TableChase Clubs

FC Premier

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U13 · 12 teams · FC Premier (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
3rd
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+3 goal diff · 8–5
WWLlast 3
88% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.4
+1.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

FC Premier
3rd · 2.00 PPG
vs

Ocean View High School, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.8 against · 1.67 expected points)

Season so farFC PremierSporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Position3rd5th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-13-1-2
Points per game2.001.67
Goals for / game2.72.7
Goals against / game1.71.5
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)L W WL W W D L
Biggest win2–0 vs Bell Gardens Football Club5–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss3–4 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 20–2 at LAIFC (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.80+0.54
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.55-0.84

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 49% / draw 20% / loss 31%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Premier – Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.25 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.25 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
1.75 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG
6th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
88% top 4
12% below the top 4
3.4 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 58%
  4. 4th 20%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.65) 60 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.50 (+0.50) 2nd (2.35) 49 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Premier to Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+5.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 1–1 1–3 3–4 10–0 2–6 2–1 2–0 2–0 3–0 2–2 5–0 6–0 2–0 7–0 4–0 5–0 FC Premier 3rd Downey United Footb… 8th Total Futbol Academ… 1st Bell Gardens Footba… 2nd Los Angeles SC 2 11th City SC Los Angeles… 9th Autobahn SA 6th Culver City 4th LAIFC (2) 10th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.30 · 12th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
09:00 AM
no score posted
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6
Away
Borchard Community Park
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.00 2.00 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
Ocean View High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 1.94 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
06:40 PM
Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
Culver City High School
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–2 1.30 1.83 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.40 1.91 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–1 2.58 1.99 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 2-0-4 · GD -19
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
5–1 2.70 2.07 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.71 1.94 Upside
Sun Feb 28
09:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 2-0-4 · GD -19
Away
Lawndale High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
4–1 2.50 1.99 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
08:30 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1
Away
Lincoln Middle Schol
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.66 1.96 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
10:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
8th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.20 1.98 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
Autobahn SA
6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.92 1.97 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.30 2.00 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.27 2.01 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
10:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +30
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.67 1.93 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.37 1.90 Upside
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7
Home
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.60 1.89 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.16 1.90 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 1.92 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 2-0-5 · GD -13
Home
Fullerton High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.50 1.95 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6600 355+30 183.00 WWWWW -0.56 -0.13 100% 1.1
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 6501 235+18 152.50 WWWWW -0.31 -0.11 100% 2.0
3 FC Premier 3201 85+3 62.00 WWL +1.55 -0.30 88% 3.4
4 Culver City 6312 169+7 101.67 WDWLW -0.36 +0.08 59% 4.4
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6312 169+7 101.67 LDWWL -0.84 +0.26 34% 5.0
6 Autobahn SA 6312 89-1 101.67 DLWLW +0.21 -0.06 18% 5.6
7 Pride FC 5203 814-6 61.20 WLWLL +0.30 +0.03 1% 7.8
8 Downey United Football Club 7214 1117-6 71.00 LLWWD +0.34 -0.11 1% 7.7
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 1332-19 61.00 WLLLW +0.18 +0.18 0% 10.4
10 LAIFC (2) 7205 720-13 60.86 WLLLL +0.32 +0.04 0% 10.1
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6123 917-8 50.83 DLWLD -0.26 +0.23 0% 9.5
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 820-12 30.50 LWLLL -0.23 +0.30 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.