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Legends FC Del Mar

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU16 · 13 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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12th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-8 goal diff · 8–16
LLLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.1
+0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:15 PM

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Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0.50 PPG
vs
LAFC
1st · 2.40 PPG

Canyon Crest Academy, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.8 against · 0.58 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC Del MarLAFC
Position12th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-54-0-1
Points per game0.502.40
Goals for / game1.32.6
Goals against / game2.71.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W L L L LW W W W L
Biggest win3–1 at LA Breakers FC6–0 vs West Coast FC
Worst loss1–5 vs CDA Slammers FC1–3 vs SDSC Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.86+0.84
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.06-0.39

Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 0–2 at LAFC (L)

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    LAFC score 2.6/game — well above the league's 1.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at LAFC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 14%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    LAFC have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    West Coast FC sit 11th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above West Coast FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Del Mar – LAFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
0.86 PPG
10th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 3 12th— holds
Draw
0.57 PPG
12th— holds 11th▲ up 1 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.43 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 14%
  11. 11th 20%
  12. 12th 23%
  13. 13th 24%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC 2.40 (+1.90) 3rd (1.97) 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 2.33 (+1.83) 1st (2.21) 53 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
3 Rebels SC 2.25 (+1.75) 5th (1.74) 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 CDA Slammers FC 2.17 (+1.67) 2nd (2.13) 50 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
5 LV Heat Surf SC 1.88 (+1.38) 4th (1.75) 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf 1.40 (+0.90) 6th (1.68) 31 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
7 Sporting California USA 1.25 (+0.75) 9th (1.02) 27 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 Beach Futbol Club 1.00 (+0.50) 7th (1.29) 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 San Diego Surf 1.00 (+0.50) 8th (1.04) 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
10 LA Breakers FC 0.83 (+0.33) 10th (0.98) A point next game
11 West Coast FC 0.60 (+0.10) 12th (0.78) A point next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Del Mar to LAFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
8 favour them
-3.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 1–5 2–0 3–1 3–1 2–4 1–2 1–2 1–0 2–2 1–3 2–3 2–2 0–6 0–0 2–2 2–0 Legends FC Del Mar 12th CDA Slammers FC 4th LA Breakers FC 10th LV Heat Surf SC 5th Sporting California… 7th SDSC Surf 6th Rebels SC 3rd West Coast FC 11th LAFC 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:15 PM
LAFC
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.58 0.51 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.84 0.55 Upside
Sun Nov 1
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.28 0.52 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
7th · 1-2-1 · GD -4
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.16 0.59 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:30 PM
Legends FC
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.56 0.68 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.27 0.64 Upside
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Away
Surf Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.09 0.68 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:30 PM
West Coast FC
11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.68 0.75 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
05:00 PM
Legends FC
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -8
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.28 0.78 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:30 PM
Beach Futbol Club
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -1
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.11 0.80 Upside
Sat Apr 10
10:00 AM
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.58 0.79 Upside
Sun Apr 11
01:30 PM
Pateadores Soccer Club
2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +12
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.39 0.77 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:30 PM
SDSC Surf
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.81 0.77 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
West Coast FC
11th · 0-3-2 · GD -8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.40 0.80 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
Rebels SC
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.80 0.80 Upside
Sun May 9
01:30 PM
San Diego Surf
9th · 1-1-2 · GD -4
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.38 0.83 Upside
Sat May 22
01:00 PM
SDSC Surf
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +2
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.59 0.82 Upside
Sat May 29
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
5th · 4-3-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.63 0.81 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC 5401 135+8 122.40 LWWWW -0.39 -0.01 82% 3.1
2 Pateadores Soccer Club 6420 153+12 142.33 DWWWD -0.23 -0.07 98% 1.8
3 Rebels SC 4301 96+3 92.25 WLWW -0.21 -0.02 43% 4.7
4 CDA Slammers FC 6411 165+11 132.17 WWLWW -0.21 -0.08 96% 2.2
5 LV Heat Surf SC 8431 1310+3 151.88 WWWLD +0.19 -0.13 45% 4.7
6 SDSC Surf 5212 97+2 71.40 WDLWL +0.56 -0.20 33% 5.1
7 Sporting California USA 4121 59-4 51.25 DLWD -0.41 +0.12 0% 9.5
8 Beach Futbol Club 4112 78-1 41.00 WLLD +0.14 -0.03 3% 7.5
9 San Diego Surf 4112 610-4 41.00 LWLD -0.18 +0.08 0% 9.3
10 LA Breakers FC 6123 713-6 50.83 DLDLL +0.26 -0.03 0% 9.7
11 West Coast FC 5032 412-8 30.60 DDLLD +0.20 +0.02 0% 11.3
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6105 816-8 30.50 LLLLW +0.06 +0.05 0% 11.1
13 Legends FC 5005 513-8 00.00 LLLLL +0.48 -0.05 0% 11.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.70 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.