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City SC Los Angeles 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U13 · 12 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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9th
2-0-4 record · 6 played
1.00 points per game
-19 goal diff · 13–32
WLLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.4
+0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 1.00 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
5th · 1.67 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.6 for, 3.4 against · 0.58 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los Angeles 2Autobahn SA
Position9th5th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-43-1-2
Points per game1.001.67
Goals for / game2.21.3
Goals against / game5.31.5
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)W L L L WW L W L D
Biggest win4–1 vs Pride FC3–1 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss0–10 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 20–5 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.97-0.04
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.19+0.22

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 0–10; they 0–5. Los Angeles SC 2 — we 3–5; they 0–0. Culver City — we 0–8; they 2–1. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 2–6; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–10 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2, 0–8 vs Culver City.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Lincoln Middle Schol.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Downey United Football Club sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Downey United Football Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles 2 – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.86 PPG		 10th▼ down 1 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.29 PPG		 7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 9th— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG		 9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Loss
0.86 PPG		 10th▼ down 1 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 15%
  10. 10th 23%
  11. 11th 26%
  12. 12th 26%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.45 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.65) 60 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.50 (+1.50) 2nd (2.34) 49 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 FC Premier 1.75 (+0.75) 3rd (1.87) 33 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.67 (+0.67) 4th (1.72) 31 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Autobahn SA 1.67 (+0.67) 6th (1.50) 31 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.57 (+0.57) 5th (1.62) 29 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 Pride FC 1.20 (+0.20) 8th (1.13) A point next game
8 Downey United Football Club 1.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.14) A point next game

How the results connect

21 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles 2 to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
14 favour them
-2.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–5 0–0 0–10 5–0 2–6 0–2 0–8 1–2 4–2 0–1 0–6 5–0 1–3 1–1 2–1 2–0 0–5 3–1 4–1 3–2 City SC Los Angeles… 9th Los Angeles SC 2 11th Total Futbol Academ… 1st Sporting So-Cal Soc… 6th Culver City 4th LAIFC (2) 10th Pride FC 7th FC Golden State For… 12th Downey United Footb… 8th Autobahn SA 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.17 · 4th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM		 Autobahn SA
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -1		 Away
Lincoln Middle Schol		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.58 0.94 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18		 Home
Lawndale High School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.13 0.84 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM		 FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +3		 Away
Fullerton High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.28 0.78 Upside
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
8th · 2-1-4 · GD -6		 Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 2–3 0.74 0.77 Upside
Sun Feb 28
09:00 AM		 FC Premier
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +3		 Home
Lawndale High School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.46 0.74 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +30		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–7 0.05 0.69 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.81 0.70 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–3 1.32 0.74 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–5 0.27 0.71 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–3 1.21 0.74 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
6th · 3-2-2 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.31 0.72 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–2 1.60 0.76 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.07 0.73 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–3 0.84 0.73 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
8th · 2-1-4 · GD -6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 2–3 1.05 0.75 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12		 Home
Lawndale High School · turf?		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 3–3 1.58 0.79 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6600 355+30 183.00 WWWWW -0.58 -0.13 100% 1.1
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 6501 235+18 152.50 WWWWW -0.32 -0.11 100% 2.0
3 FC Premier 4211 85+3 71.75 WWLD +1.27 -0.34 82% 3.6
4 Culver City 6312 169+7 101.67 WDWLW -0.35 +0.06 59% 4.3
5 Autobahn SA 6312 89-1 101.67 DLWLW +0.22 -0.07 18% 5.7
6 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 7322 169+7 111.57 DWWLD -0.58 +0.22 39% 4.8
7 Pride FC 5203 814-6 61.20 WLWLL +0.30 +0.02 1% 7.8
8 Downey United Football Club 7214 1117-6 71.00 LLWWD +0.32 -0.11 2% 7.8
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 1332-19 61.00 WLLLW +0.19 +0.17 0% 10.4
10 LAIFC (2) 7205 720-13 60.86 WLLLL +0.32 +0.02 0% 10.0
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6123 917-8 50.83 DLWLD -0.25 +0.22 0% 9.5
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 820-12 30.50 LWLLL -0.22 +0.29 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.