1–1 0–1 0–3 2–1 7–0 0–0 0–2 1–0 2–3 Slammers FC HB Koge 2nd LA Breakers FC 15th Rebels SC 8th Beach Futbol Club 9th LV Heat Surf 5th Legends FC Del Mar 12th Arizona Arsenal 14th SLAMMERS FC 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 2nd hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:30 PM
SLAMMERS FC
6th · 4-0-1 · GD +5
Home
Silver Lakes Sports Complex (Norco)
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
1–0 2.06 2.81 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
08:30 AM
LAFC
4th · 4-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Arroyo Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–0 1.74 2.63 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
08:30 AM
Eagles SC
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Home
Saddleback College · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
2–0 2.54 2.62 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
3–0 2.79 2.64 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Legends FC
3rd · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
33%
0–1 1.30 2.49 Upside
Sun Mar 28
04:00 PM
San Diego Surf
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +15
Home
Saddleback College · turf
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.38 2.38 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
9th · 1-1-2 · GD +1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
1–0 2.20 2.36 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD
LV Heat Surf
5th · 4-0-1 · GD +7
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–0 1.79 2.32 Swing game
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
Phoenix Rising FC
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away far trip
PRFC Youth Soccer Facility
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
3–0 2.82 2.35 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
14th · 0-1-3 · GD -5
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
2–0 2.58 2.37 Bank it
Sat May 15
TBD
Blues
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
1–0 1.99 2.35 Swing game
Sat May 22
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0-2-1 · GD -2
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–0 2.38 2.35 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 2200 161+15 63.00 WW -1.23 +0.01 96% 1.9
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 131+12 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.16 90% 2.6
3 Legends FC 4400 80+8 123.00 WWWW -0.26 -0.00 87% 2.9
4 LAFC 4400 81+7 123.00 WWWW -0.74 +0.18 62% 4.0
5 LV Heat Surf 5401 92+7 122.40 WWWLW -0.31 +0.10 38% 4.8
6 SLAMMERS FC 5401 94+5 122.40 WWWLW -0.22 +0.08 23% 5.4
7 Blues 2101 21+1 31.50 WL -0.16 +0.03 3% 7.8
8 Rebels SC 3111 17-6 41.33 DLW +0.08 +0.07 0% 12.9
9 Beach Futbol Club 4112 43+1 41.00 LDWL -0.01 +0.05 0% 8.9
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 3102 45-1 31.00 LLW +0.12 -0.01 0% 9.1
11 Eagles SC 3102 25-3 31.00 LWL +0.61 -0.10 0% 10.1
12 Legends FC Del Mar 3021 24-2 20.67 DLD -0.42 +0.14 0% 11.9
13 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5104 515-10 30.60 LLLWL +0.58 -0.15 0% 12.7
14 Arizona Arsenal 4013 49-5 10.25 LLLD -0.22 +0.14 0% 13.5
15 LA Breakers FC 4013 39-6 10.25 LDLL +0.60 -0.12 0% 12.8
16 Phoenix Rising FC 3003 010-10 00.00 LLL +0.22 +0.09 0% 16.2
17 Sporting California USA 4004 114-13 00.00 LLLL +1.33 -0.34 0% 15.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.43 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.