TableChase Clubs

Pride FC

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U13 · 12 teams · SoCal Pride FC (all teams)

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7th
2-0-3 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
-6 goal diff · 8–14
WLWLLlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.8
+0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 06:40 PM

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Pride FC
7th · 1.20 PPG
at
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0.83 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.0 against · 1.41 expected points)

Season so farPride FCLos Angeles SC 2
Position7th11th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-31-2-3
Points per game1.200.83
Goals for / game1.61.5
Goals against / game2.82.8
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)L L W L WD L W L D
Biggest win3–2 vs FC Golden State Force (2)5–3 vs City SC Los Angeles 2
Worst loss1–4 at City SC Los Angeles 20–7 at Bell Gardens Football Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.62-0.93
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.30-0.26

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 3–2; they 2–3. City SC Los Angeles 2 — we 1–4; they 5–3. Downey United Football Club — we 1–0; they 1–1. Bell Gardens Football Club — we 2–4; they 0–7.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 06:40 PM at West Covina High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Los Angeles SC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pride FC – Los Angeles SC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.17 PPG
7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2
Win
1.50 PPG
7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 7th— holds
Draw
1.17 PPG
7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2
Loss
1.00 PPG
9th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 2 12th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
7.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 30%
  8. 8th 28%
  9. 9th 15%
  10. 10th 9%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3.00 (+1.80) 1st (2.65) 60 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.50 (+1.30) 2nd (2.35) 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 FC Premier 2.00 (+0.80) 3rd (1.95) 38 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.67 (+0.47) 4th (1.72) 31 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.67 (+0.47) 5th (1.61) 31 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 Autobahn SA 1.67 (+0.47) 6th (1.49) 31 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Pride FC to Los Angeles SC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
4 favour them
+0.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 1–1 3–2 3–2 2–4 7–0 1–4 3–5 1–3 0–0 5–1 1–4 6–1 5–0 2–1 0–5 3–1 10–0 Pride FC 7th Downey United Footb… 8th FC Golden State For… 12th Bell Gardens Footba… 2nd City SC Los Angeles… 9th Total Futbol Academ… 1st Autobahn SA 6th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 5th Los Angeles SC 2 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 7th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
09:00 AM
no score posted
FC Premier
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.82 1.14 Upside
Sat Oct 24
06:40 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8
Away
West Covina High School
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.41 1.18 Upside
Sun Oct 25
03:45 PM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.62 1.23 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
12:05 PM
Autobahn SA
6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.24 1.23 Upside
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
John Ferraro Athletic Fields · turf
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.69 1.18 Upside
Sun Nov 8
05:25 PM
Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.87 1.15 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.63 1.19 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.93 1.17 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 2-0-4 · GD -19
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–2 2.05 1.23 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
8th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.17 1.23 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +30
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.22 1.17 Upside
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.59 1.13 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.41 1.09 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.70 1.12 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.89 1.16 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 0.99 1.15 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.64 1.13 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6600 355+30 183.00 WWWWW -0.56 -0.13 100% 1.1
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 6501 235+18 152.50 WWWWW -0.31 -0.11 100% 2.0
3 FC Premier 3201 85+3 62.00 WWL +1.55 -0.30 87% 3.4
4 Culver City 6312 169+7 101.67 WDWLW -0.36 +0.08 58% 4.4
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6312 169+7 101.67 LDWWL -0.84 +0.26 36% 5.0
6 Autobahn SA 6312 89-1 101.67 DLWLW +0.21 -0.06 17% 5.6
7 Pride FC 5203 814-6 61.20 WLWLL +0.30 +0.03 1% 7.8
8 Downey United Football Club 7214 1117-6 71.00 LLWWD +0.34 -0.11 1% 7.8
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 1332-19 61.00 WLLLW +0.18 +0.18 0% 10.4
10 LAIFC (2) 7205 720-13 60.86 WLLLL +0.32 +0.04 0% 10.1
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6123 917-8 50.83 DLWLD -0.26 +0.23 0% 9.4
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 820-12 30.50 LWLLL -0.23 +0.30 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.