Central Coast United Soccer Club
Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U19 · 13 teams · Central Coast United Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:50 AM
Valley United Soccer Complex, Olivar ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 for, 1.5 against · 1.96 expected points)
| Season so far | Central Coast United Soccer Club | Valley United Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 3-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | D W L W W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at ALBION SC SCV | 3–1 at FC Man United |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Central Coast Surf Soccer | 1–2 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.42 | +0.19 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.26 | -0.43 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC SCV — we 5–0; they 4–2. FC Man United — we 5–1; they 3–1. TFA-SGV — we 5–0; they 3–3. Central Coast Surf Soccer — we 1–3; they 1–2. LA Surf SC SFV — we 2–1; they 2–3.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 59% / draw 19% / loss 22%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 10:50 AM at Valley United Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Valley United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Central Coast United Soccer Club – Valley United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.63 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.63 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.38 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 11%
- 2nd 27%
- 3rd 60%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 1%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oaks FC 2 | 2.75 (+0.18) | 1st (2.47) | 48 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
How the results connect
27 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link Central Coast United Soccer Club to Valley United Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.02 · 10th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 10:50 AM |
Valley United Soccer Club 6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3 |
Away Valley United Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 2.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 06:30 PM |
Dynamo 10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6 |
Away Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.26 | 2.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
Oaks FC 2 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–1 | 1.14 | 2.34 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 02:00 PM |
ALBION SC SCV 13th · 0-0-8 · GD -40 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
6–0 | 2.95 | 2.39 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 05:10 PM |
FC Man United 7th · 3-1-3 · GD -1 |
Away Citrus College · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 2.36 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
TFA-SGV 12th · 1-3-4 · GD -12 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.45 | 2.37 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 02:00 PM |
Central Coast Surf Soccer 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +17 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 2.29 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 02:00 PM |
Unico Futbol Club 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +2 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.23 | 2.29 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 04:00 PM |
ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 9th · 2-1-3 · GD +0 |
Away Lancaster National Soccer Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.13 | 2.28 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 02:00 PM |
Central Cal Aztecs 2 8th · 3-1-3 · GD -6 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.47 | 2.29 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Oxnard United Soccer Club 11th · 2-0-5 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–1 | 2.24 | 2.29 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
LA Surf SC SFV 5th · 4-0-4 · GD +8 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.78 | 2.26 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 02:00 PM |
ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 9th · 2-1-3 · GD +0 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
3–1 | 2.38 | 2.27 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 02:00 PM |
Dynamo 10th · 2-1-4 · GD -6 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.46 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 02:00 PM |
Valley United Soccer Club 6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3 |
Home CMT Ranch |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.22 | 2.27 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Oaks FC 2 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +23 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–1 | 0.90 | 2.21 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Central Cal Aztecs 2 8th · 3-1-3 · GD -6 |
Away Kern County Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–0 | 2.27 | 2.22 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Oaks FC 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 4 | +23 | 22 | 2.75 | WWWWW | -0.36 | -0.01 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Unico Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Central Coast United Soccer Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Central Coast United Soccer Club | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 18 | 2.57 | WLWWW | -0.26 | -0.02 | 99% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Valley United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Dynamo · Sun Nov 8 vs Oaks FC 2 See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Central Coast Surf Soccer | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWL | -0.08 | -0.13 | 100% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Dynamo · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Man United · Sat Nov 7 at Unico Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Unico Futbol Club | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | DWWLW | -0.61 | +0.20 | 14% | 6.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sat Oct 31 at Oaks FC 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Valley United Soccer Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | LA Surf SC SFV | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 12 | 1.50 | WWWLL | -0.19 | +0.06 | 46% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Unico Futbol Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Valley United Soccer Club | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 10 | 1.43 | WWLWD | -0.43 | +0.14 | 15% | 6.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Unico Futbol Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Man United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 | 1.43 | DLLWW | +0.33 | -0.14 | 20% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC SCV · Sat Oct 31 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sun Nov 1 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Central Cal Aztecs 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | 1.43 | DWLWL | +0.08 | +0.06 | 1% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Unico Futbol Club · Sat Oct 31 vs Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at TFA-SGV See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +0 | 7 | 1.17 | DLWLL | -0.38 | +0.15 | 4% | 8.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC SCV · Sun Nov 1 at Oaks FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Dynamo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | 1.00 | LLWLW | +0.26 | +0.00 | 1% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sat Oct 31 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC SCV See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Oxnard United Soccer Club | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 6 | 0.86 | LLLLW | +0.01 | +0.03 | 1% | 9.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Oct 25 vs TFA-SGV · Sun Nov 1 at FC Man United See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | TFA-SGV | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 6 | 0.75 | LLLWD | +0.45 | -0.09 | 0% | 10.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Central Cal Aztecs 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | ALBION SC SCV | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 48 | -40 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.58 | +0.12 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Man United · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Dynamo See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.13 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.