Central Cal Aztecs

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U19 · 15 teams · Central Cal Aztecs (all teams)

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4th

2-1-0 record · 3 played

2.33 points per game

+3 goal diff · 5–2

DWWlast 3

65% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.8

+0.96 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Central Cal Aztecs
4th · 2.33 PPG

LA Surf LC
13th · 0.33 PPG

Kaiser Sports Village, Field 14 ↗

86% 8%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.9 for, 1.0 against · 2.68 expected points)

Season so far	Central Cal Aztecs	LA Surf LC
Position	4th	13th
Record (W-D-L)	2-1-0	0-1-2
Points per game	2.33	0.33
Goals for / game	1.7	1.0
Goals against / game	0.7	5.7
Clean sheets	2	0
Held scoreless	1	2
Form (recent first)	W W D	L L D
Biggest win	2–0 at FC Golden State Force	—
Worst loss	—	0–9 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.71	-2.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.96	+0.73

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force — we 2–0; they 0–5.

Game plan

They struggle to score
LA Surf LC average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 3.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
LA Surf LC concede 5.7/game; worst result 0–9 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs Rangers FC.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 86% chance; likely score 3–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
What a win does
Rangers FC sit 3rd on 2.33 PPG; we are on 2.33.
A point moves us above Rangers FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Surf LC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Central Cal Aztecs – LA Surf LC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.50 PPG	3rd▲ up 1	1st▲ up 3	3rd▲ up 1
Win 2.50 PPG	3rd▲ up 1	1st▲ up 3	3rd▲ up 1
Draw 2.00 PPG	6th▼ down 2	6th▼ down 2	7th▼ down 3
Loss 1.75 PPG	6th▼ down 2	7th▼ down 3	8th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

16% finish 1st

65% top 4

35% below the top 4

3.8 average finish

1st 16%
2nd 18%
3rd 17%
4th 15%
5th 12%
6th 10%
7th 6%
8th 4%
9th 2%
10th 1%
11th <1%
12th <1%
13th
14th
15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Fram Soccer Club	3.00 (+0.67)	6th (1.79)	35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
2	Oaks FC	3.00 (+0.67)	5th (1.81)	35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
3	Rangers FC	2.33 (+0.00)	1st (2.10)	A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Central Cal Aztecs to LA Surf LC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

0 favour them

+8.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.32 · 15th hardest of 15

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM	LA Surf LC 13th · 0-1-2 · GD -14	Home Kaiser Sports Village	●○○○○ Favorable	86%	3–1	2.68	2.42	Bank it
Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM	ALBION SC Santa Monica 14th · 0-0-2 · GD -5	Home Kaiser Sports Village	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	2–1	2.33	2.40	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM	ALBION SC Los Angeles 12th · 1-0-3 · GD -3	Home Kaiser Sports Village	●●○○○ Lean win	63%	2–1	2.09	2.35	Swing game
Sat Mar 6 11:00 AM	LA Surf Futures 11th · 1-0-2 · GD -9	Home Kaiser Sports Village	●○○○○ Favorable	79%	3–1	2.48	2.37	Bank it
Sun Mar 14 11:00 AM	City SC Los Angeles 8th · 1-0-1 · GD +1	Home Kaiser Sports Village	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.88	2.31	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM	ALBION SC Antelope Valley 7th · 1-0-1 · GD +8	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	29%	1–2	1.09	2.17	Upside
Sat Apr 3 01:00 PM	Fram Soccer Club 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4	Away South High School · grass	●●●●○ Tough	42%	2–2	1.45	2.10	Upside
Sat Apr 10 11:00 AM	AC Brea 6th · 1-1-0 · GD +3	Home Kaiser Sports Village	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	2–1	1.73	2.07	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM	Oaks FC 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +3	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	41%	1–1	1.44	2.01	Upside
Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM	Total Futbol Academy 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -1	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	2–1	1.81	2.00	Swing game
Tue May 25 09:00 AM	Los Angeles SC 15th · 0-0-1 · GD -6	Away SilverLakes Sports Park	●●○○○ Lean win	72%	2–1	2.32	2.02	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Fram Soccer Club

3.00

-1.15

+0.14

38%

5.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	LA Surf Futures (11th)	4–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	5–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Mar 6 at FC Golden State Force See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	AC Brea (6th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	2–3	33%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Oaks FC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	3–2	63%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	LAIFC (5th)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sun May 23	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	4–1	82%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Los Angeles SC (15th)	4–1	83%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oaks FC

3.00

-0.15

-0.02

39%

5.3

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	4–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sun Nov 1 at FC Golden State Force See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–3	23%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	3–1	61%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Los Angeles SC (15th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	AC Brea (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	LA Surf LC (13th)	4–1	86%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LAIFC (5th)	1–3	22%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LA Surf Futures (11th)	3–1	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rangers FC

2.33

DWW

+0.58

-0.24

80%

3.0

W	Sat Oct 17	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	4–0
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	0–0

Next: Sat Nov 7 at LAIFC · Sun Nov 8 vs Los Angeles SC · Sun Nov 22 vs AC Brea See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Nov 7	at	LAIFC (5th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Los Angeles SC (15th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	AC Brea (6th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	LA Surf Futures (11th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–1	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Cal Aztecs

2.33

DWW

+0.96

-0.32

65%

3.8

W	Sat Oct 17	at	LAIFC (5th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–0
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–1	86%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	LA Surf Futures (11th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	AC Brea (6th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–1	54%
·	Tue May 25	at	Los Angeles SC (15th)	2–1	72%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAIFC

2.00

WWL

-0.01

-0.11

78%

3.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	2–3
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	LA Surf Futures (11th)	9–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sun Nov 1 at City SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	4–1	84%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	3–2	57%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Los Angeles SC (15th)	5–1	90%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	5–1	90%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Oaks FC (2nd)	3–1	62%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	3–1	65%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	AC Brea (6th)	2–2	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AC Brea

2.00

-1.12

+0.16

18%

6.8

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 12	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sat Nov 21 vs Oaks FC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Oaks FC (2nd)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	50%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–3	23%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Los Angeles SC (15th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LAIFC (5th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat May 22	vs	LA Surf Futures (11th)	3–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Antelope Valley

1.50

-0.47

-0.01

59%

4.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	LA Surf LC (13th)	9–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oaks FC · Sat Oct 31 at Fram Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at FC Golden State Force See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Oaks FC (2nd)	3–1	61%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	3–2	51%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Los Angeles SC (15th)	4–1	83%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	AC Brea (6th)	3–1	61%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	LAIFC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	LA Surf Futures (11th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	3–1	64%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	65%
·	Tue May 25	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	2–2	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC Los Angeles

1.50

-0.18

+0.02

10%

7.7

L	Sat Sep 19	at	Oaks FC (2nd)	2–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	3–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	LAIFC (5th)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	AC Brea (6th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LA Surf Futures (11th)	3–1	62%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Los Angeles SC (15th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–1	39%
·	Tue May 25	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	2–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Golden State Force

1.00

LLW

-0.05

-0.04

12%

7.5

W	Sat Oct 17	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	5–0
L	Sun Oct 11	at	LAIFC (5th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf Futures · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sun Nov 1 vs Oaks FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LA Surf Futures (11th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Oaks FC (2nd)	2–1	44%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–1	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	AC Brea (6th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Los Angeles SC (15th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	1–1	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Total Futbol Academy

-1

1.00

LWL

-0.43

+0.16

10.2

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	AC Brea (6th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Los Angeles SC (15th)	6–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	0–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC Los Angeles · Sat Oct 31 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf Futures See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	LA Surf Futures (11th)	2–2	54%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	LAIFC (5th)	1–3	20%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–2	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Surf Futures

-9

1.00

LWL

+0.54

-0.02

12.4

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	2–4
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	LAIFC (5th)	0–9

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Golden State Force · Sat Nov 7 vs Total Futbol Academy · Sat Mar 6 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Los Angeles SC (15th)	2–2	49%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	1–3	22%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	2–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sat May 22	at	AC Brea (6th)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Los Angeles

-3

0.75

WLLL

-0.01

+0.06

10.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 19	at	LA Surf Futures (11th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Los Angeles SC · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Golden State Force · Sat Nov 7 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Los Angeles SC (15th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–1	29%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	LAIFC (5th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	AC Brea (6th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	2–1	41%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Surf LC

-14

0.33

DLL

+0.73

-0.01

14.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 19	at	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	0–9
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	AC Brea (6th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Central Cal Aztecs · Sat Oct 31 at Total Futbol Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC Los Angeles See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–3	5%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	2–3	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	LAIFC (5th)	1–5	4%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	LA Surf Futures (11th)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Los Angeles SC (15th)	2–3	28%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	1–4	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Santa Monica

-5

0.00

+0.39

+0.01

12.2

L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	3–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs Oaks FC · Sat Oct 31 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LAIFC (5th)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–3	23%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	AC Brea (6th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–2	56%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–2	39%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	LA Surf Futures (11th)	2–2	55%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	1–3	10%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Los Angeles SC (15th)	3–2	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Los Angeles SC

-6

0.00

-0.28

+0.14

13.5

Sat Sep 19

Total Futbol Academy (10th)

0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 7 vs Oaks FC · Sun Nov 8 at Rangers FC See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (12th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Oaks FC (2nd)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Rangers FC (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	ALBION SC Antelope Valley (7th)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	LAIFC (5th)	1–5	4%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	LA Surf Futures (11th)	2–2	33%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	AC Brea (6th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	City SC Los Angeles (8th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LA Surf LC (13th)	3–2	56%
·	Sat May 15	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (14th)	2–3	26%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Central Cal Aztecs (4th)	1–2	13%
·	Tue May 25	at	Fram Soccer Club (1st)	1–4	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.31 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.