TableChase Clubs

Oaks FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U19 · 15 teams · Oaks FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
2nd
2-0-0 record · 2 played
3.00 points per game
+3 goal diff · 6–3
WWlast 2
38% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.3
-0.15 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM

Open the match preview →

Oaks FC
2nd · 3.00 PPG
at

The Palmdale Aerospace Academy, Griffin Turf Field ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 2.0 for, 3.1 against · 0.85 expected points)

Season so farOaks FCALBION SC Antelope Valley
Position2nd7th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-01-0-1
Points per game3.001.50
Goals for / game3.05.0
Goals against / game1.51.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W WL W
Biggest win4–2 vs City SC Los Angeles9–0 vs LA Surf LC
Worst loss—1–2 vs Rangers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.50+1.36
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.15-0.47

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    ALBION SC Antelope Valley score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.3.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC Antelope Valley concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at The Palmdale Aerospace Academy.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Fram Soccer Club sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

    A win moves us above Fram Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Antelope Valley game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oaks FC – ALBION SC Antelope Valley) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 2.00 PPG
7th▼ down 5 7th▼ down 5 8th▼ down 6
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd— holds 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds
Draw
2.33 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 3
Loss
2.00 PPG
7th▼ down 5 7th▼ down 5 7th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
38% top 4
62% below the top 4
5.3 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 14%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 5%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fram Soccer Club 3.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.79) Win next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link Oaks FC to ALBION SC Antelope Valley through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 0–4 2–1 Oaks FC 2nd ALBION SC Los Angel… 12th Rangers FC 3rd ALBION SC Antelope … 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 10th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:30 PM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +8
Away
The Palmdale Aerospace Academy · turf
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–3 0.85 2.28 Upside
Sun Oct 25
12:30 PM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -5
Away
John Adams MS
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–1 1.98 2.21 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
03:35 PM
FC Golden State Force
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Away
Bell Gardens High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.26 2.02 Upside
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
15th · 0-0-1 · GD -6
Away
West Covina High School
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.26 2.06 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
AC Brea
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Whittier College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.26 1.94 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -14
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.67 2.03 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
Fram Soccer Club
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Away
LA Galaxy Soccer Complex (Toyota Sports Complex)
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.23 1.95 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LAIFC
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.83 1.83 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 1.85 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.18 1.79 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.34 1.76 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.45 1.81 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fram Soccer Club 2200 95+4 63.00 WW -1.15 +0.14 37% 5.4
2 Oaks FC 2200 63+3 63.00 WW -0.15 -0.02 38% 5.3
3 Rangers FC 3210 61+5 72.33 DWW +0.58 -0.24 79% 3.1
4 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 52+3 72.33 DWW +0.96 -0.32 67% 3.8
5 LAIFC 3201 134+9 62.00 WWL -0.01 -0.11 78% 3.0
6 AC Brea 2110 63+3 42.00 DW -1.12 +0.16 19% 6.7
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 102+8 31.50 WL -0.47 -0.01 59% 4.2
8 City SC Los Angeles 2101 54+1 31.50 WL -0.18 +0.02 10% 7.8
9 FC Golden State Force 3102 64+2 31.00 LLW -0.05 -0.04 12% 7.5
10 Total Futbol Academy 3102 67-1 31.00 LWL -0.43 +0.16 1% 10.1
11 LA Surf Futures 3102 413-9 31.00 LWL +0.54 -0.02 0% 12.4
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 58-3 30.75 WLLL -0.01 +0.06 0% 10.9
13 LA Surf LC 3012 317-14 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.01 0% 14.1
14 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2002 38-5 00.00 LL +0.39 +0.01 0% 12.2
15 Los Angeles SC 1001 06-6 00.00 L -0.28 +0.14 0% 13.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.