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Total Futbol Academy

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U19 · 15 teams · Total Futbol Academy (all teams)

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10th
1-0-2 record · 3 played
1.00 points per game
-1 goal diff · 6–7
LWLlast 3
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.1
-0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Total Futbol Academy
10th · 1.00 PPG
at
City SC Los Angeles
8th · 1.50 PPG

Lawndale High School, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.6 against · 1.02 expected points)

Season so farTotal Futbol AcademyCity SC Los Angeles
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-21-0-1
Points per game1.001.50
Goals for / game2.02.5
Goals against / game2.32.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L W LL W
Biggest win6–0 at Los Angeles SC3–0 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica
Worst loss0–4 at ALBION SC Los Angeles2–4 at Oaks FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.28+0.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.43-0.18

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 at ALBION SC Los Angeles, 0–3 vs AC Brea.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 28%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Lawndale High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FC Golden State Force sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above FC Golden State Force on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the City SC Los Angeles game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Total Futbol Academy – City SC Los Angeles) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.75 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 5
Win
1.50 PPG
8th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 4
Loss
0.75 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
10.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 16%
  10. 10th 23%
  11. 11th 19%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 3%
  15. 15th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fram Soccer Club 3.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.79) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
2 Oaks FC 3.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.81) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
3 Rangers FC 2.33 (+1.33) 1st (2.10) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
4 Central Cal Aztecs 2.33 (+1.33) 3rd (2.02) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 LAIFC 2.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.09) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 AC Brea 2.00 (+1.00) 7th (1.61) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 1.50 (+0.50) 4th (1.93) Win next game
8 City SC Los Angeles 1.50 (+0.50) 9th (1.48) Win next game
9 FC Golden State Force 1.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.51) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link Total Futbol Academy to City SC Los Angeles through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 1–2 4–2 Total Futbol Academy 10th ALBION SC Los Angel… 12th Oaks FC 2nd City SC Los Angeles 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 2nd hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
8th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.02 1.01 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
LA Surf LC
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -14
Home
Don Bosco Tech · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.38 1.28 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
12:00 PM
LA Surf Futures
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -9
Away
Silverlakes in Norco
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.79 1.37 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.84 1.29 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.17 1.28 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.87 1.34 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
01:00 PM
Fram Soccer Club
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Away
South High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.81 1.29 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Oaks FC
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.85 1.25 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
LAIFC
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.74 1.21 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.76 1.17 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.98 1.16 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fram Soccer Club 2200 95+4 63.00 WW -1.15 +0.14 38% 5.4
2 Oaks FC 2200 63+3 63.00 WW -0.15 -0.02 38% 5.3
3 Rangers FC 3210 61+5 72.33 DWW +0.58 -0.24 78% 3.1
4 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 52+3 72.33 DWW +0.96 -0.32 67% 3.8
5 LAIFC 3201 134+9 62.00 WWL -0.01 -0.11 78% 3.0
6 AC Brea 2110 63+3 42.00 DW -1.12 +0.16 18% 6.8
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 102+8 31.50 WL -0.47 -0.01 60% 4.1
8 City SC Los Angeles 2101 54+1 31.50 WL -0.18 +0.02 11% 7.7
9 FC Golden State Force 3102 64+2 31.00 LLW -0.05 -0.04 11% 7.6
10 Total Futbol Academy 3102 67-1 31.00 LWL -0.43 +0.16 1% 10.1
11 LA Surf Futures 3102 413-9 31.00 LWL +0.54 -0.02 0% 12.4
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 58-3 30.75 WLLL -0.01 +0.06 0% 10.9
13 LA Surf LC 3012 317-14 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.01 0% 14.1
14 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2002 38-5 00.00 LL +0.39 +0.01 0% 12.3
15 Los Angeles SC 1001 06-6 00.00 L -0.28 +0.14 0% 13.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.