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Total Futbol Academy - OC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U13 · 12 teams · Total Futbol Academy - OC (all teams)

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1st
6-0-0 record · 6 played
3.00 points per game
+30 goal diff · 35–5
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.56 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM

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Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 3.00 PPG
at

Bishop Mora Salesian High School, Keegan Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.7 for, 1.1 against · 2.88 expected points)

Season so farTotal Futbol Academy - OC 2FC Golden State Force (2)
Position1st12th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-01-0-5
Points per game3.000.50
Goals for / game5.81.3
Goals against / game0.83.3
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W W W WL L L W L
Biggest win10–0 vs City SC Los Angeles 23–2 at Los Angeles SC 2
Worst loss—0–5 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.98-1.45
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.56-0.23

Common opponents: Autobahn SA — we 5–0; they 1–3. Pride FC — we 4–1; they 2–3. LAIFC (2) — we 6–0; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 95% chance; likely score 5–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    FC Golden State Force (2) have lost 3 straight (form: LWLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at Bishop Mora Salesian High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Golden State Force (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 – FC Golden State Force (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.71 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.57 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 5–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

87% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 87%
  2. 2nd 12%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

17 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 to FC Golden State Force (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

17 favour us
0 favour them
+8.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–1 3–2 5–0 3–1 6–0 3–0 0–0 2–3 10–0 0–8 4–2 6–1 1–1 0–1 0–1 3–5 2–1 2–1 2–6 5–0 Total Futbol Academ… 1st Pride FC 7th Autobahn SA 6th LAIFC (2) 10th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Downey United Footb… 8th Los Angeles SC 2 11th Culver City 4th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 5th FC Golden State For… 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.13 · 11th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:30 PM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12
Away
Bishop Mora Salesian High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–1 2.88 2.98 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
09:40 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
Glendale High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.28 2.90 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
Glendale Sports Complex · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 2.85 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
09:30 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Home
Hoover High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.89 2.75 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
8th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.67 2.74 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
11:40 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Away
JW NORTH Stadium · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 2.65 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 2-0-4 · GD -19
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
7–1 2.93 2.67 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
3–1 2.62 2.66 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
4–1 2.71 2.67 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–1 2.88 2.68 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.83 2.69 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
10:00 AM
FC Premier
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–1 2.19 2.66 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
6–1 2.94 2.68 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.52 2.67 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.22 2.65 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8
Away
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–1 2.79 2.65 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6600 355+30 183.00 WWWWW -0.56 -0.13 100% 1.1
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 6501 235+18 152.50 WWWWW -0.31 -0.11 100% 2.0
3 FC Premier 3201 85+3 62.00 WWL +1.55 -0.30 86% 3.5
4 Culver City 6312 169+7 101.67 WDWLW -0.36 +0.08 60% 4.4
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6312 169+7 101.67 LDWWL -0.84 +0.26 36% 5.0
6 Autobahn SA 6312 89-1 101.67 DLWLW +0.21 -0.06 16% 5.7
7 Pride FC 5203 814-6 61.20 WLWLL +0.30 +0.03 1% 7.8
8 Downey United Football Club 7214 1117-6 71.00 LLWWD +0.34 -0.11 1% 7.7
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 1332-19 61.00 WLLLW +0.18 +0.18 0% 10.4
10 LAIFC (2) 7205 720-13 60.86 WLLLL +0.32 +0.04 0% 10.0
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6123 917-8 50.83 DLWLD -0.26 +0.23 0% 9.4
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 820-12 30.50 LWLLL -0.23 +0.30 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.