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CDA Slammers FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU16 · 13 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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4th
4-1-1 record · 6 played
2.17 points per game
+11 goal diff · 16–5
WWLWWlast 5
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.1
-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM

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CDA Slammers FC
4th · 2.17 PPG
vs
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 2.33 PPG

Santiago High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.4 against · 1.38 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FCPateadores Soccer Club
Position4th2nd
Record (W-D-L)4-1-14-2-0
Points per game2.172.33
Goals for / game2.72.5
Goals against / game0.80.5
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W L W WD W W W D
Biggest win5–1 at Legends FC Del Mar5–0 at Sporting California USA
Worst loss1–2 vs LV Heat Surf SC—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.21+1.26
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.21-0.23

Common opponents: LV Heat Surf SC — we 1–2; they 4–1, 1–1. LA Breakers FC — we 4–0; they 0–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Pateadores Soccer Club score 2.5/game — well above the league's 1.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Pateadores Soccer Club concede only 0.5/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 38%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Rebels SC sit 3rd on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.17.

    A point moves us above Rebels SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC – Pateadores Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.29 PPG
2nd▲ up 2 2nd▲ up 2 3rd▲ up 1
Draw
2.00 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.86 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

34% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
2.1 average finish
  1. 1st 34%
  2. 2nd 35%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 7%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC 2.40 (+0.23) 3rd (1.97) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 2.33 (+0.16) 1st (2.21) 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 Rebels SC 2.25 (+0.08) 5th (1.74) A point next game

How the results connect

21 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC to Pateadores Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
1 even
10 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 1–1 4–0 0–0 1–4 5–1 1–2 1–1 2–0 0–1 2–0 2–2 2–2 4–1 1–3 1–3 CDA Slammers FC 4th LV Heat Surf SC 5th LA Breakers FC 10th Legends FC Del Mar 12th SDSC Surf 6th West Coast FC 11th Legends FC 13th Pateadores Soccer C… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 11th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
11:30 AM
no score posted
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
Santiago High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–0 2.52 2.22 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
01:30 PM
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12
Home
Santiago High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.38 2.11 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Home
Santiago High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.05 2.11 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–0 2.62 2.16 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.32 2.17 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.79 2.14 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
TBD
West Coast FC
11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–0 2.62 2.18 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Sporting California USA
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -4
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–1 2.33 2.19 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
TBD
LAFC
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.49 2.14 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LA Breakers FC
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
2–0 2.51 2.16 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12
Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.14 2.10 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.31 2.12 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
LAFC
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–1 1.75 2.10 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
5th · 4-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.75 2.08 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Legends FC
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.59 2.10 Bank it
Sun May 2
TBD
Sporting California USA
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -4
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–0 2.52 2.12 Bank it
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 2.12 Swing game
Sun May 30
09:00 AM
Legends FC
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8
Away
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.41 2.13 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC 5401 135+8 122.40 LWWWW -0.39 -0.01 83% 3.2
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 6420 153+12 142.33 DWWWD -0.23 -0.07 98% 1.8
3 Rebels SC 4301 96+3 92.25 WLWW -0.21 -0.02 45% 4.6
4 CDA Slammers FC 6411 165+11 132.17 WWLWW -0.21 -0.08 96% 2.1
5 LV Heat Surf SC 8431 1310+3 151.88 WWWLD +0.19 -0.13 43% 4.7
6 SDSC Surf 5212 97+2 71.40 WDLWL +0.56 -0.20 33% 5.0
7 Sporting California USA 4121 59-4 51.25 DLWD -0.41 +0.12 0% 9.5
8 Beach Futbol Club 4112 78-1 41.00 WLLD +0.14 -0.03 2% 7.5
9 San Diego Surf 4112 610-4 41.00 LWLD -0.18 +0.08 0% 9.3
10 LA Breakers FC 6123 713-6 50.83 DLDLL +0.26 -0.03 0% 9.6
11 West Coast FC 5032 412-8 30.60 DDLLD +0.20 +0.02 0% 11.3
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 816-8 30.50 LLLLW +0.06 +0.05 0% 11.1
13 Legends FC 5005 513-8 00.00 LLLLL +0.48 -0.05 0% 11.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.