TableChase Clubs

LAIFC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U13 · 12 teams · LAIFC (all teams)

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10th
2-0-5 record · 7 played
0.86 points per game
-13 goal diff · 7–20
WLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.9
+0.32 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM

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LAIFC (2)
10th · 0.86 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
6th · 1.67 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.1 against · 0.72 expected points)

Season so farLAIFC (2)Autobahn SA
Position10th6th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-53-1-2
Points per game0.861.67
Goals for / game1.01.3
Goals against / game2.91.5
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless42
Form (recent first)L L L L WW L W L D
Biggest win3–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)3–1 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss0–6 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 20–5 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.23-0.05
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.32+0.21

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 3–0; they 3–1. Culver City — we 0–1; they 2–1. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 2–0; they 2–0. Downey United Football Club — we 0–5; they 1–2. Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 0–6; they 0–5.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–1 vs Culver City, 0–4 vs Bell Gardens Football Club, 0–5 at Downey United Football Club, 0–6 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:30 PM at Lincoln Middle Schol.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    City SC Los Angeles 2 sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.86.

    A point moves us above City SC Los Angeles 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAIFC (2) – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.75 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2
Win
1.13 PPG		 8th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 2
Draw
0.88 PPG		 10th— holds 9th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 2
Loss
0.75 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 22%
  10. 10th 26%
  11. 11th 24%
  12. 12th 13%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3.00 (+2.14) 1st (2.65) 60 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.50 (+1.64) 2nd (2.35) 49 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Premier 2.00 (+1.14) 3rd (1.95) 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Culver City 1.67 (+0.81) 4th (1.72) 31 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.67 (+0.81) 5th (1.61) 31 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
6 Autobahn SA 1.67 (+0.81) 6th (1.49) 31 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 Pride FC 1.20 (+0.34) 8th (1.13) 21 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
8 Downey United Football Club 1.00 (+0.14) 7th (1.14) A point next game
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 1.00 (+0.14) 11th (0.78) A point next game

How the results connect

23 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link LAIFC (2) to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
3 even
13 favour them
-1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 0–2 0–6 5–0 3–0 1–3 0–1 1–2 0–5 2–1 6–1 2–4 0–4 5–1 2–2 3–0 7–0 0–0 LAIFC (2) 10th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 5th Total Futbol Academ… 1st FC Golden State For… 12th Culver City 4th Downey United Footb… 8th Bell Gardens Footba… 2nd Los Angeles SC 2 11th Autobahn SA 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 6th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:30 PM		 Autobahn SA
6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1		 Away
Lincoln Middle Schol		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 0–2 0.72 0.84 Upside
Sun Oct 25
03:45 PM		 Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6		 Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.16 0.88 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:45 PM		 Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8		 Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.31 0.92 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:45 PM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 1-0-5 · GD -12		 Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–1 1.51 0.97 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Culver City
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.42 0.93 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +18		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–4 0.16 0.87 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
8th · 2-1-4 · GD -6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–1 1.09 0.88 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 FC Premier
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–2 0.55 0.86 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +30		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.12 0.81 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
9th · 2-0-4 · GD -19		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.23 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–1 0.93 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD -6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.90 0.85 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 1-2-3 · GD -8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 1–2 1.04 0.86 Upside
Sun May 9
09:00 AM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–2 0.45 0.84 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Premier
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +3		 Away
Fullerton High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.38 0.82 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6600 355+30 183.00 WWWWW -0.56 -0.13 100% 1.1
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 6501 235+18 152.50 WWWWW -0.31 -0.11 100% 2.0
3 FC Premier 3201 85+3 62.00 WWL +1.55 -0.30 89% 3.4
4 Culver City 6312 169+7 101.67 WDWLW -0.36 +0.08 57% 4.4
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6312 169+7 101.67 LDWWL -0.84 +0.26 36% 4.9
6 Autobahn SA 6312 89-1 101.67 DLWLW +0.21 -0.06 16% 5.7
7 Pride FC 5203 814-6 61.20 WLWLL +0.30 +0.03 1% 7.8
8 Downey United Football Club 7214 1117-6 71.00 LLWWD +0.34 -0.11 1% 7.7
9 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 1332-19 61.00 WLLLW +0.18 +0.18 0% 10.4
10 LAIFC (2) 7205 720-13 60.86 WLLLL +0.32 +0.04 0% 9.9
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6123 917-8 50.83 DLWLD -0.26 +0.23 0% 9.5
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6105 820-12 30.50 LWLLL -0.23 +0.30 0% 11.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.