Legends FC Del Mar
ECNL Boys · Southwest BU16 · 13 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:15 PM
Canyon Crest Academy, Stadium ↗ · turf?
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.8 against · 0.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Legends FC Del Mar | LAFC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-5 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at LA Breakers FC | 6–0 vs West Coast FC |
| Worst loss | 1–5 vs CDA Slammers FC | 1–3 vs SDSC Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.86 | +0.84 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.06 | -0.39 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 0–2 at LAFC (L)
Game plan
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Respect their attack
LAFC score 2.6/game — well above the league's 1.7.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at LAFC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 14%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
LAFC have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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What a win does
West Coast FC sit 11th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.50.A point moves us above West Coast FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the LAFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Del Mar – LAFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.43 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 13th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.86 PPG |
10th▲ up 2 | 9th▲ up 3 | 12th— holds |
| Draw 0.57 PPG |
12th— holds | 11th▲ up 1 | 13th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.43 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 13th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 6%
- 9th 11%
- 10th 14%
- 11th 20%
- 12th 23%
- 13th 24%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAFC | 2.40 (+1.90) | 3rd (1.97) | 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 2 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 2.33 (+1.83) | 1st (2.21) | 53 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 3 | Rebels SC | 2.25 (+1.75) | 5th (1.74) | 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 4 | CDA Slammers FC | 2.17 (+1.67) | 2nd (2.13) | 50 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection |
| 5 | LV Heat Surf SC | 1.88 (+1.38) | 4th (1.75) | 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 6 | SDSC Surf | 1.40 (+0.90) | 6th (1.68) | 31 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 7 | Sporting California USA | 1.25 (+0.75) | 9th (1.02) | 27 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 8 | Beach Futbol Club | 1.00 (+0.50) | 7th (1.29) | 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 9 | San Diego Surf | 1.00 (+0.50) | 8th (1.04) | 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection |
| 10 | LA Breakers FC | 0.83 (+0.33) | 10th (0.98) | A point next game |
| 11 | West Coast FC | 0.60 (+0.10) | 12th (0.78) | A point next game |
How the results connect
10 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Legends FC Del Mar to LAFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.05 · 3rd hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:15 PM |
LAFC 1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home Canyon Crest Academy · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.58 | 0.51 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
Beach Futbol Club 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.84 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.28 | 0.52 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
Sporting California USA 7th · 1-2-1 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.16 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 12:30 PM |
Legends FC 13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8 |
Home San Dieguito Academy |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.56 | 0.68 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Pateadores Soccer Club 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.27 | 0.64 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 01:00 PM |
San Diego Surf 9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Away Surf Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.09 | 0.68 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:30 PM |
West Coast FC 11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8 |
Home San Dieguito Academy |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–1 | 1.68 | 0.75 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 05:00 PM |
Legends FC 13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.28 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:30 PM |
Beach Futbol Club 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1 |
Home San Dieguito Academy |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.11 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 10:00 AM |
Rebels SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away El Cajon Valley High School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.58 | 0.79 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 01:30 PM |
Pateadores Soccer Club 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12 |
Home San Dieguito Academy |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.39 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 01:30 PM |
SDSC Surf 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Home San Dieguito Academy |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.81 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
West Coast FC 11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.40 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 12:00 PM |
Rebels SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home San Dieguito Academy |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 01:30 PM |
San Diego Surf 9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Home San Dieguito Academy |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.38 | 0.83 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 01:00 PM |
SDSC Surf 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.59 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Sat May 29 TBD |
LV Heat Surf SC 5th · 4-3-1 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.63 | 0.81 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | LAFC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | -0.39 | -0.01 | 82% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Rebels SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 14 | 2.33 | DWWWD | -0.23 | -0.07 | 98% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 vs Legends FC · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Rebels SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | -0.21 | -0.02 | 43% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | CDA Slammers FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 13 | 2.17 | WWLWW | -0.21 | -0.08 | 96% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | LV Heat Surf SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 15 | 1.88 | WWWLD | +0.19 | -0.13 | 45% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | SDSC Surf | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | WDLWL | +0.56 | -0.20 | 33% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 | 1.25 | DLWD | -0.41 | +0.12 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Beach Futbol Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | 1.00 | WLLD | +0.14 | -0.03 | 3% | 7.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | San Diego Surf | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LWLD | -0.18 | +0.08 | 0% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | LA Breakers FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 | 0.83 | DLDLL | +0.26 | -0.03 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 15 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | West Coast FC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3 | 0.60 | DDLLD | +0.20 | +0.02 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Legends FC Del Mar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | +0.06 | +0.05 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Legends FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.48 | -0.05 | 0% | 11.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.