Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 12:45 PM
LAFC 1–3 SDSC Surf
Oak Park High School · Stadium ↗ · turf? · 91377
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 26% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 52% home, 22% draw, 26% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | LAFC | SDSC Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-1 | 2-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | L W L D W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs West Coast FC | 4–1 vs Legends FC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs SDSC Surf | 0–2 vs CDA Slammers FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.84 | +0.40 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.39 | +0.56 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 1–3 (home for LAFC)
Common opponents: Legends FC — LAFC 2–1; SDSC Surf 4–1.
What's at stake
| LAFC | SDSC Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 6th |
| Games left | 19 | 19 |
| Chance of top 4 | 82% | 34% |
| Chance of 1st | 12% | 1% |
| Average finish | 3.2 | 5.0 |
How the results connect
9 chains
4 favour LAFC, 4 favour SDSC Surf, 1 even; average margin +1.3 goals toward LAFC.
- -2LAFC lost to SDSC Surf 1–3
- -2LAFC beat Legends FC 2–1 → Legends FC lost to SDSC Surf 1–4
- 0LAFC beat Legends FC Del Mar 2–0 → Legends FC Del Mar lost to CDA Slammers FC 1–5 → CDA Slammers FC beat SDSC Surf 2–0
- -1LAFC beat Rebels SC 2–1 → Rebels SC beat Legends FC 2–1 → Legends FC lost to SDSC Surf 1–4
- -2LAFC beat Legends FC Del Mar 2–0 → Legends FC Del Mar lost to CDA Slammers FC 1–5 → CDA Slammers FC drew with SDSC Surf 2–2
- +2LAFC beat Legends FC Del Mar 2–0 → Legends FC Del Mar lost to LV Heat Surf SC 1–2 → LV Heat Surf SC beat SDSC Surf 1–0
Full picture: LAFC · SDSC Surf · Southwest BU16 standings