TableChase Clubs

Unico Futbol Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U19 · 13 teams · Unico Futbol Club (all teams)

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4th
3-1-2 record · 6 played
1.67 points per game
+2 goal diff · 12–10
DWWLWlast 5
12% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.8
-0.61 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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Unico Futbol Club
4th · 1.67 PPG
at
Central Cal Aztecs 2
8th · 1.43 PPG

Kern County Soccer Park, 7 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.3 against · 1.62 expected points)

Season so farUnico Futbol ClubCentral Cal Aztecs 2
Position4th8th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-23-1-3
Points per game1.671.43
Goals for / game2.01.1
Goals against / game1.72.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless14
Form (recent first)W L W W DL W L W D
Biggest win4–1 vs Dynamo3–0 vs ALBION SC SCV
Worst loss0–2 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club0–5 at Oaks FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.05-0.59
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.61+0.08

Common opponents: FC Man United — we 2–3; they 0–3. ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) — we 2–1; they 0–0. ALBION SC SCV — we 3–2; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 46% / draw 24% / loss 30%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Kern County Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Cal Aztecs 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Unico Futbol Club – Central Cal Aztecs 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.57 PPG		 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3
Win
1.86 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.57 PPG		 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3
Loss
1.43 PPG		 7th▼ down 3 6th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
12% top 4
88% below the top 4
6.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 17%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 19%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oaks FC 2 2.75 (+1.08) 1st (2.47) 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 2.57 (+0.90) 3rd (2.22) 52 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 Central Coast Surf Soccer 2.50 (+0.83) 2nd (2.34) 50 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection

How the results connect

23 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Unico Futbol Club to Central Cal Aztecs 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
2 even
9 favour them
-0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 0–0 3–2 0–3 2–3 3–0 0–2 5–0 1–3 4–0 1–6 5–0 4–2 1–3 4–1 1–3 1–1 1–5 2–4 4–3 2–1 1–2 Unico Futbol Club 4th ALBION SC Antelope … 9th ALBION SC SCV 13th FC Man United 7th Central Coast Unite… 2nd Dynamo 10th TFA-SGV 12th Central Coast Surf … 3rd Oaks FC 2 1st Oxnard United Socce… 11th LA Surf SC SFV 5th Central Cal Aztecs 2 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 1st hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -6		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.62 1.66 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23		 Away
River Ridge		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.41 1.50 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:50 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3		 Away
Birmingham High School		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–2 1.18 1.47 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:20 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +17		 Home
Elings Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–2 0.67 1.39 Upside
Sun Nov 8
05:20 PM		 LA Surf SC SFV
5th · 4-0-4 · GD +8		 Home
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–2 1.27 1.38 Upside
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM		 FC Man United
7th · 3-1-3 · GD -1		 Away
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–1 1.25 1.37 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:50 PM		 TFA-SGV
12th · 1-3-4 · GD -12		 Home
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 2–1 2.02 1.42 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 1–1 1.58 1.43 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
9th · 2-1-3 · GD +0		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–1 1.64 1.44 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
02:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +16		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–2 0.61 1.39 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
11th · 2-0-5 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 2–1 1.76 1.41 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -40		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 4–1 2.58 1.48 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +17		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–2 0.48 1.42 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
8th · 3-1-3 · GD -6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 1–1 1.87 1.45 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 0–2 0.57 1.40 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
42%		 1–1 1.46 1.41 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
5th · 4-0-4 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.98 1.39 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
11th · 2-0-5 · GD -4		 Away
River Ridge Playfields		 ●●●●○ Tough
42%		 2–2 1.46 1.39 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oaks FC 2 8710 274+23 222.75 WWWWW -0.36 -0.01 100% 1.5
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 237+16 182.57 WLWWW -0.26 -0.02 100% 2.5
3 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6501 214+17 152.50 WWWWL -0.08 -0.13 100% 2.0
4 Unico Futbol Club 6312 1210+2 101.67 DWWLW -0.61 +0.20 12% 6.8
5 LA Surf SC SFV 8404 2315+8 121.50 WWWLL -0.19 +0.06 46% 5.1
6 Valley United Soccer Club 7313 1714+3 101.43 WWLWD -0.43 +0.14 15% 6.5
7 FC Man United 7313 1314-1 101.43 DLLWW +0.33 -0.14 20% 6.2
8 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7313 814-6 101.43 DWLWL +0.08 +0.06 1% 9.3
9 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6213 1414+0 71.17 DLWLL -0.38 +0.15 4% 8.1
10 Dynamo 7214 915-6 71.00 LLWLW +0.26 +0.00 0% 9.8
11 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7205 1519-4 60.86 LLLLW +0.01 +0.03 1% 9.2
12 TFA-SGV 8134 1325-12 60.75 LLLWD +0.45 -0.09 0% 10.9
13 ALBION SC SCV 8008 848-40 00.00 LLLLL +0.58 +0.12 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.13 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.