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Legends FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU16 · 13 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

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13th
0-0-5 record · 5 played
0.00 points per game
-8 goal diff · 5–13
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.2
+0.48 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM

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Legends FC
13th · 0.00 PPG
vs
SDSC Surf
6th · 1.40 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.2 against · 0.81 expected points)

Season so farLegends FCSDSC Surf
Position13th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-52-1-2
Points per game0.001.40
Goals for / game1.01.8
Goals against / game2.61.4
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)L L L L LL W L D W
Biggest win—4–1 vs Legends FC
Worst loss1–4 at SDSC Surf0–2 vs CDA Slammers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.82+0.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.48+0.56

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 1–4 at SDSC Surf (L)

Common opponents: LAFC — we 1–2; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 20%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Legends FC Del Mar sit 12th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A win moves us above Legends FC Del Mar on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC – SDSC Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Win
0.50 PPG
12th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 2 13th— holds
Draw
0.17 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 16%
  12. 12th 22%
  13. 13th 30%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (1.97) 58 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 2.33 (+2.33) 1st (2.21) 56 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
3 Rebels SC 2.25 (+2.25) 5th (1.74) 54 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC 2.17 (+2.17) 2nd (2.13) 53 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
5 LV Heat Surf SC 1.88 (+1.88) 4th (1.75) 46 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf 1.40 (+1.40) 6th (1.68) 34 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
7 Sporting California USA 1.25 (+1.25) 9th (1.02) 30 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 Beach Futbol Club 1.00 (+1.00) 7th (1.29) 24 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
9 San Diego Surf 1.00 (+1.00) 8th (1.04) 24 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 LA Breakers FC 0.83 (+0.83) 10th (0.98) 20 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
11 West Coast FC 0.60 (+0.60) 12th (0.78) 15 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
12 Legends FC Del Mar 0.50 (+0.50) 11th (0.81) Win next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC to SDSC Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
5 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–1 1–0 4–1 1–2 0–3 1–2 1–2 Legends FC 13th LAFC 1st Pateadores Soccer C… 2nd San Diego Surf 9th Rebels SC 3rd LV Heat Surf SC 5th SDSC Surf 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.05 · 9th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Wed Oct 21
07:45 PM
no score posted
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12
Away far trip
Great Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–2 0.28 0.05 Upside
Sat Oct 24
05:00 PM
SDSC Surf
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.81 0.16 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.35 0.31 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
West Coast FC
11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.63 0.45 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
12:30 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.22 0.53 Upside
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
LV Heat Surf SC
5th · 4-3-1 · GD +3
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.84 0.56 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.14 0.61 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
West Coast FC
11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.37 0.66 Upside
Sat Apr 3
05:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–1 1.51 0.73 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.09 0.75 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.30 0.72 Upside
Sun Apr 25
10:45 AM
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.59 0.71 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
5th · 4-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%
0–2 0.64 0.71 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers FC
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.16 0.73 Upside
Sun May 9
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.41 0.77 Upside
Sat May 15
09:00 AM
LAFC
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.59 0.76 Upside
Sun May 16
01:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -6
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.42 0.79 Upside
Sat May 22
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
El Camino College
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.84 0.79 Upside
Sun May 30
09:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.44 0.78 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC 5401 135+8 122.40 LWWWW -0.39 -0.01 82% 3.1
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 6420 153+12 142.33 DWWWD -0.23 -0.07 98% 1.8
3 Rebels SC 4301 96+3 92.25 WLWW -0.21 -0.02 43% 4.7
4 CDA Slammers FC 6411 165+11 132.17 WWLWW -0.21 -0.08 96% 2.2
5 LV Heat Surf SC 8431 1310+3 151.88 WWWLD +0.19 -0.13 45% 4.7
6 SDSC Surf 5212 97+2 71.40 WDLWL +0.56 -0.20 33% 5.1
7 Sporting California USA 4121 59-4 51.25 DLWD -0.41 +0.12 0% 9.5
8 Beach Futbol Club 4112 78-1 41.00 WLLD +0.14 -0.03 3% 7.5
9 San Diego Surf 4112 610-4 41.00 LWLD -0.18 +0.08 0% 9.3
10 LA Breakers FC 6123 713-6 50.83 DLDLL +0.26 -0.03 0% 9.7
11 West Coast FC 5032 412-8 30.60 DDLLD +0.20 +0.02 0% 11.3
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 816-8 30.50 LLLLW +0.06 +0.05 0% 11.1
13 Legends FC 5005 513-8 00.00 LLLLL +0.48 -0.05 0% 11.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.