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City SC Los Angeles

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U19 · 15 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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8th
1-0-1 record · 2 played
1.50 points per game
+1 goal diff · 5–4
WLlast 2
11% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.7
-0.18 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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City SC Los Angeles
8th · 1.50 PPG
vs
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 1.00 PPG

Lawndale High School, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.9 against · 1.79 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los AngelesTotal Futbol Academy
Position8th10th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-11-0-2
Points per game1.501.00
Goals for / game2.52.0
Goals against / game2.02.3
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)L WL W L
Biggest win3–0 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica6–0 at Los Angeles SC
Worst loss2–4 at Oaks FC0–4 at ALBION SC Los Angeles
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.15-0.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.18-0.43

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 54% / draw 18% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Antelope Valley sit 7th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Antelope Valley on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles – Total Futbol Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG
7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Draw
1.33 PPG
8th— holds 9th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 4
Loss
1.00 PPG
10th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 3 14th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
11% top 4
89% below the top 4
7.7 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 17%
  9. 9th 18%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fram Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.50) 6th (1.79) 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
2 Oaks FC 3.00 (+1.50) 5th (1.81) 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
3 Rangers FC 2.33 (+0.83) 1st (2.10) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
4 Central Cal Aztecs 2.33 (+0.83) 3rd (2.02) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 LAIFC 2.00 (+0.50) 2nd (2.09) Win next game
6 AC Brea 2.00 (+0.50) 7th (1.61) Win next game
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 1.50 (+0.00) 4th (1.93) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles to Total Futbol Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
0 favour them
+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 2–1 4–0 City SC Los Angeles 8th Oaks FC 2nd ALBION SC Los Angel… 12th Total Futbol Academy 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 6th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.79 1.60 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
LAIFC
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–3 0.95 1.44 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:00 PM
LA Surf LC
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -14
Away
silverlakes
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
3–1 2.32 1.61 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
AC Brea
6th · 1-1-0 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.08 1.52 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.37 1.50 Upside
Sun Mar 14
11:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Kaiser Sports Village
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.91 1.43 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
3–1 2.02 1.49 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
Rangers FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.78 1.42 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
15th · 0-0-1 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.36 1.51 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.85 1.54 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.38 1.52 Upside
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–2 0.97 1.48 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fram Soccer Club 2200 95+4 63.00 WW -1.15 +0.14 38% 5.4
2 Oaks FC 2200 63+3 63.00 WW -0.15 -0.02 38% 5.3
3 Rangers FC 3210 61+5 72.33 DWW +0.58 -0.24 78% 3.1
4 Central Cal Aztecs 3210 52+3 72.33 DWW +0.96 -0.32 67% 3.8
5 LAIFC 3201 134+9 62.00 WWL -0.01 -0.11 78% 3.0
6 AC Brea 2110 63+3 42.00 DW -1.12 +0.16 18% 6.8
7 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2101 102+8 31.50 WL -0.47 -0.01 60% 4.1
8 City SC Los Angeles 2101 54+1 31.50 WL -0.18 +0.02 11% 7.7
9 FC Golden State Force 3102 64+2 31.00 LLW -0.05 -0.04 11% 7.6
10 Total Futbol Academy 3102 67-1 31.00 LWL -0.43 +0.16 1% 10.1
11 LA Surf Futures 3102 413-9 31.00 LWL +0.54 -0.02 0% 12.4
12 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 58-3 30.75 WLLL -0.01 +0.06 0% 10.9
13 LA Surf LC 3012 317-14 10.33 DLL +0.73 -0.01 0% 14.1
14 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2002 38-5 00.00 LL +0.39 +0.01 0% 12.3
15 Los Angeles SC 1001 06-6 00.00 L -0.28 +0.14 0% 13.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.