TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Santa Ana 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U13 · 13 teams · ALBION SC Santa Ana (all teams)

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13th
0-0-6 record · 6 played
0.00 points per game
-18 goal diff · 0–18
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.5
+0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 08:00 AM

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ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
13th · 0.00 PPG
vs

Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.1 against · 0.38 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Santa Ana 2FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Position13th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-62-0-1
Points per game0.002.00
Goals for / game0.03.7
Goals against / game3.03.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless61
Form (recent first)L L L L LL W W
Biggest win—8–1 vs Chula Vista FC 2
Worst loss0–3 at Rayados Academy San Diego0–6 at Crusaders SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.86+0.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.07-0.50

Common opponents: Crusaders SC — we 0–3; they 0–6. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 0–3; they 8–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) score 3.7/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 6 time(s): 0–3 at Rayados Academy San Diego, 0–3 at Elite FC 2, 0–3 vs BOCA OC (2), 0–3 at Crusaders SC, 0–3 at Chula Vista FC 2, 0–3 at AC Brea (2).

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 8%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Reds FC 2 sit 12th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Reds FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 – FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Win
0.43 PPG
12th▲ up 1 13th— holds 13th— holds
Draw
0.14 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 22%
  13. 13th 66%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.22) 72 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
2 Crusaders SC 2.75 (+2.75) 2nd (2.42) 66 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 EMPIRE SC 2.40 (+2.40) 1st (2.49) 58 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Zeta Academy 2.17 (+2.17) 4th (2.12) 53 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
5 Elite FC 2 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.61) 48 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 2.00 (+2.00) 8th (1.52) 48 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
7 Rangers FC 2 1.67 (+1.67) 7th (1.55) 41 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
8 BOCA OC (2) 1.33 (+1.33) 6th (1.58) 32 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
9 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.00 (+1.00) 11th (0.70) 24 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 Chula Vista FC 2 0.86 (+0.86) 12th (0.56) 21 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
11 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 0.71 (+0.71) 10th (0.70) 18 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
12 Reds FC 2 0.17 (+0.17) 9th (0.80) A point next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 to FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
4 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 6–0 0–3 1–8 3–1 2–3 0–3 2–3 0–3 3–3 5–1 0–3 1–2 ALBION SC Santa Ana… 13th Crusaders SC 2nd Chula Vista FC 2 10th Elite FC 2 5th BOCA OC (2) 8th Rayados Academy San… 9th Reds FC 2 12th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.31 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
08:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–3 0.38 0.05 Upside
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -16
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●○ Tough
28%
0–1 1.14 0.19 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:05 AM
Zeta Academy
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +16
Away
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.11 0.18 Upside
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +3
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.36 0.20 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -18
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.17 0.29 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.42 0.30 Upside
Sat Mar 13
08:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +28
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.04 0.28 Upside
Sun Mar 14
05:15 PM
BOCA OC (2)
8th · 1-1-1 · GD +2
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Upper)
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–2 0.28 0.28 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +25
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.10 0.27 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.93 0.31 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -28
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.36 0.37 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +28
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–5 0.02 0.35 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +13
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.34 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.25 0.33 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -16
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.94 0.36 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +16
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.18 0.35 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
Rangers FC 2
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +3
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–1 0.48 0.36 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -11
Away
Portola Springs Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–1 0.75 0.38 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 2200 141+13 63.00 WW -1.91 +0.07 95% 3.0
2 Crusaders SC 8710 338+25 222.75 WWWWW -0.23 -0.04 100% 2.0
3 EMPIRE SC 5401 324+28 122.40 LWWWW -0.73 -0.05 100% 1.6
4 Zeta Academy 6411 215+16 132.17 WLWWD -0.38 +0.04 91% 3.6
5 Elite FC 2 6402 1513+2 122.00 WLWWL -0.17 +0.14 5% 6.2
6 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3201 119+2 62.00 WWL -0.50 +0.15 3% 6.7
7 Rangers FC 2 6312 96+3 101.67 WWDLW -0.27 +0.17 2% 6.6
8 BOCA OC (2) 3111 64+2 41.33 DLW +0.14 +0.03 4% 6.3
9 Rayados Academy San Diego 7214 725-18 71.00 LDLLL -0.26 +0.46 0% 10.5
10 Chula Vista FC 2 7205 735-28 60.86 LLWLW -0.04 +0.45 0% 11.6
11 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 7124 420-16 50.71 LLDDL +0.30 +0.20 0% 10.5
12 Reds FC 2 6015 415-11 10.17 LLDLL +0.98 -0.11 0% 9.9
13 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6006 018-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.07 +0.31 0% 12.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.