Autobahn SA
Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U13 · 12 teams · Autobahn SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM
Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.0 against · 2.07 expected points)
| Season so far | Autobahn SA | LAIFC (2) |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 2-0-5 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 0.86 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W L D | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at FC Golden State Force (2) | 3–0 at FC Golden State Force (2) |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 0–6 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.05 | -1.23 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | +0.32 |
Common opponents: Culver City — we 2–1; they 0–1. Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 0–5; they 0–6. FC Golden State Force (2) — we 3–1; they 3–0. Downey United Football Club — we 1–2; they 0–5. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 2–0; they 2–0.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
LAIFC (2) average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 4 of 7.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 at Los Angeles SC 2, 0–5 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 62% / draw 21% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
LAIFC (2) have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club sit 5th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.67.A point moves us above Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the LAIFC (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Autobahn SA – LAIFC (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.86 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 2 | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.86 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 2 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.57 PPG |
6th— holds | 5th▲ up 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.43 PPG |
6th— holds | 5th▲ up 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 4%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 26%
- 6th 40%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 5%
- 9th 1%
- 10th <1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 3.00 (+1.33) | 1st (2.65) | 56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 2.50 (+0.83) | 2nd (2.35) | 45 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 3 | FC Premier | 2.00 (+0.33) | 3rd (1.95) | 34 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 4 | Culver City | 1.67 (+0.00) | 4th (1.72) | A point next game |
| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 1.67 (+0.00) | 5th (1.61) | A point next game |
How the results connect
23 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Autobahn SA to LAIFC (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.06 · 8th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:30 PM |
LAIFC (2) 10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13 |
Home Lincoln Middle Schol |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–0 | 2.07 | 1.72 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 9th · 2-0-4 · GD -19 |
Home Lincoln Middle Schol |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.27 | 1.79 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 12:05 PM |
Pride FC 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6 |
Away Borchard Community Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–1 | 1.53 | 1.76 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 08:30 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18 |
Home John Adams Middle School ( |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.66 | 1.65 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 03:45 PM |
Downey United Football Club 8th · 2-1-4 · GD -6 |
Home Santa Monica High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.72 | 1.66 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 03:00 PM |
Culver City 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7 |
Away Culver City High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 1.60 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 08:30 AM |
FC Premier 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home Lincoln Middle Schol |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.12 | 1.56 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 1.59 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +30 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–3 | 0.28 | 1.50 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 09:00 AM |
FC Premier 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Away St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.14 | 1.50 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.23 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
1–1 | 1.84 | 1.50 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 9th · 2-0-4 · GD -19 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 1.53 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Pride FC 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.79 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
0–2 | 0.48 | 1.49 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5 | +30 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.56 | -0.13 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWW | -0.31 | -0.11 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Premier | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | +1.55 | -0.30 | 88% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Culver City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 10 | 1.67 | WDWLW | -0.36 | +0.08 | 60% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 10 | 1.67 | LDWWL | -0.84 | +0.26 | 35% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Autobahn SA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | 1.67 | DLWLW | +0.21 | -0.06 | 15% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAIFC (2) · Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pride FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 | 1.20 | WLWLL | +0.30 | +0.03 | 1% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at LAIFC (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Downey United Football Club | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 | 1.00 | LLWWD | +0.34 | -0.11 | 1% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 6 | 1.00 | WLLLW | +0.18 | +0.18 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | LAIFC (2) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 | 0.86 | WLLLL | +0.32 | +0.04 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Autobahn SA · Sun Oct 25 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Los Angeles SC 2 See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 5 | 0.83 | DLWLD | -0.26 | +0.23 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sun Nov 8 at LAIFC (2) See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 3 | 0.50 | LWLLL | -0.23 | +0.30 | 0% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club · Sun Nov 1 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.