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Pateadores Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU16 · 13 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 17 minutes ago.
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2nd
4-2-0 record · 6 played
2.33 points per game
+12 goal diff · 15–3
DWWWDlast 5
98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.8
-0.23 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM

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Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 2.33 PPG
at
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 2.17 PPG

Santiago High School, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.4 against · 1.37 expected points)

Season so farPateadores Soccer ClubCDA Slammers FC
Position2nd4th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-04-1-1
Points per game2.332.17
Goals for / game2.52.7
Goals against / game0.50.8
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)D W W W DW W L W W
Biggest win5–0 at Sporting California USA5–1 at Legends FC Del Mar
Worst loss—1–2 vs LV Heat Surf SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.26+1.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.23-0.21

Common opponents: LA Breakers FC — we 0–0; they 4–0. LV Heat Surf SC — we 4–1, 1–1; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    CDA Slammers FC score 2.7/game — well above the league's 1.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    CDA Slammers FC concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs LA Breakers FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Santiago High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LAFC sit 1st on 2.40 PPG; we are on 2.33.

    A point moves us above LAFC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Soccer Club – CDA Slammers FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.14 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Win
2.43 PPG
1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 3rd▼ down 1
Draw
2.14 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.00 PPG
4th▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

50% finish 1st
98% top 4
2% below the top 4
1.8 average finish
  1. 1st 50%
  2. 2nd 30%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.83 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC 2.40 (+0.07) 3rd (1.97) A point next game

How the results connect

21 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Pateadores Soccer Club to CDA Slammers FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
1 even
10 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–1 4–1 0–0 0–4 2–1 1–5 1–0 2–2 0–2 2–2 0–2 1–1 3–1 1–4 Pateadores Soccer C… 2nd LV Heat Surf SC 5th LA Breakers FC 10th Legends FC 13th Legends FC Del Mar 12th SDSC Surf 6th West Coast FC 11th CDA Slammers FC 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.07 · 10th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Wed Oct 21
07:45 PM
no score posted
Legends FC
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8
Home
Great Park
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
2–0 2.60 2.37 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
01:30 PM
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Away far trip
Santiago High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.37 2.25 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Sporting California USA
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -4
Home
Great Park
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
2–0 2.54 2.28 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
LAFC
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Great Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
1–1 1.83 2.23 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.14 2.23 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–0 2.63 2.26 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.11 2.25 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
10:45 AM
LA Breakers FC
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–0 2.36 2.26 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LAFC
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.59 2.21 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.61 2.17 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM
SDSC Surf
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
1–1 1.83 2.15 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
01:30 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
2–0 2.47 2.17 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
West Coast FC
11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
2–0 2.63 2.20 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–0 2.36 2.20 Bank it
Sat May 15
06:00 PM
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–1 1.87 2.19 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
West Coast FC
11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
2–0 2.48 2.20 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–0 2.55 2.22 Bank it
Sun May 30
TBD
SDSC Surf
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–0 2.06 2.21 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC 5401 135+8 122.40 LWWWW -0.39 -0.01 83% 3.1
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 6420 153+12 142.33 DWWWD -0.23 -0.07 98% 1.8
3 Rebels SC 4301 96+3 92.25 WLWW -0.21 -0.02 44% 4.7
4 CDA Slammers FC 6411 165+11 132.17 WWLWW -0.21 -0.08 96% 2.2
5 LV Heat Surf SC 8431 1310+3 151.88 WWWLD +0.19 -0.13 43% 4.7
6 SDSC Surf 5212 97+2 71.40 WDLWL +0.56 -0.20 33% 5.1
7 Sporting California USA 4121 59-4 51.25 DLWD -0.41 +0.12 0% 9.5
8 Beach Futbol Club 4112 78-1 41.00 WLLD +0.14 -0.03 3% 7.5
9 San Diego Surf 4112 610-4 41.00 LWLD -0.18 +0.08 0% 9.3
10 LA Breakers FC 6123 713-6 50.83 DLDLL +0.26 -0.03 0% 9.7
11 West Coast FC 5032 412-8 30.60 DDLLD +0.20 +0.02 0% 11.3
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 816-8 30.50 LLLLW +0.06 +0.05 0% 11.0
13 Legends FC 5005 513-8 00.00 LLLLL +0.48 -0.05 0% 11.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.