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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U13 · 13 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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6th
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+2 goal diff · 11–9
WWLlast 3
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.7
-0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
6th · 2.00 PPG
at
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
11th · 0.71 PPG

Hickman Fields, Hickman #2 11 v 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 3.0 for, 1.4 against · 2.25 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Position6th11th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-11-2-4
Points per game2.000.71
Goals for / game3.70.6
Goals against / game3.02.9
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)L W WL D D L L
Biggest win8–1 vs Chula Vista FC 21–0 vs Chula Vista FC 2
Worst loss0–6 at Crusaders SC0–8 at Crusaders SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.15-1.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.50+0.30

Common opponents: Reds FC 2 — we 3–2; they 0–0. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 8–1; they 1–0. Crusaders SC — we 0–6; they 0–8.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    ALBION SC San Diego (1) average 0.6 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 3 of 7.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 at Crusaders SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 70% / draw 15% / loss 15%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Hickman Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Elite FC 2 sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.

    A point moves us above Elite FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC San Diego (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) – ALBION SC San Diego (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.25 PPG
4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1
Win
2.25 PPG
4th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1
Draw
1.75 PPG
6th— holds 5th▲ up 1 7th▼ down 1
Loss
1.50 PPG
7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
6.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 20%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 23%
  8. 8th 34%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+1.00) 3rd (2.22) 66 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Crusaders SC 2.75 (+0.75) 2nd (2.42) 60 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
3 EMPIRE SC 2.40 (+0.40) 1st (2.49) 52 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
4 Zeta Academy 2.17 (+0.17) 4th (2.12) A point next game
5 Elite FC 2 2.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.61) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) to ALBION SC San Diego (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
3 even
4 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 0–0 0–6 8–0 8–1 0–1 3–1 5–1 0–7 1–1 0–1 0–6 4–0 0–13 4–1 3–1 1–2 FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 6th Reds FC 2 12th Crusaders SC 2nd Chula Vista FC 2 10th Rangers FC 2 7th Zeta Academy 4th EMPIRE SC 3rd ALBION SC San Diego… 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.15 · 6th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -16
Away
Hickman Fields
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.25 2.06 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
13th · 0-0-6 · GD -18
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–0 2.50 2.15 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -18
Home
South Fontana
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
4–1 2.61 2.23 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +3
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–1 1.42 2.11 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Reds FC 2
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -11
Away
Portola Springs Park
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 2.10 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
2–4 0.40 1.91 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -28
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.62 1.98 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +25
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–4 0.54 1.85 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.20 1.79 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +28
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–5 0.30 1.68 Upside
Sat Apr 10
05:15 PM
BOCA OC (2)
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +2
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–2 1.08 1.64 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +16
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.50 1.56 Upside
Sat Apr 17
09:00 AM
Zeta Academy
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +16
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.73 1.51 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -16
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.47 1.57 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +2
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.41 1.56 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
13th · 0-0-6 · GD -18
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
3–0 2.66 1.61 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -18
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.40 1.65 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.13 1.63 Upside
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
Elite FC 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +2
Home
South Fontana
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.55 1.63 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +28
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.17 1.56 Upside
Sat May 29
09:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +13
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
17%
2–4 0.64 1.52 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 141+13 63.00 WW -1.91 +0.07 96% 3.1
2 Crusaders SC 8710 338+25 222.75 WWWWW -0.23 -0.04 100% 2.1
3 EMPIRE SC 5401 324+28 122.40 LWWWW -0.73 -0.05 100% 1.5
4 Zeta Academy 6411 215+16 132.17 WLWWD -0.38 +0.04 91% 3.5
5 Elite FC 2 6402 1513+2 122.00 WLWWL -0.17 +0.14 5% 6.2
6 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3201 119+2 62.00 WWL -0.50 +0.15 2% 6.7
7 Rangers FC 2 6312 96+3 101.67 WWDLW -0.27 +0.17 2% 6.6
8 BOCA OC (2) 3111 64+2 41.33 DLW +0.14 +0.03 4% 6.4
9 Rayados Academy San Diego 7214 725-18 71.00 LDLLL -0.26 +0.46 0% 10.5
10 Chula Vista FC 2 7205 735-28 60.86 LLWLW -0.04 +0.45 0% 11.6
11 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7124 420-16 50.71 LLDDL +0.30 +0.20 0% 10.5
12 Reds FC 2 6015 415-11 10.17 LLDLL +0.98 -0.11 0% 9.8
13 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6006 018-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.07 +0.31 0% 12.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.