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Pateadores Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU13 · 13 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)

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5th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+8 goal diff · 11–3
LDWWlast 4
18% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0
-1.79 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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Pateadores Soccer Club
5th · 1.75 PPG
at
CDA Slammers FC
3rd · 2.50 PPG

Santiago High School, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.7 against · 0.55 expected points)

Season so farPateadores Soccer ClubCDA Slammers FC
Position5th3rd
Record (W-D-L)2-1-15-0-1
Points per game1.752.50
Goals for / game2.84.7
Goals against / game0.80.5
Clean sheets24
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W D LL W W W W
Biggest win6–0 vs LV Heat Surf SC13–1 vs LV Heat Surf SC
Worst loss1–2 at Legends FC0–2 at LA Breakers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.73+2.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.79-0.73

Common opponents: LA Breakers FC — we 1–1; they 0–2. LV Heat Surf SC — we 3–0, 6–0; they 13–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    CDA Slammers FC score 4.7/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    CDA Slammers FC concede only 0.5/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Santiago High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Soccer Club – CDA Slammers FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.40 PPG
6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2 10th▼ down 5
Win
2.00 PPG
5th— holds 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 4
Loss
1.40 PPG
6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2 10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
18% top 4
82% below the top 4
6.0 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 21%
  6. 6th 22%
  7. 7th 18%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LA Breakers FC 2.67 (+0.92) 2nd (2.14) 58 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
2 LAFC 2.60 (+0.85) 3rd (2.05) 56 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
3 CDA Slammers FC 2.50 (+0.75) 1st (2.41) 53 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
4 Sporting California USA 2.33 (+0.58) 7th (1.59) 49 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection

How the results connect

18 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Pateadores Soccer Club to CDA Slammers FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
15 favour them
-3.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 2–0 6–0 1–13 3–0 1–5 0–4 1–1 0–8 0–8 0–1 0–2 5–0 1–2 1–2 0–2 4–0 Pateadores Soccer C… 5th LA Breakers FC 1st LV Heat Surf SC 13th Legends FC 7th West Coast FC 11th Legends FC Del Mar 12th SDSC Surf 9th CDA Slammers FC 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 24 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.34 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
Sporting California USA
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Away
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.37 1.67 Upside
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
CDA Slammers FC
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +25
Away far trip
Santiago High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.55 1.49 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Home
Great Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.64 1.51 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
LAFC
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +13
Home
Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.19 1.47 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -7
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.13 1.54 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
TBD
Legends FC
7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
1–0 1.90 1.58 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
09:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +14
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
20%
0–1 0.85 1.51 Upside
Sat Mar 6
09:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -7
Home
Vanguard University · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 1.58 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -26
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.85 1.68 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Rebels SC
8th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.88 1.70 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LAFC
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +13
Away
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.93 1.64 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +25
Home
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.75 1.59 Upside
Sat Apr 10
11:00 AM
SDSC Surf
9th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.25 1.57 Upside
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -26
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
3–0 2.75 1.63 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
West Coast FC
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.25 1.67 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +15
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.92 1.63 Upside
Sat May 15
04:30 PM
Rebels SC
8th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.61 1.63 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
West Coast FC
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.01 1.65 Swing game
Sat May 22
TBD
San Diego Surf
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +15
Home
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.19 1.63 Upside
Sun May 30
TBD
SDSC Surf
9th · 2-0-3 · GD +5
Home
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.49 1.62 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LA Breakers FC 6510 151+14 162.67 WWDWW -0.91 +0.29 94% 2.6
2 LAFC 5410 174+13 132.60 WWDWW -0.51 +0.07 90% 3.0
3 CDA Slammers FC 6501 283+25 152.50 WWWWL -0.73 +0.07 100% 1.3
4 Sporting California USA 3210 83+5 72.33 DWW -1.36 +0.21 17% 6.3
5 Pateadores Soccer Club 4211 113+8 71.75 LDWW -1.79 +0.34 18% 6.0
6 San Diego Surf 4202 194+15 61.50 WLWL -1.41 +0.20 59% 4.4
7 Legends FC 5212 46-2 71.40 WWLDL +0.92 -0.15 1% 8.1
8 Rebels SC 4121 77+0 51.25 LDWD +0.41 -0.02 3% 7.8
9 SDSC Surf 5203 105+5 61.20 LLWWL +0.53 -0.11 18% 6.0
10 Beach Futbol Club 3102 512-7 31.00 LLW +1.15 -0.01 0% 10.2
11 West Coast FC 5113 712-5 40.80 WDLLL +0.29 +0.09 0% 10.3
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6015 329-26 10.17 LLDLL +0.49 +0.22 0% 12.2
13 LV Heat Surf SC 8017 449-45 10.13 LDLLL +0.53 +0.33 0% 12.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.98 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.