TableChase Clubs

West Coast FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU16 · 13 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 49 minutes ago.
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11th
0-3-2 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-8 goal diff · 4–12
DDLLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.3
+0.20 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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West Coast FC
11th · 0.60 PPG
at
LV Heat Surf SC
5th · 1.88 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.9 for, 2.2 against · 0.58 expected points)

Season so farWest Coast FCLV Heat Surf SC
Position11th5th
Record (W-D-L)0-3-24-3-1
Points per game0.601.88
Goals for / game0.81.6
Goals against / game2.41.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)D L L D DD L W W W
Biggest win—3–0 vs San Diego Surf
Worst loss0–6 at LAFC1–4 vs Pateadores Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.94+0.33
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.20+0.19

Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 2–2 vs LV Heat Surf SC (D)

Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC — we 0–2; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 vs CDA Slammers FC, 0–6 at LAFC, 0–0 vs Sporting California USA.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LA Breakers FC sit 10th on 0.83 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A point moves us above LA Breakers FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LV Heat Surf SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC – LV Heat Surf SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
12th▼ down 1 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Win
1.00 PPG
10th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1
Draw
0.67 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Loss
0.50 PPG
12th▼ down 1 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 18%
  12. 12th 25%
  13. 13th 29%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC 2.40 (+1.80) 3rd (1.97) 55 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 2.33 (+1.73) 1st (2.21) 53 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
3 Rebels SC 2.25 (+1.65) 5th (1.74) 51 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC 2.17 (+1.57) 2nd (2.13) 50 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
5 LV Heat Surf SC 1.88 (+1.28) 4th (1.75) 43 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf 1.40 (+0.80) 6th (1.68) 31 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
7 Sporting California USA 1.25 (+0.65) 9th (1.02) 27 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 Beach Futbol Club 1.00 (+0.40) 7th (1.29) Win next game
9 San Diego Surf 1.00 (+0.40) 8th (1.04) Win next game
10 LA Breakers FC 0.83 (+0.23) 10th (0.98) A point next game

How the results connect

14 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link West Coast FC to LV Heat Surf SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
3 even
9 favour them
-2.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 0–2 1–2 0–0 3–2 1–2 2–2 5–1 2–0 0–1 0–5 4–1 4–0 1–1 2–2 1–1 0–6 2–0 West Coast FC 11th CDA Slammers FC 4th Sporting California… 7th LAFC 1st Legends FC Del Mar 12th SDSC Surf 6th Pateadores Soccer C… 2nd LA Breakers FC 10th LV Heat Surf SC 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
5th · 4-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.58 0.60 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:30 PM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Home
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 0.99 0.65 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
Legends FC
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.14 0.71 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.27 0.66 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
SDSC Surf
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Home
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.73 0.67 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:30 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.10 0.71 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
Legends FC
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8
Home
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.39 0.77 Upside
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.76 0.77 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
LAFC
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Home
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.53 0.75 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.22 0.78 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12
Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.26 0.75 Upside
Sat Apr 24
10:00 AM
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.53 0.74 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Home
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.37 0.77 Upside
Sun May 2
01:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.05 0.79 Upside
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
SDSC Surf
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.54 0.77 Upside
Sun May 9
12:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Home
Saddleback College
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.30 0.80 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12
Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.38 0.78 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Home
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.72 0.78 Upside
Sat May 29
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.97 0.78 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC 5401 135+8 122.40 LWWWW -0.39 -0.01 83% 3.2
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 6420 153+12 142.33 DWWWD -0.23 -0.07 98% 1.8
3 Rebels SC 4301 96+3 92.25 WLWW -0.21 -0.02 45% 4.6
4 CDA Slammers FC 6411 165+11 132.17 WWLWW -0.21 -0.08 96% 2.1
5 LV Heat Surf SC 8431 1310+3 151.88 WWWLD +0.19 -0.13 43% 4.7
6 SDSC Surf 5212 97+2 71.40 WDLWL +0.56 -0.20 33% 5.0
7 Sporting California USA 4121 59-4 51.25 DLWD -0.41 +0.12 0% 9.5
8 Beach Futbol Club 4112 78-1 41.00 WLLD +0.14 -0.03 2% 7.5
9 San Diego Surf 4112 610-4 41.00 LWLD -0.18 +0.08 0% 9.3
10 LA Breakers FC 6123 713-6 50.83 DLDLL +0.26 -0.03 0% 9.6
11 West Coast FC 5032 412-8 30.60 DDLLD +0.20 +0.02 0% 11.3
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 816-8 30.50 LLLLW +0.06 +0.05 0% 11.1
13 Legends FC 5005 513-8 00.00 LLLLL +0.48 -0.05 0% 11.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.