LAFC
ECNL Boys · Southwest BU13 · 13 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM
Canyon Crest Academy, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 5–0 (expected goals 5.0 for, 0.8 against · 2.89 expected points)
| Season so far | LAFC | Legends FC Del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 0-1-5 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.17 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 4.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | L L D L L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Legends FC Del Mar | — |
| Worst loss | — | 0–8 vs CDA Slammers FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.45 | -2.73 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.51 | +0.49 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 6–0 vs Legends FC Del Mar (W)
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Legends FC Del Mar average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 4 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Legends FC Del Mar concede 4.8/game; worst result 0–8 vs CDA Slammers FC.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 95% chance; likely score 5–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Away game
Kickoff 12:30 PM at Canyon Crest Academy.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Legends FC Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC – Legends FC Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 8%
- 2nd 31%
- 3rd 34%
- 4th 17%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.92 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA Breakers FC | 2.67 (+0.07) | 2nd (2.14) | 52 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
How the results connect
10 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link LAFC to Legends FC Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.07 · 9th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM |
Legends FC Del Mar 12th · 0-1-5 · GD -26 |
Away far trip
Canyon Crest Academy · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
5–0 | 2.89 | 2.65 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 04:00 PM |
SDSC Surf 9th · 2-0-3 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Westview High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.57 | 2.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
Beach Futbol Club 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.47 | 2.49 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 03:00 PM |
Pateadores Soccer Club 5th · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Great Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.59 | 2.39 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 06:15 PM |
San Diego Surf 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +15 |
Home Oak Park High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.56 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 09:00 AM |
LA Breakers FC 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–1 | 1.09 | 2.20 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 10:45 AM |
Rebels SC 8th · 1-2-1 · GD +0 |
Home Oak Park High School · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.23 | 2.20 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +25 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.03 | 2.11 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Pateadores Soccer Club 5th · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 2.09 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
West Coast FC 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
2–1 | 2.34 | 2.11 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +25 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.78 | 2.03 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Beach Futbol Club 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -7 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
4–1 | 2.66 | 2.06 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Sporting California USA 4th · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.73 | 2.04 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 06:15 PM |
LV Heat Surf SC 13th · 0-1-7 · GD -45 |
Home Oak Park High School · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
7–0 | 2.98 | 2.09 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
LA Breakers FC 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +14 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 2.05 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 02:00 PM |
San Diego Surf 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.25 | 2.02 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
LV Heat Surf SC 13th · 0-1-7 · GD -45 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
6–0 | 2.96 | 2.06 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 11:00 AM |
Legends FC 7th · 2-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
1–0 | 2.00 | 2.06 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Sporting California USA 4th · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 2.05 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | LA Breakers FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | +14 | 16 | 2.67 | WWDWW | -0.91 | +0.29 | 94% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 22 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | LAFC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 13 | 2.60 | WWDWW | -0.51 | +0.07 | 89% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 1 at Beach Futbol Club See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | CDA Slammers FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 3 | +25 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWL | -0.73 | +0.07 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sporting California USA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -1.36 | +0.21 | 14% | 6.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 7 | 1.75 | LDWW | -1.79 | +0.34 | 18% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Mon Jan 1 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | San Diego Surf | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | -1.41 | +0.20 | 59% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Legends FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | WWLDL | +0.92 | -0.15 | 2% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 8 vs West Coast FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Rebels SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 5 | 1.25 | LDWD | +0.41 | -0.02 | 3% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting California USA See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | SDSC Surf | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWWL | +0.53 | -0.11 | 22% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Beach Futbol Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | +1.15 | -0.01 | 0% | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | West Coast FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | WDLLL | +0.29 | +0.09 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Legends FC Del Mar | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 29 | -26 | 1 | 0.17 | LLDLL | +0.49 | +0.22 | 0% | 12.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | LV Heat Surf SC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 49 | -45 | 1 | 0.13 | LDLLL | +0.53 | +0.33 | 0% | 12.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.98 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.